Cobalt Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, supernovasky said: NAM rolling in. 20h the precip shield is notably bigger and in some places heavier. Sleetstorm underway. 850s slightly colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, eurojosh said: LWX going bigger. This didn't post right for some reason. Link - shows 4-6 for DC now. https://www.weather.gov/lwx/winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Little bit of a different look on the NAM 12km on the second wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 19, 2018 Author Share Posted March 19, 2018 52 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Watches unlikely before 12z tomorrow. Good Call 21 minutes ago, weathercoins said: URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 342 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018 DCZ001-MDZ011-013-014-504-506-VAZ025>027-029-030-040-052>054-501- 506>508-200345- /O.EXB.KLWX.WS.A.0004.180321T0400Z-180322T0000Z/ District of Columbia-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges- Anne Arundel-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Central and Southeast Howard-Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Page- Warren-Rappahannock-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Northern Fauquier- Eastern Loudoun-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge- Central Virginia Blue Ridge- 342 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy wet snow possible, with a total wet snow accumulation of 5 inches or more. * WHERE...Metropolitan Baltimore and Washington areas, as well as the northern and central Shenandoah Valley. * WHEN...From late Tuesday night through Wednesday evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions. Significant reductions in visibility are possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 NAm is one hell of a sleet storm. Toss the snowmaps immediately. Surface near or below freezing and pounding sleet. That part of the storm in itself may be impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, eurojosh said: This didn't post right for some reason. Link - shows 4-6 for DC now. https://www.weather.gov/lwx/winter Now that's more like it. A lot more yellow and warning level snows for nearly everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, Bob Chill said: NAm is one hell of a sleet storm. Toss the snowmaps immediately. Surface near or below freezing and pounding sleet. That part of the storm in itself may be impressive. Reminds me of March last year. Seeing 7-8 hours of straight sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Good Call Maybe he meant for those of us down here in Fredericksburg, haha....seriously though, hoops we can squeeze 2-4” down EZF way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, Bob Chill said: NAm is one hell of a sleet storm. Toss the snowmaps immediately. Surface near or below freezing and pounding sleet. That part of the storm in itself may be impressive. Snow depth map for the sleet speaks for itself (I wonder if this is wonky itself too) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Now, this has got my attention. Still expecting the worst, but this would be something if this happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 2 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Snow depth map for the sleet speaks for itself (I wonder if this is wonky itself too) 2-3 inches of sleet would be approximately 1" qpf. and Northwest would be more snow. So this actually makes some sense. That would make for interesting road conditions lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 5 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Snow depth map for the sleet speaks for itself (I wonder if this is wonky itself too) That’s only for Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 6 minutes ago, supernovasky said: Reminds me of March last year. Seeing 7-8 hours of straight sleet. Don't talk about that storm...I forbid it, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 LOL @ lwx coming in with an advisory for ~1 inch tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 7 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: NAm is one hell of a sleet storm. Toss the snowmaps immediately. Surface near or below freezing and pounding sleet. That part of the storm in itself may be impressive. 12K or 3K? NVMD, I see the charts now. Who cares about the 12K? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, EastCoast NPZ said: 12K or 3K? 12k. 3k is not quite there yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 NAM is definitely more icy out here than other guidance. But it still flips me to snow mid morning tomorrow. Then a MASSIVE dryslot through most of our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, snowmagnet said: That’s only for Tuesday. Yes, lead wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, EastCoast NPZ said: 12K or 3K? Both coming in warmer in the mid levels. Limited snow everywhere tomorrow but massive sleet storm if the qpf is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Round 2 on its way in the NAM. Low just off the DelMarVa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Would it be fair to say that the NAM's 10:1 ratio snow map gives a good idea of what this storm would've brought if it was a month ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, DCAlexandria said: NAM dry slot is brutal https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nam®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2018031918&fh=24 Yeah that is a 10 hour dryslot that is possibly gonna cause some tempers to flare and people to get quite upset before round 2 sets in. Also notice that it really doesn't look like anything is coming underneath that dry slot for a while either. Something to keep in mind if you end up under it and are watching the radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 I think the dry slot is kind of expected with this setup no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, Fozz said: Would it be fair to say that the NAM's 10:1 ratio snow map gives a good idea of what this storm would've brought if it was a month ago? I mean, I'm assuming precip wouldn't be as prolific in a setup a month ago. Just IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Looks like 12k NAM flips to snow much earlier than 12z run from a glance. That or quicker storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, Cobalt said: I mean, I'm assuming precip wouldn't be as prolific in a setup a month ago. Just IMO That's a fair point. I guess dicey temps, mixing, and the sun angle come with the territory of juiced up March storms. Doesn't make it any less thrilling, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 3k NAM's sleet storm is even slightly longer than the 12k. About 9-10 hours probably. I'm OK with this though - punch 1, I'd prefer it to be sleet than cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, Fozz said: That's a fair point. I guess dicey temps, mixing, and the sun angle come with the territory of juiced up March storms. Doesn't make it any less thrilling, though. I gotta say, I love March storms. Paste bombs can be epic, and they're pretty high impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 PA turnpike deathband sits there all day while we mix in the dryslot. Need that like 60 miles south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, Cobalt said: I gotta say, I love March storms. Paste bombs can be epic, and they're pretty high impact. Yeah I've been waiting for years to see something like this. Last year was so so close, but a last minute northern shift made it a sleety mess instead. Hopefully this one delivers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.