weathercoins Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 LWX has an interesting task ahead of them for this update irt which advisories to issue given the trends and temperature uncertainty with a boatload of QPF incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bhamwx205 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 This might belong in banter but HM is excited Sent from my SM-J327VPP using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: There was some other stuff going on personally that had me a real mess the last week. Stuff way more important to me then snow but I'm sure it bled over. That's why I cut way back on posts the last day of two. I realized I was full tilt and a mess. Sorry about that. But it's ok now...both the personal thing and the weather! Btw the progression here is very similar to 96. Not exact it all comes across further north initially. But where the h5 and slp ends up is close. Of course ground truth late march isn't going to look like January even if it's a repeat which I'm not saying just noticing the similarities. P.S. Ah, I gotcha. Hey it happens...personal issues AND snow tracking ate a bad combination (especially for complicated minds like ours, lol). I pray it works out, whatever you were dealing with Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: Hey, in March, the equivalent may be 1/3 of it (although even half of it isn't impossible in March...but perhaps that's just my snow greed talking, lol) Considering some us had well over 2 feet in 96 we are talking like 8-12 inches. That would be a HECS for March in my book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Interested to see NWS' take on this run. So far, they remain very unimpressed. My zone forecast has gone down again, now down to just 1-2" accumulation through tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 2 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Interested to see NWS' take on this run. So far, they remain very unimpressed. My zone forecast has gone down again, now down to just 1-2" accumulation through tomorrow night. Yeah, there's conservative and then there's conservative. They may well turn out to be right, but they may also be very, very wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricanegiants Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 I think the last Euro Run hoists the watch criteria on the next update. It brings in the accumulations with a 12 hour period in locations closer in tonthe beltway—I.e western Loudoun on back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 14 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: There was some other stuff going on personally that had me a real mess the last week. Stuff way more important to me then snow but I'm sure it bled over. That's why I cut way back on posts the last day of two. I realized I was full tilt and a mess. Sorry about that. But it's ok now...both the personal thing and the weather! Btw the progression here is very similar to 96. Not exact it all comes across further north initially. But where the h5 and slp ends up is close. Of course ground truth late march isn't going to look like January even if it's a repeat which I'm not saying just noticing the similarities. I'd like to see the winds get cranking like Jan 96. It was a blast in the overnight Sunday, Mon. morning around these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 3 minutes ago, Hurricanegiants said: I think the last Euro Run hoists the watch criteria on the next update. It brings in the accumulations with a 12 hour period in locations closer in tonthe beltway—I.e western Loudoun on back. Watches unlikely before 12z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Does this still have some potential for folks to hit double digit totals? Assuming it depends on banding of course and where it sets up (MoCo/HoCo anyone). I guess my question is can this juice up anymore on future runs or we maxed out at this point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 This better be the last one. I want 60s and 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 If the Euro verifies IMBY (which I think is a long shot), then I may actually reach climo. Never thought that would happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Pitt upgraded their watch to a warning for the mountains URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 319 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018 MDZ001-WVZ512>514-200330- /O.UPG.KPBZ.WS.A.0003.180320T2100Z-180321T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KPBZ.WS.W.0005.180320T0900Z-180322T0000Z/ Garrett-Eastern Preston-Western Tucker-Eastern Tucker- Including the cities of Mountain Lake Park, Oakland MD, Grantsville, Terra Alta, Rowlesburg, Hazelton, Parsons, Hendricks, Saint George, Davis, Thomas, and Canaan Valley 319 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TUESDAY TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected overnight into Tuesday morning then a break before heavy wet snow Tuesday night into Wednesday. Total snow accumulations of 9 to 12 inches, with localized amounts up to 14 inches. Ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch are expected by 1pm Tuesday afterward all snow is forecast. * WHERE...In Maryland, Garrett County. In West Virginia, Eastern Preston, Western Tucker and Eastern Tucker Counties. * WHEN...From 5 AM Tuesday to 8 PM EDT Wednesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be very difficult to impossible, including during the morning commute on Wednesday. Be prepared for significant reductions in visibility at times. Power outages and down trees are possible from the wet snow as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 4 minutes ago, Scraff said: Does this still have some potential for folks to hit double digit totals? Assuming it depends on banding of course and where it sets up (MoCo/HoCo anyone). I guess my question is can this juice up anymore on future runs or we maxed out at this point? I don’t think there’s going to be a wholesale increase in precip over the average ~1.5” we’re seeing in all the guidance. But there are always bands in a CCB like what’s depicted on the euro. Throw in the time of year, mixing scenarios tomorrow, plus elevation and it’s a recipe for a big range of totals across the region. But yes, I think areas near the PA line could see double digits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 That was fast from PIT... they only issued a WSW about 3 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 The EURO is money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Not that it’s surprising, but the EPS is a shellacking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Sleet, snow, and wind. Perfect for the start of Spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, WxUSAF said: Not that it’s surprising, but the EPS is a shellacking. Can you elaborate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Wakefield issues watches for the Shore. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 329 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018 MDZ021>025-200330- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.A.0002.180321T1000Z-180322T0300Z/ Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches- Including the cities of Cambridge, Salisbury, Crisfield, Princess Anne, Snow Hill, and Ocean City 329 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches are possible. * WHERE...Dorchester, Wicomico, Somerset, Inland Worcester County and the Maryland Beaches. * WHEN...From Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions, including during the evening commute on Wednesday. Significant reductions in visibility are possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Mt. Holly NWS upped their expected totals big time. 5-8” for the eastern shore and DE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 332 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018 ...Early spring storm to bring potential for long duration wet snow and mixed precipitation to portions of south central Pennsylvania Tuesday through Wednesday... PAZ033>036-064>066-201015- /O.NEW.KCTP.WS.A.0006.180320T1000Z-180322T0000Z/ Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Adams-York-Lancaster- Including the cities of Somerset, Bedford, McConnellsburg, Chambersburg, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster 332 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... * WHAT....Total snow accumulations of 6 inches or more are possible, especially in the higher elevations. Snow will mix with rain, freezing rain and sleet at times with ice accumulations of a light glaze possible. * WHERE...Portions of south central Pennsylvania. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, ryanconway63 said: Can you elaborate? Mean looks like a 990mb low off OC. Beautiful 500mb track. 1-2” of liquid area wide. 10:1 snow maps have the 6” line over Wes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 4-7 for DC and 6-10 Baltimore to Boston and 1-3 for DCA looks good for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notvirga! Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 26 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Interested to see NWS' take on this run. So far, they remain very unimpressed. My zone forecast has gone down again, now down to just 1-2" accumulation through tomorrow night. I'm thinking the bulk of the snow, even out there will be overnight through noon Wednesday. If that's heavy snow, it's easily 8-12 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 3 minutes ago, weathercoins said: Wakefield issues watches for the Shore. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 329 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018 MDZ021>025-200330- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.A.0002.180321T1000Z-180322T0300Z/ Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches- Including the cities of Cambridge, Salisbury, Crisfield, Princess Anne, Snow Hill, and Ocean City 329 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches are possible. * WHERE...Dorchester, Wicomico, Somerset, Inland Worcester County and the Maryland Beaches. * WHEN...From Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions, including during the evening commute on Wednesday. Significant reductions in visibility are possible. Wow Wakefield bullish. Not like them to pull the trigger early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 State College also issued watches. They're coming up all around us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 NWS map of watches/warnings starting to light up from VA to MA; WWA, WSWs, Storm Warnings, Coastal Flood watches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, WeathermanB said: uh oh... D.C getting snow-hole'd yet again? I think he's taking into account DCA's measuring difficulties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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