yoda Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, ohwxguy said: 00z RGEM meteogram seems to indicate the 2nd wave could produce a nice period of snow on Wednesday after a lull in precip later Tuesday into the overnight hours. Prior to that, mostly rain with some mix. 15mm of snow would be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Rgem has a dryslot over north central md too For like 10 minutes. And you know what happens beyond 48....that's a keg right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 the ICON just exploded... in a good way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 RGEM has a trough going negative tilt at end of run with H7 circulation in Kentucky. That look is primed to go boom in future panels. Great to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, MillvilleWx said: RGEM has a trough going negative tilt at end of run with H7 circulation in Kentucky. That look is primed to go boom in future panels. Great to see. Sim sat loop needs to be watched alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: For like 10 minutes. And you know what happens beyond 48....that's a keg right there. I know lol. Icon looks more like what I expected guidance to look like. It's very warm though. Even up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 3k nam and RGEM look pretty similar to the ICON at 48. ICON probably goes on to do what the RGEM would have Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, Bob Chill said: Sim sat loop needs to be watched alone. What is that, and what is it showing? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Sim sat loop needs to be watched alone. I'd invest in that look. Scary nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, psuhoffman said: I know lol. Icon looks more like what I expected guidance to look like. It's very warm though. Even up here. Everything is going neg and closing off h5 with wave 2. It's suddenly getting very interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Sim sat loop needs to be watched alone. Made me look....good lawd. The fuse is lit on the last panel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 19, 2018 Author Share Posted March 19, 2018 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Sim sat loop needs to be watched alone. I think the signaling tonight is that wave 2 might be the real deal. Hoping it continues with the rest of the 0z guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Everything is going neg and closing off h5 with wave 2. It's suddenly getting very interesting. And what would that potentially lead to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: And what would that potentially lead to? Snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said: I'd invest in that look. Scary nice Seeing that convection wrapping into the neg tilt and stuff breaking out in KY is quite a sight. I'd paypal 5 bucks to see the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Seeing that convection wrapping into the neg tilt and stuff breaking out in KY is quite a sight. I'd paypal 5 bucks to see the end Should be the extended RGEM that goes out to hr 84, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 GFS not going to do it this run, but points for trying maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 5 minutes ago, WestminsterSnowCapitalMA said: Snow Thanks a lot....Iol Wanted a few details about how! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Seeing that convection wrapping into the neg tilt and stuff breaking out in KY is quite a sight. I'd paypal 5 bucks to see the end It was a think of beaut. We might get an extension if we offer a pack of Molson and a gift card to Tim Horton's. That's honestly the best look of the night. Icon was nice too, but it was certainly warm. I think that's more of a by product of global resolution more than anything else. I'll take the high res close in with the thermal profile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Gfs looks very similar to the rgem through 48. Heh. A bit less tilt. And I nailed another model forecast with wave 1. Psu builds snowmen and I get a car wash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Gfs is a disorganized mess like the nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Thanks a lot....Iol Wanted a few details about how! take the hint Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, yoda said: Wow rgem cut way way back here. Had almost 2" qpf 18z. About .6 this run. Central pa wants to know where their 2 feet of snow went lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 This one is coming to come down to the wire and depend on all of the chips falling in the right place at the right time. Could even see warnings and no snow here like during the snowquester Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Gfs is a disorganized mess like the nam. Says the guy who gets the most digital snow. Lol. Dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Gfs is a disorganized mess like the nam. Yeah what is it's problem, seriously? (Although ya think it got ever so slightly closer with the Low this time?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Yeah what is it's problem, seriously? (Although ya think it got ever so slightly closer with the Low this time?) No, look at the upper levels. Nams are actually better than the gfs. Gfs never closes off h5 and stays progressive. It thought about it and said nah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 5 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Thanks a lot....Iol Wanted a few details about how! I'm in no position to explain things, but in real world terms negative tilt means it comes up the coast instead of going out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plow'n Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 I've noticed some develop model-phobia within 48 hrs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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