MJO812 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, NYCGreg said: John is pumped for this event He thinks we will see plenty of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 It's laughable the thermal profile differences between the NAM and GFS at this range... doesn't make a difference City westward, but from the Nassau/Suffolk border eastward it starts to matter more and more each mile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeTwentyFour Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Why am I still worried about the south shore of the nassau county not panning out. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G930A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 The GGEM is a slightly wetter version of the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 5 minutes ago, Snow88 said: John is pumped for this event He thinks we will see plenty of snow. 6-9" officially Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, ZeeTwentyFour said: Why am I still worried about the south shore of the nassau county not panning out. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G930A using Tapatalk I think Nassau is fine temp wise. I think it’s possible though that the best snows set up just to their west however Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, weatherbear5 said: It's laughable the thermal profile differences between the NAM and GFS at this range... doesn't make a difference City westward, but from the Nassau/Suffolk border eastward it starts to matter more and more each mile And possibly from the Queens/Nassau border. Some of the larger vendors have lowered their snowfall outlooks in Nassau. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The GGEM is a slightly wetter version of the GFS. Yeah, a slightly tuned down version of its 12z run. Didn't change much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 For the love of god someone please post the nws official forecast map that was just put out 10 mins ago everyone please just look at that take a deep breath get off the computer for 10 mins and come back. This is their official forecast after watching the same oz runs we have all just watched I can’t pist in my mobile but it’s 12-16” for virtually the entire nyc metro. I’m sorry rant over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 9 minutes ago, swamplover56 said: For the love of god someone please post the nws official forecast map that was just put out 10 mins ago everyone please just look at that take a deep breath get off the computer for 10 mins and come back. This is their official forecast after watching the same oz runs we have all just watched I can’t pist in my mobile but it’s 12-16” for virtually the entire nyc metro. I’m sorry rant over I don't think the doubters will find much solace in that, given some of the recent experiences. I think its probably time to let things roll and see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 13 minutes ago, swamplover56 said: For the love of god someone please post the nws official forecast map that was just put out 10 mins ago everyone please just look at that take a deep breath get off the computer for 10 mins and come back. This is their official forecast after watching the same oz runs we have all just watched I can’t pist in my mobile but it’s 12-16” for virtually the entire nyc metro. I’m sorry rant over I give up rjay or someone else please pist the ncep rdfd THAT WAS ISSUED AT 3z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 I do think it will snow heavily most places tomorrow. I simply don't buy into 6-12 in. amounts. For example...Newark is not going to see 14 in. 4-6 in.? Sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 @SACRUS I missed your model summaries this year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 0z NAM from 8pm Wed- 2am Thurs. Us interior folk are riding it hard! Lets go NAM lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 0z HRDPS looks pretty good for most. Deform band over LI as it pulls away. 10"+ for most at 10:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 10 minutes ago, Nibor said: 0z HRDPS looks pretty good for most. Deform band over LI as it pulls away. 10"+ for most at 10:1. I told my buddies at work that my prediction is 10 for the immediate metro area. It’s the middle ground between the weenies (and NWS in this case) and the debbie D’s. Will stick to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 hour ago, Enigma said: 1/2 inch per hour rates tomorrow will not get it done in the city. intense rates would definitely help but even if the rates are 1/2 inch per hour if it is cold = it will stick anywhere. We will soon know either way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said: I told my buddies at work that my prediction is 10 for the immediate metro area. It’s the middle ground between the weenies (and NWS in this case) and the debbie D’s. Will stick to it. 10 might be the lucky number. I have no idea myself. We will see how it all works out though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 56 minutes ago, NYCGreg said: The UKMET pretty much has the max in the same area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shadowsintherain Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 8 minutes ago, shadowsintherain said: . Shadow that is from 6 pm isn't there a more recent map ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 42 minutes ago, Enigma said: I do think it will snow heavily most places tomorrow. I simply don't buy into 6-12 in. amounts. For example...Newark is not going to see 14 in. 4-6 in.? Sure. Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 21, 2018 Author Share Posted March 21, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingbaus Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 6 minutes ago, Rjay said: that looks nice, but what did the 12z had? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 11 minutes ago, kingbaus said: that looks nice, but what did the 12z had? Drier than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingbaus Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, snywx said: Drier than 12z. Tonights trend has been drier expect for the nam. Why is that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 6 minutes ago, snywx said: Drier than 12z. Is it drier for everyone or drier for the interior? Because there seems to be some confusion when that stuff gets posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 6 minutes ago, NYCGreg said: Is it drier for everyone or drier for the interior? Because there seems to be some confusion when that stuff gets posted. Drier for everyone. Precip amounts are still decent for the coast, LE 1"+ in and around NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 hour ago, swamplover56 said: I give up rjay or someone else please pist the ncep rdfd THAT WAS ISSUED AT 3z read elsewhere that that time stamp was not correct and it was an older forecast map... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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