SleetStormNJ Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, seanick said: So which is it? Better or worse for the area? If you like a big storm with long duration and snow, it’s fantastic. Great for central and north NJ into NYC, LHV, S. CT, West LI. Looks like Suffolk will deal with mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, Zelocita Weather said: I like this NAM, N NJ and NYC bullseye as opposed to S NJ/PHL Over 2 inches of liquid and over a foot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Looks to end between 4am-7am Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, kat5hurricane said: Seriously. It's colder, warmer, wetter, drier. Come on guys, get it together. Initially it's warmer. End result is probably about the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, Zelocita Weather said: Looks to end between 4am-7am Thursday 24 hours of snow Insane run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, kat5hurricane said: Seriously. It's colder, warmer, wetter, drier. Come on guys, get it together. Agreed. It's pretty hard to follow along people post conflicting reports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingbaus Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Looks good for me in me in Middletiown NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 The NAM continues to be a warm outlier in terms of the mid-levels over LI... it's a crazy difference between that and the globals but I've said it multiple times, do not underestimate that WAA. Still a great run, but you lose a good bit of LE to sleet in central LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 00z NAM is insane, 2”+ LE for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 NAM cuts snow totals in half in PHL and S NJ. Some places go from 15 in to 4 in. in one run. Probably model noise. If I were that S NY crew, I wouldn't bite just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 I'm speechless...Just for ishes, still interested to see what happens with the Euro tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 9 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: 00z NAM is insane, 2”+ LE for everyone I prefer 18z, broader 2" swath and cooler. BL temps aren't so kind. Fwiw HRRRRRR absolutely torches the BL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 As they say, you gotta smell the taint/rain in order to get the biggest snows so NYC is close to that zone, a little too close for my liking at least on the NAM. The NAM really upped the ante for the interior, wowzers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: I prefer 18z, broader 2" swath and cooler. BL temps aren't so kind. Fwiw HRRRRRR absolutely torches the BL Common sense would disagree with the 2m temps on the HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 This was certainly not a good run for many folks on the board. There is some excessive optimism in here tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, Enigma said: This was certainly not a good run for many folks on the board. There is some excessive optimism in here tonight. Why not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ace Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: I prefer 18z, broader 2" swath and cooler. BL temps aren't so kind. Fwiw HRRRRRR absolutely torches the BL Surface temperatures on the HRRR????????? Lol come on man we have a dry cold airmass with low dew points with northeast winds during the storm. I doubt we see those temps the HRRR is advertising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 10 minutes ago, Enigma said: This was certainly not a good run for many folks on the board. There is some excessive optimism in here tonight. How do you figure that? The run seemed fine for many and actually got a lot better for inland areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingbaus Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 I don't see mix precip unless you live south of I-195. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Hi-Res NAM way north and wet as well...looking good for all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 7 minutes ago, Ace said: Surface temperatures on the HRRR????????? Lol come on man we have a dry cold airmass with low dew points with northeast winds during the storm. I doubt we see those temps the HRRR is advertising. Not that we won't wetbulb tomorrow, but it's 38 at this hour in C NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, Zelocita Weather said: Hi-Res NAM way north and wet as well...looking good for all Talk about crawl... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 11 minutes ago, Enigma said: This was certainly not a good run for many folks on the board. There is some excessive optimism in here tonight. Yes. People have the snow goggles on again. Early on it's warm aloft and later on the BL warms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 RGEM is further east compared to the Nam Nam has been jumping around a lot RGEM has 20 hours of snow after 2-3 hours of sleet for the coast Great hit for the coast and inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Cherry on top of the 3k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, Zelocita Weather said: Hi-Res NAM way north and wet as well...looking good for all I went bullish for this, it better happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 NAM = snow gun for 24 hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 What’s precip look like on RGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ace Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, Enigma said: Not that we won't wetbulb tomorrow, but it's 38 at this hour in C NJ. Surface temperatures are a bit high in our area at the moment, but the HRRR has temps for some people on here at 18Z tomorrow in the upper 30's! The cold surface temperatures after the initial burst of precipitation tomorrow I am fairly confident about. Of course mid level temperatures and precipitation rates are much more questionable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, Zelocita Weather said: What’s precip look like on RGEM? 2-3 hours of sleet and then moderate to heavy snow for 15 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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