Doorman Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=continental-conus-13-48-0-100-1&checked=map Tropical Snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 GFS is now the furthest north with the goods opposing EURO. All the others in between. Hate to ask. GEFS anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, Doorman said: http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=continental-conus-13-48-0-100-1&checked=map Tropical Snowstorm Beautiful explosion over VA/WV. Nice. Gorgeous ULL too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said: GFS is now the furthest north with the goods opposing EURO. All the others in between. Hate to ask. GEFS anyone? Over an inch for pretty much everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 thunderstorms at CLT are a testament to the upper dynamics with the now neg-tilt upper low in the OH/TN valleys. it's in the upper 40s there - cold air has wedged in all the way down the apps. KCLT 202343Z 02015G20KT 6SM +TSRA BR BKN014CB BKN035 OVC060 09/07 A2950 RMK AO2 WSHFT 2327 LTG DSNT ALQDS RAB34 TSE23B27 OCNL LTGICCCCG OHD TS OHD MOV NE P0006 T00890072 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman86 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 What type of amounts we can see in Passaic County Clifton Area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 7 minutes ago, Snowman86 said: What type of amounts we can see in Passaic County Clifton Area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 25 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Over an inch for pretty much everyone. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 RAP suggesting a risk for TSSN over the Delmarva and NJ so far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, Doorman said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: https://digital.weather.gov/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, Doorman said: It will not average 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mancave25 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 What does tssn stand for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, Mancave25 said: What does tssn stand for thundersnow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: It will not average 10:1 In my area it will. The latest from Mt. Holly mention 11/12-1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: It will not average 10:1 Unlike previous storms, this airmass is colder and drier and with the onset of the moderate to heavy snowfall, temperatures will likely remain at or below freezing for much of the event. Thus, expect a higher snowfall ratio, closer to 10:1 or even higher. take it up with NWS Upton https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Despite what the models are saying, is it possible for the heavy snow to move further NW and N? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, ForestHillWx said: In my area it will. The latest from Mt. Holly mention 11/12-1. Good luck with that. At night, maybe, even if the BL is cold that doesn't mean high ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 4 minutes ago, Doorman said: Unlike previous storms, this airmass is colder and drier and with the onset of the moderate to heavy snowfall, temperatures will likely remain at or below freezing for much of the event. Thus, expect a higher snowfall ratio, closer to 10:1 or even higher. take it up with NWS Upton https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off Yeah, still waiting on my 20" of snow this month they said I'd have. They even increase totals mid storm in the middle of an obvious bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, White Gorilla said: Despite what the models are saying, is it possible for the heavy snow to move further NW and N? don't get your hopes up on that http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/A_24hrsfc.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 4 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Despite what the models are saying, is it possible for the heavy snow to move further NW and N? Yes. All it would take is a 30 mile jog N to get most of the HV in 12"+. 18z model data has shown an increase N. Hopefully 0z can continue the trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 7 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Yeah, still waiting on my 20" of snow this month they said I'd have. They even increase totals mid storm in the middle of an obvious bust. Understood ...but hold on to the sour grapes, till after we done on this one low end amount at 90% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, Doorman said: Understood ...but hold on the sour grapes, till after we done on this one He's always like this with every storm lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, Doorman said: Understood ...but hold on the sour grapes, till after we done on this one They are just so bullish immediately after being burned. There forecasting something is literally unprecedented in NYC history. Calling for greater than 10:1 ratios with a borderline BL and less than stellar mid and upper level temps is suspect. If They cited they believe there will be more liquid than guidance suggests I could get behind that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: He's always like this with every storm lol Well he is kinda right. NWS has been intransigent in the face of being incorrect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, Snow88 said: He's always like this with every storm lol Yeah, and what did you get last week after being so confident it wouldn't be slop? There's reason why NYC has NEVER had a 12" storm this late... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Based on the temps between 700-850mb I would guess ratios are 10 to 1 most likely. May be 8-9:1 for a time 14-18Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: Yeah, and what did you get last week after being so confident it wouldn't be slop? There's reason why NYC has NEVER had a 12" storm this late... You do realize this will be the coldest out of the 3 others ? The reason why we missed out on the other 3 was banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 20 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: It will not average 10:1 Really? Read Mt. Holly 4pm write up. 8-10:1 in city area, and 11-12:1 interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: You do realize this will be the coldest out of the 3 others ? The reason why we missed out on the other 3 was banding. I do, also another week further into spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.