forkyfork Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 nyc is most certainly not getting a slop storm from this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 20, 2018 Author Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, Nibor said: Yay? I can’t tell if you’re being facetious... I'm serious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 3 minutes ago, NewYorkweatherfan said: Agreed it's been wrong but the temps were never wrong on any of the past storms the writing was on the wall for the past few noreasters this month for the temps to be above freezing on all guidance. This time around the writing is on the wall but instead its the opposite they are depicting temps below freezing. 3-6 Is too little besides this storm is going to be a long lasting event about 24hrs probably around 20 cause they always move faster the modeled. Regardless I think we are okay unless this storm just gets undermodeled and scoots east. Doubt it. Can't wait till tomorrow gotta track the death band. You know what I noticed tracking storms is probably just as fun as being out in one! I think whatever death band happens takes place west of the city for a while because it’s so frequent when good forcing gets into NJ, but odds are we all get into good action for a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 14 minutes ago, jm1220 said: If it’s 34 instead of 32 for much of the storm and the best banding happens away from the city, it could certainly happen. I would definitely go with 8-12 given the bullish guidance. But it’s been wrong before. i find it hard to believe it will be 34 with heavy precip in the city in southern jersey when you had some precip today temps were freezing or even slightly below.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 State of Emergency in effect for NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 13 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Yes, it's almost April. Unlikely but certainly possible if it's 34 forget it. Who cares if it's April It can snow in May with a good pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 10 minutes ago, forkyfork said: nyc is most certainly not getting a slop storm from this Speaking of Rutgers, the dopey chem dept had scheduled a review for 820 tonight and my son feels he needs to be there. Right now things look ok here but this review will go on till around 11. I'm worried about him is there a chance anything will be cranking tonight by that time ( he just called to tell me his car didn't start earlier but now it just did, give an old man a stroke ) anyone can feel free to weigh in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 10 minutes ago, jm1220 said: I think whatever death band happens takes place west of the city for a while because it’s so frequent when good forcing gets into NJ, but odds are we all get into good action for a time. Think we''ll do better this time out, but don't think over a foot is realistic. Several stations calling 6-12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Just now, weatherpruf said: Think we''ll do better this time out, but don't think over a foot is realistic. Several stations calling 6-12. I like our chances. I’m in Kenilworth. I think this is our storm, meaning those who have been fringed or subsidenced on the big storms so far this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 2 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Think we''ll do better this time out, but don't think over a foot is realistic. Several stations calling 6-12. 6-12 is a good conservative call, but people here keep citing the date and past storms as if they have bearing here. There is a very good chance for over a foot considering the guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, SleetStormNJ said: I like our chances. I’m in Kenilworth. I think this is our storm, meaning those who have been fringed or subsidenced on the big storms so far this winter. Me too. My district actually hasn't canceled but I already called my parents to reschedule IEP meetings. Rutgers is closed tomorrow ( but not tonight see my post above ) as are Philly and NYC schools. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, Wetbulbs88 said: 6-12 is a good conservative call, but people here keep citing the date and past storms as if they have bearing here. There is a very good chance for over a foot considering the guidance. Sure, it could happen. Double digit storms don't happen every day here, but they do happen. We just missed 10 by a hair in April 82, some places had a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 13 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Who cares if it's April It can snow in May with a good pattern Apparently every storm in history. You said the same about the last storm too. Granted this has more potential and wouldn't be surprised to see it 29 degrees tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Guys every storm this month was historic in their ways. Snow wise for NYC this has the most potential since January 04, 2018 and also January 23, 2016. This is our storm man drop the sticking conversation and if the city is getting 3-6 its obviously getting more. You may have your opinion amd i respect that but you're against the odds here. Good luck with the 3-6 call though. Philly went down to 31 today and it stuck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 22 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Speaking of Rutgers, the dopey chem dept had scheduled a review for 820 tonight and my son feels he needs to be there. Right now things look ok here but this review will go on till around 11. I'm worried about him is there a chance anything will be cranking tonight by that time ( he just called to tell me his car didn't start earlier but now it just did, give an old man a stroke ) anyone can feel free to weigh in here. things don't get cranking until the morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 44 minutes ago, forkyfork said: nyc is most certainly not getting a slop storm from this Yeah my DP is about 10 points lower then what it was with the storm earlier this month at least as of right now. Current DP is 21 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 17 minutes ago, NewYorkweatherfan said: Guys every storm this month was historic in their ways. Snow wise for NYC this has the most potential since January 04, 2018 and also January 23, 2016. This is our storm man drop the sticking conversation and if the city is getting 3-6 its obviously getting more. You may have your opinion amd i respect that but you're against the odds here. Good luck with the 3-6 call though. Philly went down to 31 today and it stuck! It’s funny but at the end of it all NYC might have the least snow of DCA PHL BOS for March. Let’s say NYC gets 12 tomorrow which puts them at 16 or so. If DCA gets close to 8 or a bit over and that storm this weekend hits them they may end up ahead for the month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=continental-conus-13-48-0-100-1&checked=map Tropical Snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 GFS is now the furthest north with the goods opposing EURO. All the others in between. Hate to ask. GEFS anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, Doorman said: http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=continental-conus-13-48-0-100-1&checked=map Tropical Snowstorm Beautiful explosion over VA/WV. Nice. Gorgeous ULL too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said: GFS is now the furthest north with the goods opposing EURO. All the others in between. Hate to ask. GEFS anyone? Over an inch for pretty much everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 thunderstorms at CLT are a testament to the upper dynamics with the now neg-tilt upper low in the OH/TN valleys. it's in the upper 40s there - cold air has wedged in all the way down the apps. KCLT 202343Z 02015G20KT 6SM +TSRA BR BKN014CB BKN035 OVC060 09/07 A2950 RMK AO2 WSHFT 2327 LTG DSNT ALQDS RAB34 TSE23B27 OCNL LTGICCCCG OHD TS OHD MOV NE P0006 T00890072 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman86 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 What type of amounts we can see in Passaic County Clifton Area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 7 minutes ago, Snowman86 said: What type of amounts we can see in Passaic County Clifton Area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 25 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Over an inch for pretty much everyone. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 RAP suggesting a risk for TSSN over the Delmarva and NJ so far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, Doorman said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: https://digital.weather.gov/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, Doorman said: It will not average 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mancave25 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 What does tssn stand for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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