Gravity Wave Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 If that Euro run verifies I'll personally buy new servers for this site. Disclaimer: This post does not constitute an offer for sale of products or services, nor is it a promise that may reasonably be relied upon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 EURO still gets one inch liquid into NYC metro, just has a crazy cutoff from the Bronx north and west. Doesnt make much sense given the lack of PV or confluence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strgazr27 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 hour ago, allgame830 said: hmmm mayb NYC public schools will close tomorrow..... any takers!?! Likely not as the heaviest precipitation will fall after schools start, the heat Island effect, although March is still a factor as well as foot and auto traffic helping to keep the streets mostly slushy. I’d be VERY SURPRISED if they closed for tomorrow. My wife’s district and my kids have both gone with likely 2 hour early dismissal here in N. Suffolk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 6 minutes ago, BlizzardNYC said: Servers are extremely slow I thought the site crashed could not login the last hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, strgazr27 said: Likely not as the heaviest precipitation will fall after schools start, the heat Island effect, although March is still a factor as well as foot and auto traffic helping to keep the streets mostly slushy. I’d be VERY SURPRISED if they closed for tomorrow. My wife’s district and my kids have both gone with likely 2 hour early dismissal here in N. Suffolk. Unlike the suburbs, you can't just close some of the NYC Public Schools without closing all of them. Just because Manhattan might not have true blizzard conditions they may still close schools if the other 4 boroughs experience blizzard conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Eps says every other model is wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 6 minutes ago, mikem81 said: EURO still gets one inch liquid into NYC metro, just has a crazy cutoff from the Bronx north and west. Doesnt make much sense given the lack of PV or confluence. Don't look at the eps lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 I guess DC crashed the board, you can see why. Yes that's a 27"+ spot there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Wish I had access to the Euro. How is it so alone right now? Is it really seeing the confluence that strongly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Euro with sharp cutoffs N n W ? where about how far N n W ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 EPS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 We're officially in trouble, the 18z NAM is coming in like the 12z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 hour ago, Sn0waddict said: Just ignore the depressing EURO and look at the wrf-NMM! Guess it's hard to discuss a potential storm when the site won't load. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 The NAM is a little bit North of the Euro, but wow that is close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 6 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The NAM is a little bit North of the Euro, but wow that is close. Well, the Euro got over an inch of LE into the NYC proper area. It may have cut totals north of the city, but it raised them in the city itself. If that is what the 18z NAM showed, I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 7 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The NAM is a little bit North of the Euro, but wow that is close. Too close for comfort up here. The precip made it further north than earlier forecasts for today, so hopefully that holds true for tomorrow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 4 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The NAM is a little bit North of the Euro, but wow that is close. It recovers with a 3rd low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 4 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The NAM is a little bit North of the Euro, but wow that is close. It recovers with a 3rd low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 13 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The NAM is a little bit North of the Euro, but wow that is close. How far North ???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Intense banding feature does rotate NW over time, but if you end up on the wrong side of this.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 the 18z NAM is 2-3" LE over the city.... calm down everyone!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triniiphone Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 nam is 21" wit 10:1 ratio and 17" with Kuchera for nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Looks wetter than 12z for immediate NYC metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, triniiphone said: wrong 25 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The NAM is a little bit North of the Euro, but wow that is close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 NAM wetter and more NW than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 23 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The NAM is a little bit North of the Euro, but wow that is close. What’s preventing northern and western precip expansion? Confluence? Placement of the SLP doesn’t look too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 For those cheerleading the 18z NAM, my point was that it has the same sharp cutoff that the Euro has to the North, except that it's a bit further North. And initially it didn't look like anything was going to make it North of the city at all, but luckily that changed. If the NAM is even 30-40 miles too far North, nobody North of the city is seeing much of anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 My only concern TBH is that the Euro ensembles were so miserable. Otherwise I would not bat an eye about the Op run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 18z 3k NAM pivots the CCB all the way back here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 There is some uncertainty with the ECMWF solution pointing to lower liquid equivalent amounts, but it appears to be an outlier from the respect of a weaker closed low off the New England coast by Wednesday night. The exact placement of the heavy snow band is also a difficult thing to pinpoint, but a well defined deformation zone and frontogenesis to the NW of the low track points to this signal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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