SnowGoose69 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 37 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: I posted this yesterday. Of course there are many March snowstorms greater than the ones I listed below and you listed them above. This was just the 8 biggest after the spring equinox. I think that's why some were confused. There are only eight snowfalls of 6 inches or greater after the spring equinox in New York City. Also interesting to note here there have been 30 snowfalls 6 inches or greater in the month of March in New York City but only one between March 22 and March 31 but seven from April 1 through April 13. Just a curious weird anomaly. If it does happen on Wednesday it is more or less a one in twenty-year occurrence to happen in spring in New York City. 6 inch Spring Snowfalls in NYC 1.....10.2.....April 3-4, 1915 2.....10.0.....April 13, 1875 3.......9.6.....April 6, 1982 4.......9.0.....March 22, 1967 5.......8.5.....April 1, 1924 6.......6.5.....April 5, 1944 7.......6.5.....April 8-9, 1917 8.......6.4.....April 6-7, 1938 It’s always odd how there is clearly a minimum between about 3/20-3/31 for whatever reason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 hour ago, Rjay said: Calling @donsutherland1. This isn't accurate but I'm way too tired to dig up your stats. 10 Largest NYC Snowstorms in March: 21.0", March 12-14, 1888 18.1", March 7-8, 1941 14.5", March 1-2, 1914 and March 3-4, 1960 12.0", March 15-16, 1896 11.8", March 20-21, 1958 (Biggest March 20 or later) 11.6", March 18-19, 1956 10.6", March 13-14, 1993 10.0", March 2, 1896 9.0" March 22, 1967 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 News media for NYC are all saying 6-10+. I think that's a better call than 12-16 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Seems to me like the 06z NAM had a brain fart due to the fact that the RGEM and GFS were 6-10/8-12. In regards to the EURO it has a SE bias so .7-1.1 across the area is pretty damn good. Also those EPS members were heavily West leaned I really don’t care what the QPF showed because there were some crazy east members (VERY few btw) that probably skewed the mean. Some on here just live and die by each model run way to much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: But it's not drunk when it prints out 2" LE all frozen? And the point needs to be drilled. No guidance shows those amounts and you have climo to fight. 2” LE might not be that far off with a moisture laden system like this... but the vomit that it just showed is in the waste bin right now. I’m sorry you don’t go from 2 feet in some locales to like a couple inches at best. Enough said doesn’t make sense and is tossed. Models have blips all the time and the NAM usually throws one out there close to an event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pstar3182 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 10 minutes ago, allgame830 said: Some on here just live and die by each model run way to much Most* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Serious red sky this morning . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 46 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: It’s always odd how there is clearly a minimum between about 3/20-3/31 for whatever reason I like early April far more. Something special about early April snowfalls. Late March doesn't cut it for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERBUFF Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 All ot these models seem to have gotten worse, they keep changing till the last minute just like they have in all of the storms this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Honestly, it’s fine. I kind of figured this would happen. Expect a shift back to the West over the next 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Honestly, it’s fine. I kind of figured this would happen. Expect a shift back to the West over the next 24 hours. Any scientific reasoning or just the seasonal trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 12 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Honestly, it’s fine. I kind of figured this would happen. Expect a shift back to the West over the next 24 hours. Agreed, IMO nothing has changed since last nights 0z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Didn’t this posted.. 0z UKIE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 6 minutes ago, allgame830 said: Didn’t this posted.. 0z UKIE I wish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 https://digital.weather.gov/ MARCH MADNESS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 2 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: I posted this yesterday. Of course there are many March snowstorms greater than the ones I listed below and you listed them above. This was just the 8 biggest after the spring equinox. I think that's why some were confused. There are only eight snowfalls of 6 inches or greater after the spring equinox in New York City. Also interesting to note here there have been 30 snowfalls 6 inches or greater in the month of March in New York City but only one between March 22 and March 31 but seven from April 1 through April 13. Just a curious weird anomaly. If it does happen on Wednesday it is more or less a one in twenty-year occurrence to happen in spring in New York City. 6 inch Spring Snowfalls in NYC 1.....10.2.....April 3-4, 1915 2.....10.0.....April 13, 1875 3.......9.6.....April 6, 1982 4.......9.0.....March 22, 1967 5.......8.5.....April 1, 1924 6.......6.5.....April 5, 1944 7.......6.5.....April 8-9, 1917 8.......6.4.....April 6-7, 1938 April 1982 was also a lot more in other places- I believe Newark got 13" April 1915- I dont know how NYC only had 10" Philly had close to 20" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Couple of instagram'd sunrise shots from our live broadcast at Asbury Park this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Couple of instagram'd sunrise shots from our live broadcast at Asbury Park this morning It was amazing. I’m not a picture taker. These will do it justice. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 April 1982 was also a lot more in other places- I believe Newark got 13" April 1915- I dont know how NYC only had 10" Philly had close to 20"Most likely banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 4 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Most likely banding . I found some old newspaper articles about it from Philly, must have been an amazing event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Started an Obs thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Upton !!! "Areas from about NYC eastward will also need to be monitored for a potential blizzard warning with strong winds around 20-30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph are expected" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Deep thunder has a hecs for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 That Euro was not a good sign, I don't care about the Nam since it has been erratic but you don't want the Euro to start suppressing this. I hope it corrects by 12z or at the very least doesn't get worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 3 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: That Euro was not a good sign, I don't care about the Nam since it has been erratic but you don't want the Euro to start suppressing this. I hope it corrects by 12z or at the very least doesn't get worse. Gefs was a big hit for the coast Euro was fine for the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Gefs was a big hit for the coast Euro was fine for the coast It's the trends that are concerning, esp if you are away from the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 7 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: That Euro was not a good sign, I don't care about the Nam since it has been erratic but you don't want the Euro to start suppressing this. I hope it corrects by 12z or at the very least doesn't get worse. The Euro has had SE tendencies this year with coastal lows and to be honest since the upgrade 2 winters ago inside 24-36. Its also generally been dry. I think both Upton and Taunton are weighing that idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tempestatis014 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 What model are you guys gunning for as most reliable? Me personally, I'm going with the HRDPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: It's the trends that are concerning, esp if you are away from the coast I hope everyone gets a good storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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