snywx Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, kingbaus said: Wow I can't believe how dead is inside here. Where are you located? You seem very excited about this Euro run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yaz Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 500 level similar to last night's run of the EURO, surface pressure 3mb weaker.....and as mentioned surface location slightly west of last nights H72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingbaus Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 2 minutes ago, snywx said: Where are you located? You seem very excited about this Euro run Jersey shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Lets see if the EPS matches the OP, the DC crew is going crazy over this run of the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Interesting. More tomorrow. Night y'all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Just now, Rtd208 said: Lets see if the EPS matches the OP, the DC crew is going crazy over this run of the Euro. It's by far their best. They cash in on wave 1 too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Euro cut precipitation substantially N&W of I95 from 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 I think the EPS might be a bit north and west of the OP but we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 20, 2018 Author Share Posted March 20, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteoropoulos Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AMEDT THURSDAY * WHAT...HEAVY MIXED WINTER PRECIPITATION TRANSITIONING TO HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 12 TO 16 INCHES AND LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED. * WHERE...PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. * WHEN...FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...TRAVEL WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO IMPOSSIBLE, INCLUDING DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE ON WEDNESDAY. EXPECT SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AT TIMES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW, SLEET AND ICE WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. CHECK LOCAL DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION INFORMATION SERVICES FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS. && Issuing Office: New York City Source: National Weather Service Issued: Tue, Mar 20, 3:44 AM EDT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nightknights Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 NWS all in at 12-16 now NE NJ/Metro. Www On 3/18/2018 at 2:10 PM, Snow88 said: Euro is further northwest for the 2nd wave and gives the coast moderate precip with below freezing temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 3 minutes ago, nightknights said: NWS all in at 12-16 now NE NJ/Metro. Www After seeing that 0z EURO run I’m surprised they upped the amounts so quickly . I would have at least waited till 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 20, 2018 Author Share Posted March 20, 2018 Also upped totals to 11-15" for Nassau and 7-10" locally 13" for western Suffolk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdenzler Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Also upped totals to 11-15" for Nassau and 7-10" locally 13" for western Suffolk.Wow... and boom... NAM says no way.Yikes... what an awful run to wake up to.Sent from my Moto G (4) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 That’s quite bullish by Upton, wow. I think it would be a record for this late in March if this verifies in the Park (if I remember one of Don’s posts correctly). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 20, 2018 Author Share Posted March 20, 2018 Lol oh man. The 6z nam... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 4 minutes ago, Rjay said: Lol oh man. The 6z nam... That bad? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 20, 2018 Author Share Posted March 20, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, ILoveWinter said: That bad? Its weaker and wayy east of 0z. Went from giving me 24" to 0" in 1 run lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Just now, snywx said: Its weaker and wayy east of 0z. Went from giving me 24" to 0" in 1 run lol.. Yea pretty wild swing east considering we are a day away. Story of the winter I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 These models are absolutely horrific. Its entirely possible the DC crew hits the jackpot on this one but I am a bit skeptical of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 3 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said: Yea pretty wild swing east considering we are a day away. Story of the winter I guess. As all this is going down Upton is upgrading its entire CWA outside of eastern suffolk to a warning. Has up to 16" for Orange lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Got to get to bed, finally, but been up reviewing climatological data to determine the top 10 “MARCH” snowfall events for select localities. That said, thought I’d simply note that 10” at Central Park will tie for 10th on that list. 12” will get into the top five, and 14.6” is currently number three. Wishing you all good luck. Possible I may be chasing in the region, dependent on my work obligations and how the 12z model runs play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, snywx said: As all this is going down Upton is upgrading its entire CWA outside of eastern suffolk to a warning. Has up to 16" for Orange lol. Well if this continues at 12z you can take away the "1" from "16" lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 I think the NWS should have waited until after the 12z runs before increasing/decreasing snowfall amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 20, 2018 Author Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, ncforecaster89 said: Got to get to bed, finally, but been up reviewing climatological data to determine the top 10 “MARCH” snowfall events for select localities. That said, thought I’d simply note that 10” at Central Park will tie for 10th on that list. 12” will get into the top five, and 14.6” is currently number three. Wishing you all good luck. Possible I may be chasing in the region, dependent on my work obligations and how the 12z model runs play out. Calling @donsutherland1. This isn't accurate but I'm way too tired to dig up your stats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 We may have to consider putting "Snow88" on suicide watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 The 06z 3K NAM has less than .5 inches QPF from TTN southward through 00z Thursday. Absolutely insane 6 hour swing. Makes me wonder if there was some bad data ingested, either in the 00z or 6z run... that being said, it would fit the more early occlusion look of the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Just upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning here for 8-14" of snow expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 06z 3km NAM is even worse lol.. Drastic is an understatement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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