Stormlover74 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Mixing up to the Hudson valley early Wednesday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 When would we know how long a lull is possible between wave 1 and wave 2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 10 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: NYC will not receive the most snow from this storm. The higher elevations of NW NJ and the North shore of LI should do the best in this region. After 18 years of mostly good winters, I've come to just assume this will be the case no matter the forecast, with the qualifier that sometimes it's NE NJ, and North Shore is usually North shore +/- 2 miles of Stony Brook. No matter the characteristics of the given storm, it seems that for most storms where it's snow throughout the Upton coverage area, those areas seem to do best. First nice bands hit NE NJ, then the lingering never ending remaining bands out on the North Shore of Suffolk. Not always, but quite frequently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 I’m supposed to take off from Boston at 3:30 and land in Newark at 5 tomorrow. How’s that looking?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: You're not getting a severe ice storm at 31 in almost April. Not true. Sleet is bad and 30 degrees and zr at night is going to accrue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 3km NAM is a LOT more aggressive with the 1st wave compared to 12z, looks a lot like the 12km. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 So was the nam bad with wave 2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Low is further east but still has major mixing until late morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Haven't looked too close yet but looks like a lot of temp issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, Blizzard-on-GFS said: Not true. Sleet is bad and 30 degrees and zr at night is going to accrue. Sleet doesn't knock out power, I could totally go for a Sleet storm way less destructive than a true ice storm. 07 was awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: Low is further east but still has major mixing until late morning The best forcing is actually way inland over PA and Upstate NY, however that comes back to the coast as the CCB winds up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Alot of sleet to snow for the coast with alot of snow inland on the Nam. No other models have a warm layer like the nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dino Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, Snow88 said: Alot of sleet to snow for the coast with alot of snow inland on the Nam. No other models have a warm layer like the nam. Toss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, Snow88 said: Alot of sleet to snow for the coast with alot of snow inland on the Nam. No other models have a warm layer like the nam. Never doubt the nam when it has a warm layer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, Dino said: Toss it. Nope -- it's a mesoscale model. It might be more in touch with reality. We have to wait and see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The best forcing is actually way inland over PA and Upstate NY, however that comes back to the coast as the CCB winds up. That's pretty sexy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, Stormlover74 said: Never doubt the nam when it has a warm layer Amen, especially well into spring... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 8 minutes ago, North and West said: I’m supposed to take off from Boston at 3:30 and land in Newark at 5 tomorrow. How’s that looking? . it's dry for alot of tomorrow around EWR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Could be one of those deals where JFK is pinging and I'm getting SN+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Alot of sleet to snow for the coast with alot of snow inland on the Nam. No other models have a warm layer like the nam. Didn’t the 12z euro have a small warm layer? I might be mistaken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Snow comes in hours 51-60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 This is looking like a long duration crippling storm for our area. Definitely a HECS in terms of impact if nam depiction comes to fruition. tbd I am very afraid of ice and sleet id rather just get snow less impact and us weenies like it more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Closing in on 2" liquid all frozen. Alot of snow sleet or both Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Verbatim the 12km NAM is a crippling 30-hour snow-ice-snow storm for the City. 2" of LE in that period, all of it frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, NewYorkweatherfan said: This is looking like a long duration crippling storm for our area. Definitely a HECS in terms of impact if nam depiction comes to fruition. tbd I am very afraid of ice and sleet id rather just get snow less impact and us weenies like it more Oh please with this ice storm narrative. Sleet is fine and your not getting any significant icing in this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 To think how poorly models have performed this winter with 1 disturbance - and to then have TWO sizeable ones within a day? Tough for the models to sort this all out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: Oh please with this ice storm narrative. Sleet is fine and your not getting any significant icing in this setup. sleet makes a nice base coat for accumulations after Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 12 + on the Nam for NYC Sleet and snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, Snow88 said: 12 + on the Nam for NYC Sleet and snow lol For Wave 2 only or combined? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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