NJwx85 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Smoked, 984mb off the NJ coast, CCB cranking overhead. Heavy snow back to the NJ/PA/NY border (Port Jervis) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Nam goes boom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Just now, Big Jims Videos said: Nam goes boom. Warm but really amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Unreal changes from the NAM's previous runs how does that happen, wouldn't sampling changed 12z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Occludes off the NJ coast. Almost 2” of liquid. Tremendous hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Warm but really amped 2 feet of snow NW of NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Stalled and snowing itself out Wednesday night as the run ends. You could see the positive changes at H5 as the confluence pulls out much faster, over Maine by Thursday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Nyc gets a foot on the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Can’t post a weenie map, but 12k has 19” in New City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 People, we just got NAM’d Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 holy crap... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 4 minutes ago, tempestatis014 said: NWS in Mount Holly is saying a big bust. 1-2 inches, yet every storm they got wrong and they will probably stick with that forecast until tomorrow but it now looks like this has the potential to be a historic snowstorm for the second half of March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Now that's a correction! NAM a direct hit for all. EURO direct hit for southern areas. GFS up to bat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Nobody has a handle on this yet, not even NWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 1958 ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Too much NW trending can LI/NYC/Coastal regions be talking mixing issues or RAIN? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 1 hour ago, allgame830 said: Can you post an image of the EPS members I am having an issue locating it? I can only see the mean SLP placement. Thanks Several of the EPS members were very close to the 18z NAM tucked in track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 1 minute ago, sferic said: Too much NW trending can LI/NYC/Coastal regions be talking mixing issues or RAIN? Definitely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 That my friends is about as gorgeous as you’re going to get if you’re looking for maximum snow coverage where nobody really gets screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 1 minute ago, sferic said: Too much NW trending can LI/NYC/Coastal regions be talking mixing issues or RAIN? according to Upton its going to be all snow SO EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW TO DEVELOP LATER TUESDAY NIGHT AND LINGER INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ONCE AGAIN THERMAL PROFILES AND SURFACE WETBULB TEMPERATURES SUPPORT MAINLY/IF NOT ALL SNOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 The storm just sits there for about 18 hours snowing itself out. Looks sleety for the coast and city at the start though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: according to Upton its going to be all snow SO EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW TO DEVELOP LATER TUESDAY NIGHT AND LINGER INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ONCE AGAIN THERMAL PROFILES AND SURFACE WETBULB TEMPERATURES SUPPORT MAINLY/IF NOT ALL SNOW. We had all snow - or basically all snow - last storm as well. We need it to be below freezing for it to stick. If it is too warm, it's going to be white rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Just now, Stormlover74 said: The storm just sits there for about 18 hours snowing itself out. Looks sleety for the coast and city at the start though Yeah but that was really the perfect track as everyone flips to snow. I really don’t understand why people are so consumed with a little sleet when they still get a lot of snow. This isn’t North Dakota. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Just now, NJwx85 said: Yeah but that was really the perfect track as everyone flips to snow. I really don’t understand why people are so consumed with a little sleet when they still get a lot of snow. This isn’t North Dakota. I'm not concerned but also have to take that into account when looking at accumulation maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 1 minute ago, NYCGreg said: We had all snow - or basically all snow - last storm as well. We need it to be below freezing for it to stick. If it is too warm, it's going to be white rain. NYC should be 32-33 during the height of the storm. 20’s up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 7-1 or 8-1 ratios for NYC? Any CCB's with this? Would it be considered a Nor'Easter ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe4alb Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 2 minutes ago, NYCGreg said: We had all snow - or basically all snow - last storm as well. We need it to be below freezing for it to stick. If it is too warm, it's going to be white rain. Incorrect. I was at 34-35 during the whole storm and I ended up with 16". Good rates can result in accumulations even above freezing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: NYC should be 32-33 during the height of the storm. 20’s up here. That could certainly be the difference for NYC this time around... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: I'm not concerned but also have to take that into account when looking at accumulation maps This is the first storm in awhile that has true, dry cold air with it. There should be less mixing issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: NYC should be 32-33 during the height of the storm. 20’s up here. Nam is below freezing This will be colder than the past storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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