Rjay Posted March 20, 2018 Author Share Posted March 20, 2018 Ukie! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 5:19 PM, Rjay said: Ukie! Expand My god Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 5:19 PM, Rjay said: Ukie! Expand Impressive!! much wider coverage of the 30-40mm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 the cold sfc temps should allow for less sticking to branches and thus fewer power outages than the early month storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 5:19 PM, Rjay said: Ukie! Expand Correct me if I'm mistaken Rjay, but it seems to me like 850s are even slightly colder than 00z on the UKie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 5:19 PM, Rjay said: Ukie! Expand Wrecked. Congrats I-95. I haven’t seen a double digit storm in 3 years, I really think this will break my drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 The UKIE pretty much shows 40MM for NYC Proper (the dividing line between 30-40 and 40-50 is right there), and that is over 1.5 inches of liquid. Even at 8:1 ratios, that is 12.6 inches of snow. And a slight tick north gets us into even more. Great run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Upton is all in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 20, 2018 Author Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 5:24 PM, weatherbear5 said: Correct me if I'm mistaken Rjay, but it seems to me like 850s are even slightly colder than 00z on the UKie Expand I only glanced but they look pretty similar (within a degree C). The surface is a touch colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Precip has been reaching the ground once ceilings hit 5-6,000 feet. It won't take much at the moment near NYC if this keeps advancing north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 5:29 PM, Rjay said: I only glanced but they look pretty similar (within a degree C). The surface is a touch colder. Expand Yeah, meteograms for NYC at least show temps being similar, maybe slightly warmer. Was trying to compare the 6 hour maps, but that can be tough. Maybe it is further east though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Models are converging on a 12+ inch snowstorm for the NYC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Mt. Holly may increase amounts for Central NJ at this rate. Currently 11-15" forecast, could see 12-18" with locally higher amounts if these trends continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 5:34 PM, SnoSki14 said: Mt. Holly may increase amounts for Central NJ at this rate. Currently 11-15" forecast, could see 12-18" with locally higher amounts if these trends continue. Expand oh man u seem ALL IN on this one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 5:31 PM, SnowGoose69 said: Precip has been reaching the ground once ceilings hit 5-6,000 feet. It won't take much at the moment near NYC if this keeps advancing north. Expand Radar filling in rather quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 hmmm mayb NYC public schools will close tomorrow..... any takers!?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 5:34 PM, Snow88 said: Models are converging on a 12+ inch snowstorm for the NYC area. Expand Euro's got the floor now. I'm hoping it comes north a bit to get the heavier snow axis it portrayed last night up to the NYC metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 5:37 PM, allgame830 said: hmmm mayb NYC public schools will close tomorrow..... any takers!?! Expand Put the phone down and pay attention in class! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 The composite radar is overdone, look at the base if you want a closer depiction of what's hitting the ground. Right now the cutoff line is from about Allentown PA to Trenton, NJ to Monmouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richm20 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 5:05 PM, Zelocita Weather said: NWS NYC just went 14" - 16" basically for the whole area outside of far SE/NW Expand Where do you see this? I see 10-18" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 4:25 PM, ZeeTwentyFour said: I really want to believe you. We've been screwed the last few times here on the south shore. Expand I really want to believe me too. There’s much that can go wrong but it’s about as good a setup as we’ll see down here this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richm20 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 5:39 PM, NJwx85 said: Put the phone down and pay attention in class! Expand Oh they will be closed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 KPHL is reporting 30 degrees and light snow and a dew point of 26. KTTN is reporting 35 degrees and overcast with a dew point of 14. That's where your boundary is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 5:41 PM, NJwx85 said: The composite radar is overdone, look at the base if you want a closer depiction of what's hitting the ground. Right now the cutoff line is from about Allentown PA to Trenton, NJ to Monmouth. Expand I think there is more saturation in the lower levels closer to the coast. Precip reached the ground way faster by MJX/BLM than it is N of PHL. The same may occur near NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 5:42 PM, richm20 said: Oh they will be closed! Expand Highly doubtful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 5:44 PM, SnowGoose69 said: I think there is more saturation in the lower levels closer to the coast. Precip reached the ground way faster by MJX/BLM than it is N of PHL. The same may occur near NYC. Expand Could be, but you're talking very light flurries if it does happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 5:37 PM, allgame830 said: hmmm mayb NYC public schools will close tomorrow..... any takers!?! Expand Best guess: No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richm20 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 5:45 PM, NJwx85 said: Highly doubtful. Expand Once the blizzard warning hits, I bet they pull the plug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 5:47 PM, richm20 said: Once the blizzard warning hits, I bet they pull the plug. Expand They might issue a blizzard warning for parts of Long Island, however I would put the odds of one in the city at less than 20%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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