MJO812 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Nam has temps in the 20s with heavy snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ace Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Forget the precipitation maps. This is the only map you need to see for the 0Z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 2:25 AM, Gravity Wave said: 2nd wave is a major improvement on the NAM through 45. SLP is slower and more tucked in, and it's colder aloft. Expand Yup, looks a lot like what the Euro sounded like earlier today (don't have access to the Euro). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 FWIW (probably not much), the 3km is still amped with the 1st wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Nothing more annoying than people posting false and or contradicting information. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 2:28 AM, Gravity Wave said: FWIW (probably not much), the 3km is still amped with the 1st wave. Expand I actually think the 3k showed nothing for the first wave last run. Beginning to wonder whether the first wave is bad for us. Perhaps seeing what happens with the 3k here will be telling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 2:27 AM, Ace said: Forget the precipitation maps. This is the only map you need to see for the 0Z NAM Expand Don't mean to sound stupid, but could someone explain what this type of map signals.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 2:30 AM, Wetbulbs88 said: I actually think the 3k showed nothing for the first wave last run. Beginning to wonder whether the first wave is bad for us. Perhaps seeing what happens with the 3k here will be telling. Expand I think we want a weaker 1st wave like the Euro was showing. The 2 wave idea is too volatile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Think before you post please. Nam looks like the Euro with the second wave (Euro didn't have wave 1 impacting us either). And wow that's a cold surface run, yeah there may be some sleet towards the coast but temps are in the mid 20s just inland if the Nam is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 2:30 AM, weatherpruf said: Don't mean to sound stupid, but could someone explain what this type of map signals.... Expand That's some h5 porn. Closed off beauty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
husky0101 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 And it looks like wave 2 is a longer-duration event than 18z run, still snowing moderately over the region at 03z Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 2:30 AM, weatherpruf said: Don't mean to sound stupid, but could someone explain what this type of map signals.... Expand That shows the 500mb low, or h5. Closed off, tucked in. Looks beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 NAM snows right into early Thursday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 NW posters will love the NAM, even more than half of Sullivan county gets 12+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 2:33 AM, husky0101 said: And it looks like wave 2 is a longer-duration event than 18z run, still snowing moderately over the region at 03z Thursday Expand What you’re looking at is the precipitation that falls between 21z and 03z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 2:33 AM, Ericjcrash said: NW posters will love the NAM, even more than half of Sullivan county gets 12+ Expand Interior gets hammered with 2+ LE and it's still snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 That was a big confidence run. If the NAM/RGEM/UK/Euro maintain, I think the others will follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 2:33 AM, NJwx85 said: NAM snows right into early Thursday morning Expand Epic snowstorm for the entire region if the NAM is right . By wave 1 being weaker the flow becomes more amplified allowing for a closed off low east of N.J. 18z Wed. Very euro like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 24”+ JP area over Sussex County on the 12k NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Snow map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 3k Nam hours 45 and 46 are beautiful 500mb and surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 3km NAM looking a LOT better for wave 2, which was really unimpressive at 18z. Low tucked in and crawling, heavy banding moving across the area, favorable temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 The 3k NAM has 2”+ of liquid for the whole area with some places close to 3”. It’s close to a big solution for tomorrow too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 2:43 AM, Gravity Wave said: 3km NAM looking a LOT better for wave 2, which was really unimpressive at 18z. Low tucked in and crawling, heavy banding moving across the area, favorable temps. Expand So perhaps wave 2 isn't too dependent on wave 1. Both 12k and 3k have a SE to NW mega band that sweeps through and does most of the damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 3k at HR 45-48 is insane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 When you account for melting and sleet, the 12”+ totals are only for the far interior. NYC is around 4-6” which isn’t bad. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus®ion=neus&pkg=asnowd&runtime=2018032000&fh=78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Lol at 3k 10:1 snow map. Everyone nuked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 2:46 AM, Wetbulbs88 said: So perhaps wave 2 isn't too dependent on wave 1. Both 12k and 3k have a SE to NW mega band that sweeps through and does most of the damage. Expand Yeah, if a more amped wave 1 doesn't hurt wave 2 then an inch or two of sleet tomorrow afternoon would be an ideal setup for the main show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman86 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 So are we or some of us looking in inches or feet. I live in Passaic County in Clifton. Been trying to understand what kind of amount are expected. Even tho the forecast is out but here it seems like its a lot bigger then what they are reporting. Can anyone kindly willing to give me a idea on this upcoming event. Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 2:50 AM, Snowman86 said: So are we or some of us looking in inches or feet. I live in Passaic County in Clifton. Been trying to understand what kind of amount are expected. Even tho the forecast is out but here it seems like its a lot bigger then what they are reporting. Can anyone kindly willing to give me a idea on this upcoming event. Thank you Expand NAM/Euro/Ukie depict a 12+ possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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