Carvers Gap Posted May 16, 2018 Author Share Posted May 16, 2018 It managed to not rain IMBY yesterday. Getting some sprinkles now. Well, at least it was cloudy. MRX has heavy rain for my point and click forecast on Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted May 16, 2018 Author Share Posted May 16, 2018 Rain has picked-up in coverage and intensity during the past hour. Very thankful for that. It is never a good sign when one is hoping for rain during spring. That said, we may be in the middle of a pattern shift to a wetter scenario. Tough to tell if it is the same pattern which will now yield different precip results as summer sets-in OR if it is a new one w return flow from the GOM. A normal summer(maybe slightly above for temps and precip) pattern appears to be on tap which is fine with me in regards to temps and precip. @nrgjeff, what do you think? Edit...sorry, I should have placed that last question in the pattern discussion thread! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted May 16, 2018 Share Posted May 16, 2018 We'll make it work, lol. I do have an ob. CHA airport only reported a quarter inch Tuesday. MBY had at least a half if not 3/4 inch. No precise gauge but the standing water lines up with .50+. I think the height weakness in the Southeast is a combo of the old (main) winter pattern and Gulf influences. That secondary ridge winter pattern may visit at times, but I think not often or for long. Two main pieces of evidence point me to the near seasonable summer. First the SOI and AAM are going in an El Nino direction. The split flow across NA is more evidence. Second, water keeps getting warmer off the Pac NW coast; could be correlation more than causation. Either way it's a not hot signal here. While we may fail to get nice fronts I don't see a scorcher. I'm looking for a slightly warmer than normal summer, most of that in June. Kind of humid, but what's new. July/Aug closer to normal, but that's still mighty warm. Adequate or better rain. Believe we just came out of the dry part of the old pattern. The rainier shift may hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Knoxtron Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 Little foggy in Louisville this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Knoxtron Posted May 23, 2018 Share Posted May 23, 2018 Another very foggy East Tennessee morning, gotta love living in a temperate rainforest Check out Watts Bar this morning! Steam from cooling towers appears to have caught the early morning sun like a beacon . https://media.giphy.com/media/5QRqLyy5KnoMIBl58u/giphy.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted May 31, 2018 Author Share Posted May 31, 2018 You know when SSWs happen during the winter...often those winters will flip to spring(often ending early and never looking back). Winter weather and temps lasted into mid-April here and then....bam - summer! We went very warm after that. My garden looks like a jungle. I am afraid w the humidity that disease won't be far behind. Might need to post a question in the garden thread come to think of it.....Now, the Euro Weeklies do show a "moderating trend" during July. We will see if that continues to hold during tonight's run. They would imply normal to slightly BN temps for the eastern half of the forum area. Now, as Jeff points out, normal temps in July are still hot though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 1, 2018 Share Posted June 1, 2018 Just been pounded with rain today and this evening. Approaching 4 inches with a huge area of slow moving storms just beginning to overspread the area again. Around 6pm we had some of the heaviest wind driven rain I've ever seen. Major street flash flooding with them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 South of Bristol near S. Holston River. Just passed 4" of rainfall since last Saturday. Ground is definitely saturated. Any significant rainfall this afternoon through tomorrow probably results in flooding. Creek flow adjacent to property is at max capacity. Training cells have shifted just barely to my west right now after getting around an inch last hour. Edit: Here is a good website for extracting rain gauge data around the Tennessee Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted June 2, 2018 Author Share Posted June 2, 2018 Yeah...I was the one who complained about how dry spring was getting to be just a few weeks ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted June 3, 2018 Share Posted June 3, 2018 Exciting storm action in Fourth and Gill and Old North Knox neighboorhoods this PM: https://imgur.com/a/Eokwo2Z Timed PM/ lunch people watching on Gay Street in downtown Knoxville just right to see people scramble from the rain. The last umph the storm had brought the wind with the front. Maybe some mid level dry air? Even under an awning I got a little soaked when the wind kicked up. A bottle of Sake helped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted June 4, 2018 Share Posted June 4, 2018 Some of you guys in the east have seen some good rains by the looks the last 30-days,maybe more towards the TN and NC line.I'm trying to figure out what's going on with my lawn.I'm starting to get brown patches i even turned on my sprinkler system in the late afternoon the past week and it seems to be getting worse,no clue.:( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted June 4, 2018 Share Posted June 4, 2018 Humidity in the mid 50's,don't feel like summer tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted June 4, 2018 Share Posted June 4, 2018 Actually was getting dry for a bit. @Carvers Gap is right. Now with the death ridge out West, the Valley should have adequate precip. Low humidity does feel much better @jaxjagman. Hallelujah! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 It was 53 this morning, there was 0 haze yesterday. It was beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted June 5, 2018 Author Share Posted June 5, 2018 On 6/4/2018 at 9:12 AM, nrgjeff said: Actually was getting dry for a bit. @Carvers Gap is right. Now with the death ridge out West, the Valley should have adequate precip. Low humidity does feel much better @jaxjagman. Hallelujah! Yesterday was awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 11, 2018 Share Posted June 11, 2018 After a hot, dry week, been drenched the last few days. Currently downpouring to add to the 3 inches of rain this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted June 11, 2018 Share Posted June 11, 2018 We had 1.5" here yesterday.Even had the tornado sirens go off but only by a malfunction in the system,least i know they are still working..lol http://fox17.com/news/local/malfunction-caused-sirens-to-go-off-in-williamson-county-no-emergency Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted June 11, 2018 Share Posted June 11, 2018 Obed Wild and Scenic river T-storm: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 11, 2018 Share Posted June 11, 2018 I love to fish in those creeks and rivers in the Obed. Great for smallmouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted June 17, 2018 Share Posted June 17, 2018 Was watching the satellite and hoping for a t-storm cool down and noticed a nice little spin helping pull some of these storms off the mountains: https://imgur.com/Q5rDzKx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted June 17, 2018 Share Posted June 17, 2018 33 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said: Was watching the satellite and hoping for a t-storm cool down and noticed a nice little spin helping pull some of these storms off the mountains: https://imgur.com/Q5rDzKx We've had some nice cells the last couple days here,but they've missed our house :(Really need some rain for my lawn.Drove through a nice burst this afternoon after my daughters dance class,knocked out some small branches,election signs were thrown everywhere and even saw a line down on Nolensville Pk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Knoxtron Posted June 18, 2018 Share Posted June 18, 2018 Flew back into Mghee Tyson last Thursday night right at sunset. Took this shot facing the plateau looking right over downtown Knoxville... does the universe prefer UT orange?? Good sign for football haha? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted June 19, 2018 Share Posted June 19, 2018 Some great pictures in this thread! I've been terribly unlucky with afternoon/evening storms this season. They have been moving all around me, sometimes literally within a mile or two, giving me the cool air and breeze but no rain. I've been watering every other day. The red clay where only grass is trying to grow has been cracked for weeks. Having said that, I got very lucky last night when a cell formed right on top of me. A nice moderate shower that lasted 20 minutes or so. I'll take what I can get! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted June 19, 2018 Share Posted June 19, 2018 I'm getting hopeful today for a pop up shower/ storm. Cumulus building pretty high even here near downtown Knoxville and already a radar return near Powell heading my way. Clouds definitely behaving a little differently than the past few days, so hopeful we can get something this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted June 20, 2018 Share Posted June 20, 2018 Greater coverage of rain Wed-Fri looks believable now. This thread I only care about QPF. My severe thoughts are in that thread. My grass needs 1.5+ inches of rain. Decent shot at it. I'm banking on the lower 1" threshold or it's gone until Sept. Obs question for East Hamilton County (Chattanooga area). Anybody get hail Tuesday evening? I saw a white-ish shaft of precip. Could have been sun on a rain shaft. Maybe hail? Dry IMBY though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 22, 2018 Share Posted June 22, 2018 I've managed a pretty rainy week. Had heavy rain Tuesday evening and it rained a good portion of the day today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted June 24, 2018 Share Posted June 24, 2018 Frozen Head Rainforest: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Some good cloud pics of WBIR's facebook from todays storms in East Tn and N GA: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 Monday a tree fell on my coworker's house. Nobody was hurt. Incident was in East Brainerd, Chattanooga. I'd say Tuesday's Slight Risk should include CHA, which has seen damaging winds (isolated/local) every day since Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 Models are whiffing in our area,the last several days.Temps by both the GFS and Euro showed highs of 83 today,more than likely from moisture that never happened.We so far are 93 with a HI-101 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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