I dont care anymore....I am starting a storm thread for March 20-21. Got nothing to lose.

[psuhoffman]

Just now, Ji said:

oh oh. Watch the GFS be right. Basically, whatever model gives us no snow is the one that will win

Maybe. If that's how it goes down then it's just not our year. Oh well. I'm not digging the early look of the gfs but It's dangerous to predict a run from early signs but it seems to be going further in the more amped earlier direction. 

[BristowWx]

I will be shccked if this is a good run.  

[WhiteoutMD]

yea it looks warmer already 

[H2O]

[Bob Chill]

Icon still hits with the trailing upper level stuff. Not a great run but surely not a disaster. 

[aldie 22]

1 minute ago, Bob Chill said:

Icon still hits with the trailing upper level stuff. Not a great run but surely not a disaster. 

For the storm happening this evening?

[yoda]

12z GFS 96 994mb SLP in KY transfer ongoing

[Ji]

1 minute ago, Bob Chill said:

Icon still hits with the trailing upper level stuff. Not a great run but surely not a disaster. 

that wont get us our 25 inches which is expectation right now lol

[MD Snow]

3 minutes ago, anotherman said:

The ICON and GGEM are so bad.

They were south/right last weekend when the GFS showed hit after hit for us. 

[BristowWx]

Just now, Ji said:

that wont get us our 25 inches which is expectation right now lol

Not sure it will get us 5...we will see

[Ralph Wiggum]

Icon went north/warm 

Second bowling ball NS rogue piece coupled with 50/50 pullout hurting us. Well, we knew this was lead time we would start seeing shifts the wrong way so nobody should be surprised. Just need to hope it is a brief hiccup and things reverse quickly.

[nj2va]

No one does doom and gloom PBP better than the Mid Atlantic forum.  

[87storms]

not too thrilled about relying on the 2nd wave.  hopefully the euro adds some consistency to this mayhem.

[Ralph Wiggum]

The ICON and GGEM are so bad.

Unmitigated disasters is the term we use around here.

[Cobalt]

1 minute ago, MD Snow said:

They were south/right last weekend when the GFS showed hit after hit for us. 

GGEM isn't even out yet

[Ralph Wiggum]

Icon still hits with the trailing upper level stuff. Not a great run but surely not a disaster. 

Looks like light rates and during the day?

[aldie 22]

Just now, nj2va said:

No one does doom and gloom PBP like the Mid Atlantic forum.  

A couple guys I bet don't even realize that no matter what they say or how they say it that it always comes across as negative.

[yoda]

108 994mb SLP in W NC... 

[WeSuck]

Everyone was already checking the fluids in the bus and booking their seats and look what is happening...

[H2O]

Randy needs to tell his friend that he's better off skipping the bus and staying at home to watch netflix

[yoda]

114 994mb SLP ENE of VA/NC border about 100-150 miles

IWM has it as an elongated low

[ErinInTheSky]

Punch number 2 looks like it’s in a better position.

[Ralph Wiggum]

Is that a 993mb low over Charlotte??

 

[Maestrobjwa]

Well @Bob ChiII you were right...this could very well be second wave or bust!

[87storms]

wave 2 might be warm as well tbh.

also, not a big fan of that closed low in the upper midwest.  looks like an epic setup, but just not sure who would win in this scenario:

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=z500_vort&runtime=2018031612&fh=114

we need the euro to show something cleaner.

[SlamSlam]

Is that a 993mb low over Charlotte??
 

Looks closer to Rocky Mount or Greenville

Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk

[North Balti Zen]

Delayed always feels like denied. Don’t want to be waiting on second wave scenario. 

[Cobalt]

GGEM

[RichmondTarHeel]

I'm tossing the GFS until the Euro crashes the party, or until the GFS looks as good as the euro.

[Bob Chill]

Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

Well @Bob ChiII you were right...this could very well be second wave or bust!

The front running waa piece has always looked like a northern tier at best scenario. What happens after that is VERY dynamic and no chance in hell an op model at 4 day leads has it right. Just let the show play out and get off the roller coaster. It's wasted energy. Once we get inside of 72 hours we'll know if there is something legit to talk about. For now it's just movie time. Some horror, some comedy, some tragedy, and a WHOLE LOTTA DRAMA ITT.