I dont care anymore....I am starting a storm thread for March 20-21. Got nothing to lose.

[Thanatos_I_Am]

2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Oh man, dont look at the 0z gefs if you dont like late March snow. Hits galore. Best mid range run of the year. It's the consistency that is striking and not some 50" outlier jacking up the mean

Yeah, it’s beautiful really. Only a few complete whiffs. Plenty of 6”+ events in there too. Hehe.

[MountainGeek]

9 minutes ago, Thanatos_I_Am said:

Yeah, it’s beautiful really. Only a few complete whiffs. Plenty of 6”+ events in there too. Hehe.

Ok someone just do it already and post the maps... 

ETA: Ninja'd by Dr Bob Chill

[Bob Chill]

3 minutes ago, Thanatos_I_Am said:

Yeah, it’s beautiful really. Only a few complete whiffs. Plenty of 6”+ events in there too. Hehe.

Yea man. The snow whiffs are still sig rain so it's unanimous this storm is coming. Have we seen that this year? I don't think we have. 

[Maestrobjwa]

15 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Yea man. The snow whiffs are still sig rain so it's unanimous this storm is coming. Have we seen that this year? I don't think we have. 

So for once...it's almost guaranteed it will be a storm...So now we can switch the pass/fail meter to the temps and SLP development? Lol

[Thanatos_I_Am]

Any word on the UKMET?

[MountainGeek]

32 minutes ago, Thanatos_I_Am said:

Any word on the UKMET?

Meteocentre still at 12Z.

 

[WestminsterSnowCapitalMA]

ukie pretty much same as euro at 96

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2018031600/ecmwf_z500_mslp_us_6.png

[Amped]

25 minutes ago, MountainGeek said:

Meteocentre still at 12Z.

ETA: Just popped.

Thats the GFS

[Ji]

Euro looks great again on TT. Havent seen precip maps

[Amped]

ECMWF is digging the NS a lot further east than 12z. Don't really know if this is good or bad. 850s are marginal. at 120.

[MountainGeek]

5 minutes ago, Amped said:

Thats the GFS

Yeah sorry my bad....too many browser tabs open and too late.....grabbed the wrong tab. Thanks for immortalizing my flub...LOL. 

[Maestrobjwa]

Just now, Amped said:

ECMWF is digging the NS a lot further east than 12z. Don't really know if this is good or bad. 850s are marginal. at 120.

Hrm...I think with this system...I find it best to reserve judgement for the experienced posters (particularly since we may be moving away from "is the storm going to hit" to exactly how the pieces interact, lol)

[WestminsterSnowCapitalMA]

welp this next frame should make a grown man cry 

[Maestrobjwa]

Just now, WestminsterSnowCapitalMA said:

welp this next frame should make a grown man cry 

In a good way or a bad way? Lol

[MillvilleWx]

1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said:

In a good way or a bad way? Lol

Good. Really good

[WestminsterSnowCapitalMA]

I have no idea, low is even closer than on the GFS, id think it snows. I know nothing 

[MountainGeek]

4 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

In a good way or a bad way? Lol

Good -- 850s good all the way offshore. And we're talking 24 hrs to get from VA beach to southern NJ.

ETA: Ninja'd by MillvilleWx

[Thanatos_I_Am]

[Amped]

6 minutes ago, WestminsterSnowCapitalMA said:

welp this next frame should make a grown man cry 

Pretty good, one can assume it was over Ocean City in between.  Closed H5 over Wilmington, rain in SE CT may flip in Boston.

[Ji]

Euro historic for Loudoun at least. Relax

[Ji]

Pretty good, one can assume it was over Ocean City in between.  Closed H5 over Wilmington, rain in SE CT may flip in Boston.

Slow moving hecs esp for burbs

[MountainGeek]

2 minutes ago, Thanatos_I_Am said:

 

OK you just cured my embarrassment from grabbing the wrong map. 

AND yeah, it was WELL WORTH staying up for the Euro tonight! 

[Thanatos_I_Am]

Good morning to all of those who didn’t stay up like the rest of us  finally some good news from the overnight runs!

[Amped]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

3 minutes ago, Amped said:

Pretty good, one can assume it was over Ocean City in between.  Closed H5 over Wilmington, rain in SE CT may flip in Boston.

Slow moving hecs esp for burbs

36hrs matches the duration of a typical blockbuster, even though it was shorter than 12z.

[Maestrobjwa]

I'm guessing nobody in here right now has to get up early for work...lol Good to see the EURO hold! Of course...I always tend to get a little elevation envy, but let's not even think about totals until we're much closer and the storm is still there and showing a similar solution, lol

[Mordecai]

00z euro still has the storm with decent amount of precip. Since it’s technically Friday morning, I say we made it into day 4 range without losing the storm.  

[Joshb32689]

17 minutes ago, Thanatos_I_Am said:

Sorry to be a bother from the dead Philly thread, but anyway you have acesss to a map that includes us? Trying to see what it means for us here in Delco when all is said and done with this run, but never really get much on that side of things when these types of runs come out. Thank you in advance if you’re able to post a SEPA map 

[BlueDXer75]

8 minutes ago, Joshb32689 said:

Sorry to be a bother from the dead Philly thread, but anyway you have acesss to a map that includes us? Trying to see what it means for us here in Delco when all is said and done with this run, but never really get much on that side of things when these types of runs come out. Thank you in advance if you’re able to post a SEPA map 

Josh, looks like 6-12 inches of snow for Delco per the Euro.  More to the west, closer to Chester County and less to the east closer to Philly....good free website is weather.us

[Joshb32689]

19 minutes ago, BlueDXer75 said:

Josh, looks like 6-12 inches of snow for Delco per the Euro.  More to the west, closer to Chester County and less to the east closer to Philly....good free website is weather.us

Thank you! 

[Thanatos_I_Am]

0z EPS snow mean ticked up another .5-1” across the area.