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I dont care anymore....I am starting a storm thread for March 20-21. Got nothing to lose.


Ji

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running the 500 loop is interesting.  almost looks like the west coast wave just sort of unravels as it moves east, splitting up into several vorts.  it shows up on previous runs later, but how those vorts interact down the line seems to be the key, and it just doesn't seem like the models know yet.

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  On 3/17/2018 at 4:15 AM, 87storms said:

running the 500 loop is interesting.  almost looks like the west coast wave just sort of unravels as it moves east, splitting up into several vorts.  it shows up on previous runs later, but how those vorts interact down the line seems to be the key, and it just doesn't seem like the models know yet.

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Yep. When in doubt, remember we don't do complicated well around these parts :). Gotta hope the euro stays the course or we might be looking at a northern/elevation front end thump and weaker trailing storm. 

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the 1st wave looks pretty interesting to my eyes...it's a piece of that initial low entering the west coast now.  it stays hot as it cross the region and is a little further south than last run.

it's warm for now, but certainly the northern tier does well verbatim:

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2018031700&fh=84

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  On 3/17/2018 at 4:26 AM, Maestrobjwa said:

So...are we gonna have to root for wave 1 now? Lol Hopefully wave 2 has a better showing tomorrow...

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Just root for ops to hone in on a solution that includes snow AND less than 72 hours. Prob 48 with this upper level setup. People can hand wring all night about this and that but I won't be one of them. 

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  On 3/17/2018 at 4:25 AM, motsco said:

1 to 3” event.  - a inch each way. so 0 to 2 - heating = it’s over.  

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So when it showed 12-18 did you say it would be 6-9???? Lol. Point is it’s one run. Many good snowfalls have heppened in March. “It’s over” is just as wrongfully dogmatic after this run of one model as “HECS-book it”

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  On 3/17/2018 at 1:35 AM, stormy said:

Cobalt: If you were not trolling, my apologies. But you admit to being "snarky" which has no place on this board. If you and your young friends feel a need to vent frustrations in your life, I would advise searching for another venue. passions already run high on this forum without snarkiness.

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Stormy, you suck a lot.  Please stop posting.  You make this thread worse, and by a lot.

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