I dont care anymore....I am starting a storm thread for March 20-21. Got nothing to lose.

[poolz1]

Yep...you would never know it's March with that setup.  Low to mid 20's with the qpf bomb coming in the daylight hours...dendrites in mid March are a thing of beauty. 

[stormtracker]

[WestminsterSnowCapitalMA]

mother of god. 

[nj2va]

It doesn’t work when we try to be happy when we’re not in the bullseye a week out...time to reverse the curse and celebrate being in the bullseye this far out.

[CAPE]

  On 3/13/2018 at 6:49 PM, stormtracker said:

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What? You don't think we can hold this for 6 more days? This winter owes us.

[Climate175]

Lol Euro, we'll see.

[WestminsterSnowCapitalMA]

Well at least we have the euro on our side.

[WxUSAF]

Let’s see...4 more cycles of big hits and then the models lose it completely. Then the Saturday 12z runs start to bring it back as a SNE #bombcyclone.

[Thanatos_I_Am]

  On 3/13/2018 at 6:53 PM, WxUSAF said:

Let’s see...4 more cycles of big hits and then the models lose it completely. Then the Saturday 12z runs start to bring it back as a SNE #bombcyclone.

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Par for the course, no?

[showmethesnow]

  On 3/13/2018 at 6:52 PM, C.A.P.E. said:

What? You don't think we can hold this for 6 more days? This winter owes us.

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Doesn't matter, sun angle. Warm soil. And an extra hour of sunlight to boot. 

[stormtracker]

  On 3/13/2018 at 6:53 PM, WxUSAF said:

Let’s see...4 more cycles of big hits and then the models lose it completely. Then the Saturday 12z runs start to bring it back as a SNE #bombcyclone.

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This right here.

[ErinInTheSky]

  On 3/13/2018 at 6:55 PM, stormtracker said:

This right here.

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I swear if I have to hear or see #bombcyclone one more time this year I'm gonna kick a puppy.

[MountainGeek]

I'm with PSU -- what else do we have? Are we in a hurry to have nothing to track until Nov/Dec? 

At this point it's more pure entertainment value anyway, and I don't want to turn off the game now and miss a lateral to the running back who completes a 75-yd field goal FTW!

[87storms]

  On 3/13/2018 at 6:42 PM, Bob Chill said:

Cold smoke March event. What could possibly go wrong?

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the only thing that's crossed my mind is that with the jet stream basically nose diving off the southeast coast it seems lately, and for the whole damn winter, i would think that maybe once the jet stream lifts a bit due to climatology that maybe we could finally get in on something.  that last storm exited off the SC coast.  that's why we got fringed.  lift that pattern north 100-200 miles and bingo.  i'm wishcasting, but it could be that the timing is at least better this time around.

[snowmagnet]

I didn't want to do this!    Getting sucked in again.  Is this 2 Euro rows in a row?   What about the GEF?  

[CAPE]

  On 3/13/2018 at 6:53 PM, WxUSAF said:

Let’s see...4 more cycles of big hits and then the models lose it completely. Then the Saturday 12z runs start to bring it back as a SNE #bombcyclone.

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Yeah I am done with these damn bomb cyclones.

Bring back the attack of the Perlar Vertex.

[Heisy]

2 factors imo.

1) how much energy comes out of the west 

2) how strong will the 5050 and confluence be.

We ran all 3 scenarios at 12z with the CMC moving the 5050 out, GFS crushing the shortwave with confluence, and the Euro being just right.

[Scraff]

I knew coming back in here after a workout I’d find the magic of the Euro. Shhhhlahbaaam!! 

[Ji]

Euro actually took a step back from 00z(expected) and still smoked us. That is the best sign imo

[SnowGolfBro]

  On 3/13/2018 at 6:51 PM, nj2va said:

It doesn’t work when we try to be happy when we’re not in the bullseye a week out...time to reverse the curse and celebrate being in the bullseye this far out.

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Yes. I tried the we aren’t in the bullseye schtick last week. Euro has been rock solid for 2 runs in a row. I’m on board

[SnowGolfBro]

  On 3/13/2018 at 6:55 PM, showmethesnow said:

Doesn't matter, sun angle. Warm soil. And an extra hour of sunlight to boot. 

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I know it’s a joke but soil temps aren’t really that high. Still in the 20s for lows. But that extra hour of sun is a killer lol

[SnowGolfBro]

  On 3/13/2018 at 6:45 PM, Bob Chill said:

The definition of cold smoke is when kuchera is greater than 10:1 in late march\

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Imagine that a storm that bullseyes north and west. This used to be our traditional spread lol. I kind of trust it...

[LP08]

  On 3/13/2018 at 6:53 PM, WxUSAF said:

Let’s see...4 more cycles of big hits and then the models lose it completely. Then the Saturday 12z runs start to bring it back as a SNE #bombcyclone.

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You forgot the "Max through central VA is right where we want it at this point"

[Ji]

  On 3/13/2018 at 7:04 PM, SnowGolfBro said:

I know it’s a joke but soil temps aren’t really that high. Still in the 20s for lows. But that extra hour of sun is a killer lol

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maybe the sun wont be out during the storm

[Paleocene]

  On 3/13/2018 at 7:06 PM, Ji said:

maybe the sun wont be out during the storm

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sun is higher on the other side of the planet tho. radiational advective heating thru the mantle

[CAPE]

  On 3/13/2018 at 7:06 PM, SnowGolfBro said:

Imagine that a storm that bullseyes north and west. This used to be our traditional spread lol. I kind of trust it...

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Take it out another 6 hours and it has 10-13" all the way to the MD DE beaches. Still a bit more N and W though. Too bad this will evolve into an area wide precip hole in a few more days. 

[North Balti Zen]

  On 3/13/2018 at 6:51 PM, nj2va said:

It doesn’t work when we try to be happy when we’re not in the bullseye a week out...time to reverse the curse and celebrate being in the bullseye this far out.

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Correct approach. We should always want to be in the bullseye, every time.

[ErinInTheSky]

I think everyone here is taking my wife's strategy to snow. She always tells me, "Just say it won't snow and act like it won't snow and then it will snow."

[Ji]

I was talking to ORH in my baseball draft chat room and he said the reason the Mid Atlantic isnt benefiting as much from the -NAO like Jan/Feb are the wavelenghts compairison from March to January....anyway....if this is indeed the last storm before the NAO breaks down..it should be our event. 

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

Gosh darn it....just when you think it's over and we can finally focus on spring.  If this ends up being another tease it will be a fitting end to this season.