SouthCentralWake Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 29 minutes ago, FallsLake said: 18z GFS shifted slightly southward. Snow accumulations over most of central NC northward into VA. Best accumulations from the NC/VA boarder up through central VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 Whoever wrote the afternoon GSP disco was quite the buzzkill. Ugh! Nada (except some token wet flakes) outside the mountains, and a sloppy 3-4 inches in the mountains. (From the tone of it, I think they enjoyed squashing our dreams too.)Sent from my Alcatel 6055U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 4 minutes ago, calculus1 said: Whoever wrote the afternoon GSP disco was quite the buzzkill. Ugh! Nada (except some token wet flakes) outside the mountains, and a sloppy 3-4 inches in the mountains. (From the tone of it, I think they enjoyed squashing our dreams too.) Sent from my Alcatel 6055U using Tapatalk And they probably be right!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 hour ago, calculus1 said: Whoever wrote the afternoon GSP disco was quite the buzzkill. Ugh! Nada (except some token wet flakes) outside the mountains, and a sloppy 3-4 inches in the mountains. (From the tone of it, I think they enjoyed squashing our dreams too.) Sent from my Alcatel 6055U using Tapatalk Could be the same person that said we would get a dusting to a inch on December 8th. Well we had a foot of snow the next day. Sooooooooo, here we go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 They've added 'stuff' to our local forecast here in Clayton. Monday Night A chance of rain, snow, and sleet, mainly before 7pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 hour ago, Tacoma said: Could be the same person that said we would get a dusting to a inch on December 8th. Well we had a foot of snow the next day. Sooooooooo, here we go! Yep. They got the proverbial egg in face on that one. We all know the climo caveats that apply to this mid March last gasp and everyone has there expectations in check. This will be a nice winter storm in the northern mtns, no doubt. Espeacilly up top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 anyone have any updated images? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 00z 3M NAM is interesting for SEVA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Foothills Snowman Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 4 minutes ago, Coach McGuirk said: 00z 3M NAM is interesting for SEVA. Looks like most of NC gets in on the snow too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 14 minutes ago, Northern Foothills Snowman said: Looks like most of NC gets in on the snow too There's no way that much of NC gets snow out of this storm especially SE of RDU. The 3K NAM has done a good job this winter but I think it's off it's rocker tonight. There's just not enough cold air available for it to work with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 minute ago, mrdaddyman said: There's no way that much of NC gets snow out of this storm especially SE of RDU. The 3K NAM has done a good job this winter but I think it's off it's rocker tonight. There's just not enough cold air available for it to work with. Could this overperform? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 00z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Well it gone to a day time event now Monday, So the GFS turns what snow I may get back over to rain once the down-sloping begins!! That's why it's shows that hole in the foothills.... NO accumulations for the foothills!!! Needed a night time event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 3 minutes ago, WeatherHawk said: Could this overperform? Let's hope so!You should be fine where your at. My area is going to have a hard time with 2m temps. Maybe rates will overcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 3 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said: Well it gone to a day time event now Monday, So the GFS turns what snow I may get back over to rain once the down-sloping begins!! That's why it's shows that hole in the foothills.... NO accumulations for the foothills!!! Needed a night time event. Come on Frosty. You always end up shoveling snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 minute ago, mrdaddyman said: Come on Frosty. You always end up shoveling snow. Well I hope you are right, I was stating what I think the model is showing, It's had that minimum in the foothills for many runs, is it right is the question!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 BTW- What has happened to Mack? I haven't seen him on here in a good while!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 All signs point in relative terms to a pretty major event for southern and central VA late tomorrow evening and a good part of the day on Monday. I am really hoping this one overperforms for us here and also gets some others in the action. This storm is one of those that we haven’t seen in some time, whereas dynamics and multiple players on the board are wreaking havoc with being able to iron out a definitive solution. There has been a ton of lightning with the LP around Arkansas. Just goes to show you the dynamics that are in play. Talk to everyone soon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 27 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: All signs point in relative terms to a pretty major event for southern and central VA late tomorrow evening and a good part of the day on Monday. I am really hoping this one overperforms for us here and also gets some others in the action. This storm is one of those that we haven’t seen in some time, whereas dynamics and multiple players on the board are wreaking havoc with being able to iron out a definitive solution. There has been a ton of lightning with the LP around Arkansas. Just goes to show you the dynamics that are in play. Talk to everyone soon! I think it's going to be a lot of rain and snow not sticking. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JacobNC Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 4 hours ago, Coach McGuirk said: 00z GFS For Virginia it reminds me of the late March 2013 storm. I was in Roanoke and it rained hard for a day followed by several inches of very slushy snow. It snowed all across the state to about Williamsburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCentralWake Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 06z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 well very disappointed this morning, hoping I would wake up to at least a winter weather advisory but it looks like it doesn't have enough cold air, was hoping for a miracle during the night, at least I was hoping it would generate it's own cold air or something. Oh well, it was a good try, come on spring I reckon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 I just noticed Buncombe County is in the wwa buuuuutttt for 3500 feet and above, I'm at 2100 feet, maybe I'll see a few flakes tomorrow if it breaks containment of which GSP says they'll be watching the models closely today to see if they need to expand the wwa to other areas. GSP really admits they don't know what this is going to do there is so much going on, even the time change they say doesn't help. We'll see later on I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 5 hours ago, Coach McGuirk said: I think it's going to be a lot of rain and snow not sticking. We'll see. I think this is one of those that really overperforms up my way. Going to be a nice deformation band swinging through. That will trump borderline temps and will accumulate for sure. Best part is this is one of those storms where everything will melt quickly post storm. I’m thinking higher end for ROA/BBurg area 5-8 or even 6-10 if the fatties are ripping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: I think this is one of those that really overperforms up my way. Going to be a nice deformation band swinging through. That will trump borderline temps and will accumulate for sure. Best part is this is one of those storms where everything will melt quickly post storm. I’m thinking higher end for ROA/BBurg area 5-8 or even 6-10 if the fatties are ripping. Yep I'll also hope the deformation band swings thru Asheville, of which at one time there was talk the deformation band was going to swing thru the Asheville area that would help with a little more snow for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 RAH NWS does a great job explaining in their morning discussion. Says the best chance for us is afternoon/evening as the secondary low pops and cold air moves in. They mention cooling due to melting and other thermodynamic processes which could cause the temperature to briefly hit 32 and cause minor accumulations, but nothing too serious. Also threat of black ice overnight though winds and drying after precip could mitigate that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 One unique aspect of this storm is that many trees have budded or have blossoms and will be able to hold more snow. If heavy enough, there could be some power issues. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 hour ago, Tacoma said: even the time change they say doesn't help. We'll see later on I guess. How does time change ever effect weather? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 hour ago, Buddy1987 said: I think this is one of those that really overperforms up my way. Going to be a nice deformation band swinging through. That will trump borderline temps and will accumulate for sure. Best part is this is one of those storms where everything will melt quickly post storm. I’m thinking higher end for ROA/BBurg area 5-8 or even 6-10 if the fatties are ripping. I think you going to get a nice dumping up there, Should be a beautiful paste bomb!! Good luck, and post some pics!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 5 minutes ago, QC_Halo said: How does time change ever effect weather? Lol Beat me to it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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