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March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland


Typhoon Tip

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1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

that half hour of subsidence might cost her a tenth of an inch in qpf which in the next couple of frames she gets 1 inch in 5 hrs

exactly lol

icon is definitely west of 12z based on total qpf maps on stormvista

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Bold:  BTV stays with a Winter Weather Advisory for me due to the long duration to get to the totals.  WWA with potential for 12+.  OK that's interesting.

https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=VTZ012&warncounty=VTC027&firewxzone=VTZ012&local_place1=West Norwich VT&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory&lat=43.7499&lon=-72.3782

..WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TUESDAY TO
8 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Snowfall will impact the area from
  tonight through Wednesday morning Over this 30 hour period,
  about 7 to 10 inches of snow is expected. Some of the highest
  elevations will have a foot of snow or more.

* WHERE...Portions of central, northeast, northwest and southern
  Vermont and northern New York.

* WHEN...From 2 AM Tuesday to 8 AM EDT Wednesday. The steadiest
  snowfall will occur during the daylight hours on Tuesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions,
  including during the morning and evening commutes on Tuesday, as
  well as Wednesday morning. Be prepared for reduced visibilities
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5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Hard to tell on the crappy black and white maps, but rgem looks a bit better at 18z too. 

I'm looking at the colored CMC P-TYPE colored surface maps, thats all thats really out right now besides the b&w. 

Looks almost dead nuts to 12Z, maybe a hair west / hair slower

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10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

pivotalweather.com

LOL I have to post this because 1) its hilarious and 2) our boy Mitch @BerkshireWx, wtf will he do with another 55 incher

Capture.JPG

The Berkshires and SVT are going to get a sick upslope event too... they'll get it before we do up here based on the cyclonic flow and position of the mid-level lows.  They'll be getting crushed on Wednesday afternoon and evening while its much lighter up here due to relaxed wind flow.  Then it should move north up the spine as the mid-level lows drift off to the northeast and the flow increases up here.

Synoptics and meso-scale features are going to make this a fascinating storm for a lot of places. 

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10 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

The Berkshires and SVT are going to get a sick upslope event too... they'll get it before we do up here based on the cyclonic flow and position of the mid-level lows.  They'll be getting crushed on Wednesday afternoon and evening while its much lighter up here due to relaxed wind flow.  Then it should move north up the spine as the mid-level lows drift off to the northeast and the flow increases up here.

Synoptics and meso-scale features are going to make this a fascinating storm for a lot of places. 

yea Remy shows that well

https://twitter.com/WeatherInTheHud/status/973305367160676353

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