March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

[weathafella]

QPF definitely moved NW

[WintersComing]

Its like there is a swirling mess just near the BM and then wants to kick east

[CoastalWx]

Pretty large DGZ and good lift too.

[JBinStoughton]

Just now, WintersComing said:

Its like there is a swirling mess just near the BM and then wants to kick east

Convective feedback? 

[weathafella]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Pretty large DGZ and good lift too.

Where?

[tavwtby]

Maybe the phasing isn't being modeled correct because the stregnth of the southern stream is too much?

[Buddy1987]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Pretty large DGZ and good lift too.

Just when the last storm didn't maybe perform to your standards, you are in line to get crushed with this one.

[Damage In Tolland]

Surface low track doesn’t matter. Look how far west 700 is. There’s all your heavy snow bands 

[JBinStoughton]

1 minute ago, tavwtby said:

Maybe the phasing isn't being modeled correct because the stregnth of the southern stream is too much?

Seems like people are saying it *won’t* phase properly because of that. The models are maybe seeing what our weenie eyes won’t allow lol. 

[WthrJunkyME]

54 minutes ago, dryslot said:

lol

I drool...

 

[Hoth]

Some pretty nice FGEN in central-western CT there. Perhaps the confluence between the PV anomalies lending an assist?

[TalcottWx]

Guess what model still sucks? The gfs

[MarkO]

Nearly every model seems to have that trailing 700mb vort off the Georgia coast tugging it out to sea and preventing the surface low from really winding up near the benchmark. I somehow find that hard to believe for a bombing low in that vicinity, or is this not that unusual?

[Ginx snewx]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Surface low track doesn’t matter. Look how far west 700 is. There’s all your heavy snow bands 

Congrats Peon on Narry Bay on the GFS

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, sbos_wx said:

Guess what model still sucks? The gfs

the ggem

holy ridiculousness

[CoastalWx]

11 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Where?

Over us. Hopefully we are in the CCB, because the area in between may be a slight subby hole.

[TalcottWx]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Over us. Hopefully we are in the CCB, because the area in between may be a slight subby hole.

Probably over Kevin 

[Hoth]

4 minutes ago, sbos_wx said:

Guess what model still sucks? The gfs

I really thought it was gonna tuck in more for a second there. Oh well. We wait until 1:45.

[weathafella]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Over us. Hopefully we are in the CCB, because the area in between may be a slight subby hole.

Boxing Day 2

[TalcottWx]

2 minutes ago, Hoth said:

I really thought it was gonna tuck in more for a second there. Oh well. We wait until 1:45.

I have no idea I'm stuffing my face at castle island 

[NorEastermass128]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Over us. Hopefully we are in the CCB, because the area in between may be a slight subby hole.

Somewhere Ray just threw a keyboard across the room. 

[wxsniss]

"Skylar"... wtf

The media's naming each system fits this selfie generation

[Hoth]

1 minute ago, sbos_wx said:

I have no idea I'm stuffing my face at castle island 

Sullivan's?

[40/70 Benchmark]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Over us. Hopefully we are in the CCB, because the area in between may be a slight subby hole.

CJ setup?

[WintersComing]

Herpes looks a bit more NW

[#NoPoles]

9 minutes ago, MarkO said:

Nearly every model seems to have that trailing 700mb vort off the Georgia coast tugging it out to sea and preventing the surface low from really winding up near the benchmark. I somehow find that hard to believe for a bombing low in that vicinity, or is this not that unusual?

I would ask Tip. In his earlier posts he was trying to figure out why there isn't a phase. 

 

 

[HoarfrostHubb]

P type does not appear to be an issue even on the Cape for most of the run

[MarkO]

https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=MAZ007&warncounty=MAC009&firewxzone=MAZ007&local_place1=Wenham MA&product1=Blizzard+Warning&lat=42.6&lon=-70.8833

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, MarkO said:

https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=MAZ007&warncounty=MAC009&firewxzone=MAZ007&local_place1=Wenham MA&product1=Blizzard+Warning&lat=42.6&lon=-70.8833

they earned it

[wxsniss]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Over us. Hopefully we are in the CCB, because the area in between may be a slight subby hole.

I commented earlier on a relative sub zone shown over us on the 12k/3k NAMs... even still we break 10", just harder to reach 14-18" amounts to the west and southeast