moneypitmike Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 10 minutes ago, dryslot said: 18z Extended Reggie Over an inch for much of NNE. 3 minutes ago, WintersComing said: Everyone jumping off the cliff already? . Jump or cling to the NAM. your choice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolMike Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Stay the course. 0z will deliver the goods. Trust me I stayed at a holiday in once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I think if you go Euro 60% Nam 40 you get basic idea. 6-12 back to river and 12+ PVD east That's where I have stayed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Just now, Ginx snewx said: That's where I have stayed Looks good right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Pretty skeptical right now of big snows far west into New England. Never really bought in to this full blizzard idea that seems to be in favor right now. Tip did a good job of explaining why. These last two euro and gfs runs are certainly solid examples. Just a moderate type of snowfall. I really hope I'm wrong, but to say this is a slam dunk, would be misleading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks good right now. There might be a mega band right on the coast Gloucester Boston Plymouth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 I'll give it until 0z tonight, the northern stream should be in a position to get sampled by weather balloons for the first time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: That's where I have stayed Yeah it’s solid warning to 91. I think those crazy 20+ amounts were never realities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Okay, not to be a Debbie here but I'm not seeing what everyone is so excited about with today's trends. Just looked at the Euro and GFS. Euro run shifted east from 0Z. 18Z GFS shifted precip east from 12Z. Sure its a huge storm, 960 something but the trend which was great all weekend has come to a halt. Yeah the 18Z NAM was epic but like people always say, its the NAM. I would rather go with the big boys. Too bad the 12Z come in so late now... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Just now, wxeyeNH said: Okay, not to be a Debbie here but I'm not seeing what everyone is so excited about with today's trends. Just looked at the Euro and GFS. Euro run shifted east from 0Z. 18Z GFS shifted precip east from 12Z. Sure its a huge storm, 960 something but the trend which was great all weekend has come to a halt. Yeah the 18Z NAM was epic but like people always say, its the NAM. I would rather go with the big boys. Too bad the 12Z come in so late now... I don't know about you Gene but a solid 6 to 12 is pretty exciting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 BTV has us pegged for 7" with a 1 in 10 shot at 18+ . What I do like is the models consistently hooking us up in the CPV with this one. Obviously I doubt we will see the 18 but the 7 would be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: There might be a mega band right on the coast Gloucester Boston Plymouth We hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Here is my interpretation of the 12z EURO. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 the 18z jumper group is in a frenzy here.. every storm, every 18z run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: There might be a mega band right on the coast Gloucester Boston Plymouth There is on the 12z EURO. See my last post. We're on the same page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Here is my interpretation of the 12z EURO. Well, ****, my Friend in Upton asked me what the euro showed. I told her 5 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: the 18z jumper group is in a frenzy here.. every storm, every 18z run Navgem ftw! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Just now, #NoPoles said: Well, ****, my Friend in Upton asked me what the euro showed. I told her 5 inches. Take the QPF chart...eat a burrito, then wipe with it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I don't know about you Gene but a solid 6 to 12 is pretty exciting Yep Scott, lock me in for my 6-12". I do have a question for you. During that last storm the pivot/deformation band sat over the W Mass/S VT to give them the high totals. Given the slp track now SE of the benchmark where would that probably set up? Seems like there is many times a secondary max way west? Edit. Since I wrote this and reviewing the new posts my question has been answered, further east than me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 The models, including the vaunted EURO, only properly diagnose precipitation born of low level forcing....that is the heavy amounts that you see to the east. In a system this well developed, there will be another band that is even heavier just to the west of the H7 Dry slot that will deposit the heaviest amounts.. This is what impacted W CT, the berkshires and s VT last event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 4 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Navgem ftw! Yeah I saw that run. It may be the furthest west now other than the NAM sand SREF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: Yeah I saw that run. It may be the furthest west now other than the NAM sand SREF Yeah pretty sure it is. I didn't check the korean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Diane, you are ground zero on that Euro run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 20 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Over an inch for much of NNE. Jump or cling to the NAM. your choice. I would gladly lock that in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 6 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Navgem ftw! You’re not kidding! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The models, including the vaunted EURO, only properly diagnose precipitation born of low level forcing....that is the heavy amounts that you see to the east. In a system this well developed, there will be another band that is even heavier just to the west of the H7 Dry slot that will deposit the heaviest amounts.. This is what impacted W CT, the berkshires and s VT last event. Imo that band is vicinity of ORH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Imo that band is vicinity of ORH On that EURO run, its east of there. Reality....probably either Worcester of CJ land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 ORH on EAST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 What you want to do is diagnose H7-H5 features and corresponding temps. Recall DGZ is -12 to -18C. Wherever that temp profiles lies need to have lift and RH. Sometimes it’s as low as 700mb, sometimes it’s above 600mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: What you want to do is diagnose H7-H5 features and corresponding temps. Recall DGZ is -12 to -18C. Wherever that temp profiles lies need to have lift and RH. Sometimes it’s as low as 700mb, sometimes it’s above 600mb. Were is that on the EURO? My guess is Plymouth... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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