March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

This storm is going to be a monster regardless of its impact on us.

Obviously the snow amounts look to be taking a significant hit, but the storm itself will be impressive.

[Damage In Tolland]

Can any Mets offer an idea which direction to lean or what to think? 

[BRSno]

Yesterday's 18z GFS run sucked and then it went boom at 0z. Even if it ended up as the EURO it is still a good deal, plus I need to get to China on Wednesday so I wouldn't complain if we just got a pedestrian storm and it didn't miss my connection in DTW. 

[JC-CT]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Can any Mets offer an idea which direction to lean or what to think? 

Yes, but would you listen to them?

[moneypitmike]

4 minutes ago, SR Airglow said:

I'm not ignoring for BOS but I think CT is probably too far west to do double digits with this one. You and I are probably good for a foot I'd say.

This.  Perhaps 8-12 on the mid-coast.

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

This storm is going to be a monster regardless of its impact on us.

Obviously the snow amounts look to be taking a significant hit, but the storm itself will be impressive.

If a tree falls in the forest......

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, SR Airglow said:

I'm not ignoring for BOS but I think CT is probably too far west to do double digits with this one. You and I are probably good for a foot I'd say.

CT never looked good for more than moderate amounts..aside from maybe eastern third.

[weathafella]

6-12+

[dryslot]

18z Extended Reggie

 

[8611Blizz]

Harvey 8 12+ For most.

[Bostonseminole]

Just now, weathafella said:

6-12+

my first call for mby is 10-16". will refine later

[SR Airglow]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

CT never looked good for more than moderate amounts

You had 8-14" for eastern areas last night/this morning? I'd say that's certainly major in my book.

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Yes, but would you listen to them?

I would , but I think they are shell shocked 

[Bostonseminole]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I would , but I think they are shell shocked 

shell shocked by what?

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

18z Extended Reggie

 

Looks better for eastern areas than previous runs imo...regardless of QPF.

Other runs had mid level zone further west.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

18z Extended Reggie

 

There’s the mid level band way west over CT. Makes sense with track of 700

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I would , but I think they are shell shocked 

70/30 I think was what was explicitly stated after 12z

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, SR Airglow said:

You had 8-14" for eastern areas last night?

I edited that.

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, Bostonseminole said:

shell shocked by what?

The massive OTS shifts

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:

my first call for mby is 10-16". will refine later

Yea, that's reasonable.

[Bostonseminole]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

The massive OTS shifts

massive lol ok.. they are not massive.. maybe for your area

[weathafella]

12 minutes ago, SR Airglow said:

I'm not ignoring for BOS but I think CT is probably too far west to do double digits with this one. You and I are probably good for a foot I'd say.

And after all we deserve it right?

[WintersComing]

Everyone jumping off the cliff already?


.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said:

massive lol ok.. they are not massive.. maybe for your area

Regardless of QPF, it still looks like we have a good shot at over 1'.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said:

massive lol ok.. they are not massive.. maybe for your area

Yeah... his area has been on the line between major or less impact so the changes are more severe there.

Hoping we can get a small jog back west

[ORH_wxman]

Yeah these shifts aren't huge. But 25-50 mi matters a lot when you have a steep gradient and you're already on the western edge. 

 

I would say the rgem shift was a bit bigger but that happens when it's outside it's wheelhouse...ala NAM. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Yeah... his area has been on the line between major or less impact so the changes are more severe there.

Hoping we can get a small jog back west

The 00z EURO was perfect for me, 12z jackpots more your area over to Diane.

Either is fine for me, though.....it didn't shift much at all. The QPF output is misleading.

[HoarfrostHubb]

 Central MA looking like 6-12” still...upper amounts more 495ish

[Damage In Tolland]

I think if you go Euro 60% Nam 40 you get basic idea. 6-12 back to river and 12+ PVD east 

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The 00z EURO was perfect for me, 12z jackpots more your area over to Diane.

Either is fine for me, though.....it didn't shift much at all. The QPF output is misleading.

Are you doing an update tonight?  Plan those bathroom trips well and type fast

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Are you doing an update tonight?  Plan those bathroom trips well and type fast

Final call tomorrow night.

Right now, I think I'd shift everything like 15 mi east, but this is why you do two calls, and not update after every run.....recipe for waffles.