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March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland


Typhoon Tip

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Actually the N/stream is a tick west in the dive thru the Lakes, but similarly deep... that spatial orientation/relationship with the S/stream may play an eventual role there.

The S/stream is a couple DAM colder and deeper, also, about about a deg longitude further along... so the next spatial-relationship with the N/stream is cyclonic.. that "should" favor the phasing in total.

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  On 3/11/2018 at 8:05 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

Actually the N/stream is a tick west in the dive thru the Lakes, but similarly deep... that spatial orientation/relationship with the S/stream may play an eventual role there.

The S/stream is a couple DAM colder and deeper, also, about about a deg longitude further along... so the next spatial-relationship with the N/stream is cyclonic.. that "should" favor the phasing in total.

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Yup, at hour 26 you can clearly see a difference in the northern stream. However the central vorticity is several dozen miles to the east so the stream might have a tougher time capturing the low.

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  On 3/11/2018 at 8:07 PM, Weenie said:

Yup, at hour 26 you can clearly see a difference in the northern stream. However the central vorticity is several dozen miles to the east so the stream might have a tougher time capturing the low.

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Heh, I don't believe that's significant .... but we'll see - I won't say it's not, but there is a term in physical systems, "noise"  ...  therein, experience tells us what observation should be more substantial to an outcome.

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  On 3/11/2018 at 8:16 PM, ORH_wxman said:

On crappy phone again, but NAM actually looks a bit more amped than 12z at 33 hours. 

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that would be a correct assessment ...

The southern stream is holding out identity 3 to 6 hours longer but the N stream is actually more aggressive too, in nosing in... This capture should be interesting here in a few -

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