Johnno Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: funny, they are just always a bit out of our grasp....not much 20-70 miles but its enough That band just to my west was tough to swallow last week, ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 minute ago, Hoth said: If you want a silver lining, my area was modeled to get about 15" in Feb '13 and we wound up with closer to a meter. You never know with these things. you guys in the Hamden/Wallingford zone have been on fire in this regime.....not far from Taunton in jps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 minute ago, Johnno said: That band just to my west was tough to swallow last week, ugh. omg yea...that was like jan 15 here or maybe worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: With Harv as Chief met I am a bit surprised. Oh Kelly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don’t really take that model seriously until maybe 24 hrs before. So no, I don’t have a feeling with that. However the Jan storm was much larger in scope I think. Thanks. Hopefully the GEFS has the right idea with the west trend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Bob I see 5-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 That could be the right call. Bold, but possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 4 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: you guys in the Hamden/Wallingford zone have been on fire in this regime.....not far from Taunton in jps I think we also jacked (for CT anyway) in Jan '11. That was a great few years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 GYX playing it conservatively with it's snow forecast--which is still pretty healthy. Not hitting wind issues at all. I suspect they'll still be strong enough to keep my lawn free of accumulation while up the street they need a yard stick. Have adjusted snow ratios down, and for now have suppressed model QPF somewhat to generate snowfall forecast. This leaves room for upward or downward adjustment as the event draws closer. That said still appears to be yet another significant snowfall event for the region. Based on current track and QPF alignment mid-coast and central Maine appear to be best aligned to see the greatest snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 a lot can go right/wrong in the next 36 hours so we just have to be patient and hope for the best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Just now, Hoth said: I think we also jacked (for CT anyway) in Jan '11. That was a great few years. Fairfield county too. Only 4 below average snowfall winters this century. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Just now, Hoth said: I think we also jacked (for CT anyway) in Jan '11. That was a great few years. yes and then 1/26-27 with a foot plus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 It's just a crying shame we can't get the northern stream to come down like a 100 miles further west. It's sort of kicking right now instead of getting a nice clean phase. Let's hope we see some favorable developments in that arena today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Just now, EastonSN+ said: Fairfield county too. Only 4 below average snowfall winters this century. Plenty of time to go for reversion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 minute ago, codfishsnowman said: yes and then 1/26-27 with a foot plus Still the heaviest snow I've ever seen. 5"+ per hour in that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 minute ago, Hoth said: Plenty of time to go for reversion Ha yeah waiting for the next 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 9 minutes ago, Hoth said: It uglyst agf crying shame we can't. get the northern stream to come down like a 100 miles further west. It's sort of kicking right now instead of getting a nice clean phase. Let's hope we see some favorable developments in that arena today. Exactly, the angle is sorta fugly. We all (cept James) want this to go West today I see a general 5-10 East of river and west/nw of se mass w current look. 10-18 se mass to cape U want a deform unicorn, U want at least a Cleaner partial phase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdazed Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 BOX is saying 5-8" hereabouts, but I'm not sure I follow their logic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 6 hours ago, Thunderblizzard said: Euro looks slightly west. At the surface the Euro ended up slightly west. Which surprised me based on what I thought looked like a slight east tick at 500. Did Tippy say something about the upper levels looking slight east? I just sped through 10 pages and didn't have time to fully read Tip's diatribes. 49 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's also moving along. No stall here. Yup. Can take that off the table. 18 hr storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 4 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: At the surface the Euro ended up slightly west. Which surprised me based on what I thought looked like a slight east tick at 500. Did Tippy say something about the upper levels looking slight east? I just sped through 10 pages and didn't have time to fully read Tip's diatribes. Yup. Can take that off the table. 18 hr storm. 18 is a lot better than most of what we’ve had lately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Good. Keep ticking west. We know how often the last second leak east happens inside of 24 hours. Though this isn't a typical Miller B so maybe it won't happen. Will what do we want to see on modeling early In a run to see this coming more west like we want. A further N southern stream Higher heights along east coast. N stream further west and jacked?/ridge amplified? We are prolly Late in the game for East coast trough orientation to shift west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 waiting for the NAM till 9:50 is annoying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Will what do we want to see on modeling early In a run to see this coming more west like we want. A further N southern stream Higher heights along east coast. N stream further west and jacked?/ridge amplified? We are prolly Late in the game for East coast trough orientation to shift west for max snows? I think e ma is already pegged at 6+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 11 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Will what do we want to see on modeling early In a run to see this coming more west like we want. A further N southern stream Higher heights along east coast. N stream further west and jacked?/ridge amplified? We are prolly Late in the game for East coast trough orientation to shift west Would be nice to see that southern piece get a little further out ahead of that northern and pull it up and back rather than kicking it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: for max snows? I think e ma is already pegged at 6+ And.... We are missing the lions share of the ccb and a east tick would leave you with a storm near 39N/67west. Not exactly our wheelhouse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 31 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Bob I see 5-10. I was watching this AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: And.... We are missing the lions share of the ccb and a east tick would leave you with a storm near 39N/67west. Not exactly our wheelhouse. I'm ok with your thought process, any tick east and we are screwed.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Yeah... I think the mixing element is being overplayed based on current guidance. Maybe up to the canal has issues? I really haven’t seen much that supports anybody off the cape mixing much if at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdazed Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 The local mets are falling over themselves trying to avoid committing to a forecast. One actually says that they'll have a better idea of the storm impact by Monday night.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, snowdazed said: The local mets are falling over themselves trying to avoid committing to a forecast. One actually says that they'll have a better idea of the storm impact by Monday night.... LOL. Well, its probably true! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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