March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

[EastonSN+]

13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Clown range RGEM

 

Now that's a winner

[dryslot]

14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Clown range RGEM

 

I'll bang that..................

[dryslot]

6 hours ago, JC-CT said:

Just gotta look where those isobars are pointing.

Here?

[wxeyeNH]

16 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

nah ... just a failed phase entirely after several sources showed a definitive two-run trend toward more.

18z managed perhaps 70% in the more proficient versions, down toward 30 or so for the GFS (interestingly the GEFs mean was way more).  But those upper tier demonstrations have gone almost to 0 ...maybe 10% ... on this cycle. It's weird that this thing is checking in and out like that -

It really hearkens to the extreme sensitivity ...  At hour 30 or so...you almost can't discern this happening but variations worked in on this run and shattered matters. The presence of that weak short wave in the western ridge isn't really effecting the slope of the N stream so I'm not sure that's something to blame there. 

I still believe SE zones have a shot at a warning level system as I did when we started out on this thread's crusade .. whether that evolves to be more remains to be seen.  

So dumbing down your saying that the even though the 0Z GFS looks much better than the previous runs it really is by chance and not a good phase and the trend is worse if you are looking for a good storm.  Saying that the SE zones just has a chance of a warning level system sure doesn't leave me with a warm and fuzzy feeling as I go to bed!

[#NoPoles]

18 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Clown range RGEM

 

Oh come on this is ridiculous...im gonna have to go guard the Sagamore Bridge when this gets pulled out from under james

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

JMA is way east.

[rnaude241]

9 minutes ago, #NoPoles said:

Don't let it suck you in. Keep a level head so the depression doesn't make you seek out the forbidden love of a toaster

I know. LOL

I've been pulling hard for this one. If it fails now then F this winter. 

[Ginx snewx]

Precip numbers going up mslp going down, buckle up

[EastonSN+]

Wow JMA is Wayyyy east. 

[EastonSN+]

[dryslot]

JMA.............lol, Who The Fuk cares, Seriously?

[8611Blizz]

Most Boston stations are mentioning mixing on the coast. If this so far east why the mix on the coast?

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Wow JMA is Wayyyy east. 

Huge shift in comparison to 12z.

Impressive for this lead

[CTWeatherFreak]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

JMA.............lol

WTF.   It was a Monster hit at 12z for all!

[weathafella]

Who the fuk ever uses JMA for anything other than laughing at?   

[78Blizzard]

It's amazing how the JMA has all of a sudden taken on such important status, lol.

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, CTWeatherFreak said:

WTF.   It was a Monster hit at 12z for all!

Yeah So?

 

[Baroclinic Zone]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

Who the fuk ever uses JMA for anything other than laughing at?   

"We use all guidance and blend"  

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Who the fuk ever uses JMA for anything other than laughing at?   

Apparently, 2 Posters.................

[78Blizzard]

The king will soon show the futility of following the JMA.

[dryslot]

So we should just toss the Euro and use the JMA instead...........WTF?

[CTWeatherFreak]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Yeah So?

 

Yeah so just an example of what a lousy model it is

[Baroclinic Zone]

9 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Wow JMA is Wayyyy east. 

 

5 minutes ago, CTWeatherFreak said:

WTF.   It was a Monster hit at 12z for all!

 

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Apparently, 2 Posters.................

Yeah, these 2. 

[rnaude241]

Mixing at the coast? What guidance has shown that?

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

4 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Who the fuk ever uses JMA for anything other than laughing at?   

Well to be fair... if it was a huge hit we’d see “JMA crushes!” “ JMA is a huge hit” etc etc.

Its Prob wrong.. but worth noting it shifted east a good deal

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, rnaude241 said:

Mixing at the coast? What guidance has shown that?

None as of now. I suppose th cape could start as some?

[dryslot]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Well to be fair... if it was a huge hit we’d see “JMA crushes!” “ JMA is a huge hit” etc etc.

Its Prob wrong.. but worth noting it shifted east a good deal

puff, puff, pass.

[8611Blizz]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

None as of now. I suppose th cape could start as some?

Channels 5 and 10 both mentioned it.

[CTWeatherFreak]

Besides I never said I 'used' it just because I looked at it.  Besides it's not the only flip flopper.  I hear Ukie is near Bermuda!

[Baroclinic Zone]

4 minutes ago, rnaude241 said:

Mixing at the coast? What guidance has shown that?

The climo guidance.  And the ICON if you want to get technical.  00z run shows some rain at the on set.