March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

RPM gone wild.

Do tell

[ScituateWX]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

RPM gone wild.

We don’t toss!

[STILL N OF PIKE]

10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

RPM gone wild.

You and ur fam Needs this storm

[ineedsnow]

At 24 the gfs looks slightly better

[ORH_wxman]

Clown range rgem gone wild too. 

[ineedsnow]

I would be shocked if the 0z gfs doesn't come west.. Hr 30 looks real good

[STILL N OF PIKE]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Clown range rgem gone wild too. 

How wild We talking

[78Blizzard]

3k NAM is 100 miles W of 12k at hr 60.  Still going strong at hr 60, although it, too, doesn't look as good as it did at 18z.

[ORH_wxman]

GFS is def west of 18z looking 42 hours. 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

How wild We talking

Full accumulation maps out soon but it's using a yard stick in eastern areas. 

[CoastalWx]

RPM was 8-12 just past ORH. 6-8 near CT River.

[Go Kart Mozart]

Northern stream daggering into the southern stream better at 48 hrs 

[SR Airglow]

GFS is 978 at 39/69.5 at hour 60, juicy too. Great hit.

[Hoth]

I don't think anyone could complain about this run.

[CoastalWx]

We hit.

[rnaude241]

1 minute ago, Hoth said:

I don't think anyone could complain about this run.

Agreed

[tavwtby]

850/700 look better too, to me

[LSC97wxnut]

Then gets stuck off the Cape between 66 and 72.  Hammered.

[78Blizzard]

GFS is bringing it in sooner, more in line with the Euro and the 3k NAM.

[Typhoon Tip]

nah ... just a failed phase entirely after several sources showed a definitive two-run trend toward more.

18z managed perhaps 70% in the more proficient versions, down toward 30 or so for the GFS (interestingly the GEFs mean was way more).  But those upper tier demonstrations have gone almost to 0 ...maybe 10% ... on this cycle. It's weird that this thing is checking in and out like that -

It really hearkens to the extreme sensitivity ...  At hour 30 or so...you almost can't discern this happening but variations worked in on this run and shattered matters. The presence of that weak short wave in the western ridge isn't really effecting the slope of the N stream so I'm not sure that's something to blame there. 

I still believe SE zones have a shot at a warning level system as I did when we started out on this thread's crusade .. whether that evolves to be more remains to be seen.  

[tavwtby]

Better west of the river...

[rnaude241]

 on that GFS run

[Hoth]

Dawn awakened. 

[ORH_wxman]

Clown range RGEM

 

[H2Otown_WX]

Looks good for ern areas. I'd like to see the northern stream dig more in subsequent runs to give us western folks a better shot at 8"+

[ineedsnow]

0z canadian a pretty solid hit

[Hoth]

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

0z canadian a pretty solid hit

Thing's jumping all over the place. Has a bit of that IVT look.

[Thunderblizzard]

CMC is well west of 12z, hard to tell compared to 18z.

[Go Kart Mozart]

How does this not phase?  So close.

[#NoPoles]

15 minutes ago, rnaude241 said:

Agreed

Don't let it suck you in. Keep a level head so the depression doesn't make you seek out the forbidden love of a toaster