March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Crushing? I'm sorry, I just don't feel that description fits the verbatim model output vs the upper ceiling of this event.

You take exact qpf too seriously 

[weathafella]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Crushing? I'm sorry, I just don't feel that description fits the verbatim model output vs the upper ceiling of this event.

A foot of snow is a crushing 

[JC-CT]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Lol a 2018 response if I ever saw one. I'd be ecstatic 

You are 20 or so miles east of me?

But yeah, about the qpf output, I probably do. I don't know jack sht about meteorology compared to the pros here, no arguing that. I have an eye for wave mechanics, because they are fairly intuitive.

[JC-CT]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

A foot of snow is a crushing 

Think bigger

[Go Kart Mozart]

Isn't this a crushing out east?

[weathafella]

Just now, JC-CT said:

Think bigger

I’m old enough to know how rare it is.

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

I’m old enough to know how rare it is.

Think older? Geez, by your tone you'd think you have been doing this a while

[STILL N OF PIKE]

2 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Isn't this a crushing out east?

Its a burial on cape cod

[Logan11]

10 or 12 inches in mid March would have been considered a crushing before the generation that experienced such a large cluster of KU storms.

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Lol a 2018 response if I ever saw one. I'd be ecstatic 

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Its a burial on cape cod

It's a burial here based on mid levels.

[JC-CT]

2 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Isn't this a crushing out east?

lol yeah actually h7 argues for a nice deform band rotting over CT

[STILL N OF PIKE]

6 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Isn't this a crushing out east?

I been Dreaming of a stall and Capture 50 miles nw of b.m w cyclonic loop then a massive juiced s.w from canada Phases in as it try to exit and gets tugged back. I believe that is the unicorn(5-7" qpf)

[JC-CT]

Can we please remember that this is the 18z GGEM, tia

[JBinStoughton]

3 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

lol yeah actually h7 argues for a nice deform band rotting over CT

Ah so that’s what this is about lol

[Cyclone-68]

Mike Wankum saying possible mixing and thinking the GFS totals most likely to verify for the region?

[JC-CT]

5 minutes ago, Logan11 said:

10 or 12 inches in mid March would have been considered a crushing before the generation that experienced such a large cluster of KU storms.

 

millennial and damn proud of it.

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, JBinStoughton said:

Ah so that’s what this is about lol

it's about imby snow totals, this is serious stuff

[Typhoon Tip]

Fwiw - nine out of the twelve, 12z GEFs members available to public consumption were far more significantly phased with the N/stream, with showing huge impact strikes with a slow moving bomb throwing massive QPF as far west as the Berks or even the Capital district of eastern NY. 

[Typhoon Tip]

6 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Can we please remember that this is the 18z GGEM, tia

You need to learn and comprehend the following equation if you want to go far in the mathematics of this particular social media:  > 10" = gospel

 

[Damage In Tolland]

GEFS are massive crush job

[Go Kart Mozart]

12 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

Mike Wankum saying possible mixing and thinking the GFS totals most likely to verify for the region?

Wankum? Nice name.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

They went back se but gefs always follow the op. 

[Ginx snewx]

Discussing model output,  nothing wrong with a descriptor of crushing with >1 qpf and gusts over 50 mph. 

[512high]

10 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Wankum? Nice name.

not to get off track, he is quite the motorcycle racer, he was up a Loudon Speedway this summer in NH........

[Ginx snewx]

As usual save a horse.

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

As usual save a horse.

As usual, model blend is the only way to go

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

As usual save a horse.

Of course but 6+ hours away.   For now saving a horse for 0z minor leaguers.

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

As usual, model blend is the only way to go

No

[weathafella]

GEFS mean is basically double the qpf of the op.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

I’d like to see the euro bump west at 00z to be truly confident in at least a low end warning here.

the gfs shifting towards a garbage solution doesn’t really mean much. It flops around a lot