March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

[40/70 Benchmark]

11 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

This hits like a WALL of snow

Just wow

I like that the band has set up over Montaulk point.......I think that translates up near us.

Wonder if that onshore flow can augment it, too.

 

[henry1978]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Montauk pt and BID must be doing like 2"/hr now.

 

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Montauk pt and BID must be doing like 2"/hr now.

It's been raining for hours in these locations and along the south coast, although the rain has not been heavy.

[ineedsnow]

Nam backing down in ct a bit... So much for the crazy 0z solution

[ineedsnow]

Nam takes a huge jump east between hr 10 and 11 not sure it happens like that though..

[moneypitmike]

3 hours ago, snowwors2 said:

Enjoy folks....(so jealous!!)

one of these days my wife will let me buy that little cottage on the Penobscott in Bayview ME 

Everyone should enjoy a Pit2. 

[JC-CT]

Just now, moneypitmike said:

Everyone should enjoy a Pit2. 

How generous of you to invite the entire forum!

[moneypitmike]

Nice to wake up to a blizzard warning.

Today

Snow, mainly after 8am. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 34. Breezy, with a north wind 15 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible.

 

Tonight

Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 31. Blustery, with a north wind 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 7 to 11 inches possible.

 

Wednesday

Snow before 11am, then rain and snow between 11am and 1pm, then rain after 1pm. High near 38. West wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible

[Lava Rock]

Storm delayed? My forcst called for 1-3" last night and we've only got high cirrus

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[weathafella]

Btw..with all the hand wringing over the ukmet last night the qpf field is actually a hair west.   

 

 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Still too dark to tell, but either we have huge flakes or large aggregates.  They're like 1/2" or greater in size.

[JC-CT]

3 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Btw..with all the hand wringing over the ukmet last night the qpf field is actually a hair west.   

 

 

Some weenie snow in ny state there...

[moneypitmike]

5 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

Storm delayed? My forcst called for 1-3" last night and we've only got high cirrus

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No models were showing that for last night.  Yesterday's 12z and 18z runs were showing start times around 6-7 here at Pit2.  They've slowed a little bit--I don't think I'll see flakes here until 8:00 or later.

[weathafella]

4 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Some weenie snow in ny state there...

I wonder if some of that if not most is LES given the orientation?

[JC-CT]

Just now, weathafella said:

I wonder if some of that if not most is LES given the orientation?

I meant it looks like a weenie. Probably LE and upslope combo.

[NorEastermass128]

We’ve got the white fog effect going on now. Wind roaring. 

[Chrisrotary12]

5 hours ago, OKpowdah said:

The fgen band already overperforming as it is, if the elevated isothermal layer can cool just like a degree more, someone in SE MA is guaranteed 30" with prolonged 3-4/hr rates. Other guarantee is someone just W of this mega-band, and east of some western edge banding, is getting screwed.

That would be me.

5 hours ago, bobbutts said:

I'm a candidate.

Yup

[OceanStWx]

1 hour ago, Lava Rock said:

Storm delayed? My forcst called for 1-3" last night and we've only got high cirrus

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I’m not sure what we were doing with the start time. Didn’t our warning start at 4 AM?

[dendrite]

1 hour ago, JC-CT said:

Some weenie snow in ny state there...

Mitch balls deep again.

[dryslot]

This always looked like a start time between 6-10 am for this area.

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Mitch balls deep again.

He may want to get the Stanley 25' tape instead of using the 12' one

[HIPPYVALLEY]

25 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Mitch balls deep again.

He may get more than most folks season average in 2 storms.

[tamarack]

2 hours ago, Lava Rock said:

Storm delayed? My forcst called for 1-3" last night and we've only got high cirrus

Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk
 

Like the last one?  Was expecting a nasty drive home last Wednesday afternoon, still had only 0.1" at 9 PM, but the storm finished as an overperformer.  I'd sign for a repeat. 

[mreaves]

21 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

He may get more than most folks season average in 2 storms.

He got more than some folks season average in one storm.

[dryslot]

5 minutes ago, mreaves said:

He got more than some folks season average in one storm.

This may end up 2 seasons worth.

[weatherwiz]

The NAM was SPOT on...SPOT on with the scenario of two bands...one around central CT then another E CT/RI border. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

28.4/27

S+

8"

[weathafella]

7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

28.4/27

S+

8"

Obs thread Ray.  It’s hopping 

[ariof]

On 3/10/2018 at 4:11 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

 

I mean, I wasn't wrong.

[40/70 Benchmark]

On 3/13/2018 at 3:11 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I like that the band has set up over Montaulk point.......I think that translates up near us.

Wonder if that onshore flow can augment it, too.

 

Anecdotal, but telling ob.

[Baroclinic Zone]

We bump to re-live