March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Nice map...good luck. This is backing in far enough (and slightly slower) to try and get those >2 foot totals....we shall see. I hope it stalls even another 3-5 hours from current guidance.

No caution flags from anyone tonight. Apparently nothing can go wrong. 

[psv88]

Good luck fellas from Suffolk county LI! May the snow gods be kind to us all.

[bobbutts]

5 minutes ago, Weenie said:

So I was away from the forum for a few hours, is cranky correct with the major shift east?

no, and hopefully that's the last we see of his crap..

[Hoth]

Just now, dendrite said:

No caution flags from anyone tonight. Apparently nothing can go wrong. 

You can go see Cranky's twitter...

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

No caution flags from anyone tonight. Apparently nothing can go wrong. 

The latest trends are laughing at the caution flags it seems...this thing just keeps backing in.

[Hoth]

Just now, psv88 said:

Good luck fellas from Suffolk county LI! May the snow gods be kind to us all.

And to you, sir! Stack 'em high, stack 'em deep.

[Semper911]

Tweet from James:

Quote

Anyone else staying up all night for this storm?

 

[SlantStickers Anonymous]

1 minute ago, Semper911 said:

@89nich

Someone can take over posting his tweets when I turn in around midnight. 

Fastest follow of my life, but he needs to add his location as Cape Cod, MA. 

[Hoth]

Man, it just looks like the entire CONUS airmass is pivoting around this beast on WV. Just gorgeous.

[Ginx snewx]

14 minutes ago, sbos_wx said:

You can't make it up. a 40" lolli at the weenie king and my ex's house.

Is it too late to say I'm sorrrrry

James will accept it 

[CoastalWx]

Ray, best of luck with that. We hope. Definitely a step in the right direction

[USCG RS]

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

No caution flags from anyone tonight. Apparently nothing can go wrong. 

Thats it. Sunny and 58 degrees in Boston tomorrow. 

[CoastalWx]

The only thing I can see is that the DGZ gets a little higher up in ern areas.  But it's tremendous lift just below it. I feel like central and wrn MA will fluff their way to big numbers.

[78Blizzard]

6 minutes ago, dendrite said:

No caution flags from anyone tonight. Apparently nothing can go wrong. 

Two storms ago we were all waiting for the rain to turn to snow.  It never happened down here.  Those waiting now for a major change for the worse (much less snow) will also be disappointed.

[TalcottWx]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Ray, best of luck with that. We hope. Definitely a step in the right direction

Love Raymond's map, I would go much higher on Cape tho

[Hoth]

Hey Ray, go to Earthlight's Twitter. He's got a sounding for your area posted that is just ridiculous.

[WthrJunkyME]

1 minute ago, Semper911 said:

Tweet from James:

 

Sure wish he was able to post.  Nobody has the privileges to change that here?

[Typhoon Tip]

16 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Couldn't have said it better myself. And how appropriate would it be for this thing to cleanly phase on the 25th and 130th anniversary of two of the greatest such occurrences in the annals.

Well ... I put some "if" like conditional statements in that...  I'm not exactly saying that is what is going to happen... It's just that the present observations seem to match the west correction schemes, which in them selves bear well against theoretical thinking...

It never sat well with me that the low was getting foisted so far out toward the outer banks, with that N/stream mechanics already intermingling with the total vorticity field... Phasing lows "spitting" them back out ...heh... odd.   Maybe -

[powderfreak]

NAM is finally tapering off the snows at 18z  Thursday.  

That was a juicy run.  Wow.

 

[TalcottWx]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

The only thing I can see is that the DGZ gets a little higher up in ern areas.  But it's tremendous lift just below it. I feel like central and wrn MA will fluff their way to big numbers.

Nice to be able to see that on tropical tidbits. Noticed same thing. But don't know enough about cross sections yet to really say much. 

This is now like the first time I studied skew t's lol.

Is there anywhere to get euro skew t's?

[The 4 Seasons]

[TalcottWx]

Just now, powderfreak said:

NAM is finally tapering off the snows at 18z  Thursday.  

That was a juicy run.  Wow.

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_JZom_gVfuw

[HullMA]

I can not help but think about how common place these monsters have become! Heres to another weeniefest. 

I hope noone goes to work tomorrow. Gonna be super dangerous

[bobbutts]

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

No caution flags from anyone tonight. Apparently nothing can go wrong. 

I always struggle getting the right feel with these events that get the majority of the board super excited, but don't impact up here as much.  Hard not to get worked up along with everyone else.   Do you feel good about 8-16" range the local pros are going with?

[Hoth]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Well ... I put some "if" like conditional statements in that...  I'm not exactly saying that is what is going to happen... It's just that the present observations seem to match the west correction schemes, which in them selves bear well against theoretical thinking...

It never sat well with me that the low was getting foisted so far out toward the outer banks, with that N/stream mechanics already intermingling with the total vorticity field... Phasing lows "spitting" them back out ...heh... odd.   Maybe -

Sure, sure, the usual caveats apply. But its present behavior does seem well aligned with your expectations.

[ineedsnow]

HRRR is awesome looking!#! 

[CoastalWx]

No euro skew Ts that I know of Jay.

[TalcottWx]

Embarrassed to say I'm starting to lose track of whose who on twitter vs the forums. Obviously everyone has a different identity there. 

Love to have everyone and anyone add me @realjaykenney 

I post a lot of damage, pictures, nowcasting, during the height of storms.

[The Graupler]

Looks bad... lots of people will lose power with temps plunging into the 20's.  good chance for severe property damage for people still recovering from the last two nor'easters.

 

Flooding, potential burst pipes, lots of people will miss work, driving will be impossible, people wont be able to get medical help.

 

But hey.. SNOW PACK!!!!

[WxBlue]

Just got out of NYC and on way back to NH (just in time). Looking over models while sitting at this gas station, a “safe” forecast for SE NH would be 14-20”. However, can’t rule out 24” lollis around here and especially to south of us. Will post more in the morning because I got to finish this drive.