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March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

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dendrite
dendrite

We'll meet in the middle. The 5ppd is going back after the storm. Have at it James, but don't go too crazy. lol

USCAPEWEATHERAF
USCAPEWEATHERAF

Lol you know, why can't moderators take me off the weenie list now?  I behaved, this is the one storm I have been waiting for, let me be free

dendrite
dendrite

dendrite's heart grew 3 sizes that day

Posted Images

Semper911

Semper911

Posted
Posted
24 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

Cranky means well, he is just slanted this storm because he guessed wrong, the storm is not moving east, if anything it is slowing down to a crawl currently as modeled way south of the benchmark, bands are already on our doorstep but we have pretty high dew point depressions to overcome before snow starts around 12am, latest GFS all snow, the latest HRRR is all snow to start a little mix with rain at the brunt of the storm passing to our east.  This is a cold storm, a cold atmosphere, everywhere I look the 850mb temps are around -6C to -12C, 925mb a little warmer than that, but the boundary layer issues will be overcome in the first few hours of heavy snows, as they occur before sunrise and planting a nice sound foundation of snow on the pavement will offset the warm sun angle non sense in March.  Also heavy snowfall rates could exceed 2"/hour maybe eclipse the Blizzard of 2005 in terms of heavy snowfall rates we received on Cape in that blizzard, and longevity of the bands could rival the 2015 Blizzard, in terms of ferocity, this storm will beat out those two any day of the week, with a pressure as low as 962mb in some regards to modeling as it passes east of Chatham, MA we could be looking at feet of snow accumulating over the Cape Cod and Dukes county.  Blizzard warning, I think NWS is conservative still, latest 18z GFS had no problems in my estimation, it brought almost 30" of snow to Cape Cod, with the 40-60" max just east of the Outer Cape.  Hurricane force wind gust likely 70-80mph is likely on the outer Cape and Nantucket.  This is the beast we measure all our snow by, the benchmark storm is coming, I can feel it in the air outside the house, it is rocking from the ENE and the air is cooling rapidly along with moistening rapidly

Right on, James, right on. Good luck, man, you have earned this.

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NeonPeon

NeonPeon

Posted
Posted
8 minutes ago, sbos_wx said:

There's always one jackwagon

I still think I get under a foot with higher amounts in every direction.  I won't b**ch if so, but let's not pretend everyone doesn't have some threshold. It's less justifiable in areas that are spinning the wheel of banding.

 

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USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said:

That is some weather porn right there.  James will be using the snow maps from this on those lonely nights on the cape...

Lol you know, why can't moderators take me off the weenie list now?  I behaved, this is the one storm I have been waiting for, let me be free

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RUNNAWAYICEBERG

RUNNAWAYICEBERG

Posted
Posted
Just now, NeonPeon said:

I still think I get under a foot with higher amounts in every direction.  I won't b**ch if so, but let's not pretend everyone doesn't have some threshold. It's less justifiable in areas that are spinning the wheel of banding.

 

Some pretend they are ‘better’ by not caring about max snow potential...but you don’t spend THIS much time tracking if you are just happy with flakes in the air while 25 miles away sees 24”.

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Baroclinic Zone

Baroclinic Zone

Posted
Posted
13 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

If it's to be done, it's done at the Admin level.  Mods don't have that ability anymore.

 

3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

Lol you know, why can't moderators take me off the weenie list now?  I behaved, this is the one storm I have been waiting for, let me be free

 

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JC-CT

JC-CT

Posted
Posted
13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

How come you didn’t post this of 2-3” an hour over Tolland? Worried about the valley snow hole on all guidance,

The trolling does get tiresome. It's like he doesn't realize other people live in eastern CT lol.

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Buddy1987

Buddy1987

Posted
Posted
35 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

Cranky means well, he is just slanted this storm because he guessed wrong, the storm is not moving east, if anything it is slowing down to a crawl currently as modeled way south of the benchmark, bands are already on our doorstep but we have pretty high dew point depressions to overcome before snow starts around 12am, latest GFS all snow, the latest HRRR is all snow to start a little mix with rain at the brunt of the storm passing to our east.  This is a cold storm, a cold atmosphere, everywhere I look the 850mb temps are around -6C to -12C, 925mb a little warmer than that, but the boundary layer issues will be overcome in the first few hours of heavy snows, as they occur before sunrise and planting a nice sound foundation of snow on the pavement will offset the warm sun angle non sense in March.  Also heavy snowfall rates could exceed 2"/hour maybe eclipse the Blizzard of 2005 in terms of heavy snowfall rates we received on Cape in that blizzard, and longevity of the bands could rival the 2015 Blizzard, in terms of ferocity, this storm will beat out those two any day of the week, with a pressure as low as 962mb in some regards to modeling as it passes east of Chatham, MA we could be looking at feet of snow accumulating over the Cape Cod and Dukes county.  Blizzard warning, I think NWS is conservative still, latest 18z GFS had no problems in my estimation, it brought almost 30" of snow to Cape Cod, with the 40-60" max just east of the Outer Cape.  Hurricane force wind gust likely 70-80mph is likely on the outer Cape and Nantucket.  This is the beast we measure all our snow by, the benchmark storm is coming, I can feel it in the air outside the house, it is rocking from the ENE and the air is cooling rapidly along with moistening rapidly

These are the type of write-ups that make a weather Jimmy a weather Jimmy. I am overly excited to see pics and videos coming out of the Cape come tomorrow. I used to frequent South Yarmouth several times a year when I was younger. The whole Cape is a wonderful place to frequent. You guys are long overdue for a big boy. Good luck out there!

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