Jump to content

  • Member Statistics

    18,126
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    happyclam13
    Newest Member
    happyclam13
    Joined

March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 3.2k
  • Created
  • Last Reply
Semper911

Semper911

Posted
Posted
  On 3/13/2018 at 12:11 AM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

Cranky means well, he is just slanted this storm because he guessed wrong, the storm is not moving east, if anything it is slowing down to a crawl currently as modeled way south of the benchmark, bands are already on our doorstep but we have pretty high dew point depressions to overcome before snow starts around 12am, latest GFS all snow, the latest HRRR is all snow to start a little mix with rain at the brunt of the storm passing to our east.  This is a cold storm, a cold atmosphere, everywhere I look the 850mb temps are around -6C to -12C, 925mb a little warmer than that, but the boundary layer issues will be overcome in the first few hours of heavy snows, as they occur before sunrise and planting a nice sound foundation of snow on the pavement will offset the warm sun angle non sense in March.  Also heavy snowfall rates could exceed 2"/hour maybe eclipse the Blizzard of 2005 in terms of heavy snowfall rates we received on Cape in that blizzard, and longevity of the bands could rival the 2015 Blizzard, in terms of ferocity, this storm will beat out those two any day of the week, with a pressure as low as 962mb in some regards to modeling as it passes east of Chatham, MA we could be looking at feet of snow accumulating over the Cape Cod and Dukes county.  Blizzard warning, I think NWS is conservative still, latest 18z GFS had no problems in my estimation, it brought almost 30" of snow to Cape Cod, with the 40-60" max just east of the Outer Cape.  Hurricane force wind gust likely 70-80mph is likely on the outer Cape and Nantucket.  This is the beast we measure all our snow by, the benchmark storm is coming, I can feel it in the air outside the house, it is rocking from the ENE and the air is cooling rapidly along with moistening rapidly

Expand  

Right on, James, right on. Good luck, man, you have earned this.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
RUNNAWAYICEBERG

RUNNAWAYICEBERG

Posted
Posted
  On 3/13/2018 at 12:37 AM, NeonPeon said:

I still think I get under a foot with higher amounts in every direction.  I won't b**ch if so, but let's not pretend everyone doesn't have some threshold. It's less justifiable in areas that are spinning the wheel of banding.

 

Expand  

Some pretend they are ‘better’ by not caring about max snow potential...but you don’t spend THIS much time tracking if you are just happy with flakes in the air while 25 miles away sees 24”.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Baroclinic Zone

Baroclinic Zone

Posted
Posted
  On 3/13/2018 at 12:30 AM, Baroclinic Zone said:

If it's to be done, it's done at the Admin level.  Mods don't have that ability anymore.

Expand  

 

  On 3/13/2018 at 12:40 AM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

Lol you know, why can't moderators take me off the weenie list now?  I behaved, this is the one storm I have been waiting for, let me be free

Expand  

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Buddy1987

Buddy1987

Posted
Posted
  On 3/13/2018 at 12:11 AM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

Cranky means well, he is just slanted this storm because he guessed wrong, the storm is not moving east, if anything it is slowing down to a crawl currently as modeled way south of the benchmark, bands are already on our doorstep but we have pretty high dew point depressions to overcome before snow starts around 12am, latest GFS all snow, the latest HRRR is all snow to start a little mix with rain at the brunt of the storm passing to our east.  This is a cold storm, a cold atmosphere, everywhere I look the 850mb temps are around -6C to -12C, 925mb a little warmer than that, but the boundary layer issues will be overcome in the first few hours of heavy snows, as they occur before sunrise and planting a nice sound foundation of snow on the pavement will offset the warm sun angle non sense in March.  Also heavy snowfall rates could exceed 2"/hour maybe eclipse the Blizzard of 2005 in terms of heavy snowfall rates we received on Cape in that blizzard, and longevity of the bands could rival the 2015 Blizzard, in terms of ferocity, this storm will beat out those two any day of the week, with a pressure as low as 962mb in some regards to modeling as it passes east of Chatham, MA we could be looking at feet of snow accumulating over the Cape Cod and Dukes county.  Blizzard warning, I think NWS is conservative still, latest 18z GFS had no problems in my estimation, it brought almost 30" of snow to Cape Cod, with the 40-60" max just east of the Outer Cape.  Hurricane force wind gust likely 70-80mph is likely on the outer Cape and Nantucket.  This is the beast we measure all our snow by, the benchmark storm is coming, I can feel it in the air outside the house, it is rocking from the ENE and the air is cooling rapidly along with moistening rapidly

Expand  

These are the type of write-ups that make a weather Jimmy a weather Jimmy. I am overly excited to see pics and videos coming out of the Cape come tomorrow. I used to frequent South Yarmouth several times a year when I was younger. The whole Cape is a wonderful place to frequent. You guys are long overdue for a big boy. Good luck out there!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Go to topic listing

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...