March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

[Hoth]

Ryan mentioned a "fluffy foot" in banding in w/c CT. We humbly would accept!

[CoastalWx]

 I do think that coastal areas may lose a couple inches due to warm boundary layer wet snow not sticking as well, but after 12 Z should really rip. 

[dryslot]

5 minutes ago, WeatherX said:

Oh boy Oh boy Oh boy

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=regional-northeast-08-48-1-100-1&checked=map

Man does that look awesome.

[MarkO]

12 minutes ago, WintersComing said:

Any chance you could splash some of your robustness on me? lol

tmi, get a room.

[ORH_wxman]

14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I mentioned 3' late last night....haven't seen anything to engender thoughts of straying from that.

There are going to plenty of arrows on tonight's map.

Maybe the most robust one I have ever made.

Residence time is an issue for that type of jackpot total. I suppose someone could get stuck in a band during the CCB but I'd like to see this slow down by about 4-6 hours for that. 

[WintersComing]

Can see in the northern energy already plowing into the southern SW on this loop.

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=global-northernhemi-08-48-1-100-1&checked=map

 

[Bostonseminole]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Residence time is an issue for that type of jackpot total. I suppose someone could get stuck in a band during the CCB but I'd like to see this slow down by about 4-6 hours for that. 

is that completely off the table now?

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Residence time is an issue for that type of jackpot total. I suppose someone could get stuck in a band during the CCB but I'd like to see this slow down by about 4-6 hours for that. 

I agree....not talking widespread....general 1-2'..

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Bostonseminole said:

is that completely off the table now?

No.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

wet fart

Right on cue.

[CoastalWx]

 I think this is moving just a bit too quick for those Uber amounts (30+).After 18 Z, it may already showing signs of losing the massive CCB push and start to show signs of more bandiness. 

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:

is that completely off the table now?

No it could still slow. This partial phase between the two streams is a trainwreck on guidance. If it happens quicker then we could have this storm overstay it's welcome somewhat. 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Right on cue.

??

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

 I think this is moving just a bit too quick for those Uber amounts (30+).After 18 Z, it may already showing signs of losing the massive CCB push and start to show signs of more bandiness. 

We'll see....it only takes 12 hours sometimes.

[BRSno]

15z SREFs look awesome. Low range is 8" 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

??

I'm just being a d*ck.

All good points.

[CTWeatherFreak]

4 minutes ago, WintersComing said:

Can see in the northern energy already plowing into the southern SW on this loop.

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=global-northernhemi-08-48-1-100-1&checked=map

 

THeyre practically kissing here. Did any models show this close in interaction this early on?

[Hoth]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

No it could still slow. This partial phase between the two streams is a trainwreck on guidance. If it happens quicker then we could have this storm overstay it's welcome somewhat. 

It's welcome to stay as long as it wants.

[Bostonseminole]

1 minute ago, BRSno said:

15z SREFs look awesome. Low range is 8" 

juicier?

[WintersComing]

Just now, CTWeatherFreak said:

THeyre practically kissing here. Did any models show this close in interaction this early on?

No and that what Tip and some others have been scratching their heads about

[WeatherX]

Man does that look awesome.

It’s like junior prom when the guys say, “no really, just the tip”


.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Nice.  Mean snow on the 15z SREFs for PYM are just about 20".  

[BRSno]

1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said:

juicier?

Yup. Nice bump from 9z which had a few scrapers it seemed. 

[WintersComing]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

Nice.  Mean snow on the 15z SREFs for PYM are just about 20".  

How about back this way?

[Damage In Tolland]

There’s a lot of snow coming 

[WintersComing]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

There’s a lot of snow coming 

It's gonna snow tomorrow?

[tavwtby]

Have been watching that band, now positioned from NNJ to SEof PIT all day, looks well NW of SLP, bet that's the outer meso band that clips west areas with fluff

[Cyclone-68]

Would a phase more or less guarantee that the storm slows down? Would phasing come with any other advantages?  

[JC-CT]

11 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Man does that look awesome.

That northern stream just seems to be booking so fast, like twice the speed of the southern stream. Sure looks like it's gonna catch up.

I dunno. Models > the human eye.

 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, WintersComing said:

How about back this way?

Looks about 10" there.  IJD is like 11", BDL 10", OXC 7"