STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 4:59 PM, weathafella said: Thanks for uncle guys. Looks like it’s ok. Expand Slp Placement is odd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 4:52 PM, wxsniss said: 12z UK looks almost dead on with 0z in terms of SLP track, slightly deeper, cut qpf slightly in far west zones Expand The deeper and more wound up this ends up probably means a slight cut in QPF in WNE as precip shield tightens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 5:05 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: The deeper and more wound up this ends up probably means a slight cut in QPF in WNE as precip shield tightens? Expand You will do anything that you can do to lower your own expectations. It’s really cuteYou will do anything that you can do to lower your own expectations. It’s really cute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 I'll watch trends today in the meso's but I'll go with 4-6" here. Need 6" to climb over my seasonal average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 5:05 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Expand Shocking Cold airmass cape cod gets ccb meat Mos ftl On thermals And yes there will be a band nw.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 Thanks...looks like about 16" here. Reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 3 feet for the cape on that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 What is the HREF? SREF replacement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 5:06 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: I'll watch trends today in the meso's but I'll go with 4-6" here. Need 6" to climb over my seasonal average. Expand Need 8 to climb over mine which is 49". Feel that I've got a shot at it anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 5:08 PM, weathafella said: 3 feet for the cape on that Expand Looks like Jan 2005. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 Ukie qpf for the queens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 I need 9.5" for average...feel good about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 4:49 PM, sbos_wx said: Looks like 6z BTV WRF jackpots Plymouth, Taunton, Falmouth, Brockton, Canal areas. Expand Hard to read but looks good for eastern Mass on the BTV4. Some incredible QPF in the mountains, too. Even cut in half would be big. Fun week for all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 5:06 PM, mahk_webstah said: You will do anything that you can do to lower your own expectations. It’s really cuteYou will do anything that you can do to lower your own expectations. It’s really cute Expand OK, I get your point, no need to repeat yourself now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 5:10 PM, ORH_wxman said: Ukie qpf for the queens Expand Can't help but ask... anything after 12z Thursday? I'd assume its still in progress to some extent up in the mountains but maybe only another .1-.25". Resolution looks like it would leave something to be desired though in an orographic situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 The general trend has def been to push the critical midlevel features a little NW at 12z today...even the shorter term guidance has been nudging west further south before the models get into clown range where they are unreliable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 5:08 PM, weathafella said: 3 feet for the cape on that Expand Full fledged blizzard w 70mph Winds and feet Inner cape. Just a footnote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 5:10 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks like Jan 2005. Expand That was a top 5 for me in Cambridge, maybe even top 3. Hope it buries James and Diane, they have been patient! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 5:10 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I need 9.5" for average...feel good about that. Expand From what I've seen, banding in your area or TOL/ORH. Some impressive fronto plots over the eastern half of Mass depending on the run. I think it'll be west of BOS proper though but who knows. That's what I would lean towards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 5:05 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: The deeper and more wound up this ends up probably means a slight cut in QPF in WNE as precip shield tightens? Expand It usually works like that, but not sure this time it applies because the wound up solutions are due to phasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 5:14 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Full fledged blizzard w 70mph Winds and feet Inner cape. Just a footnote Expand My family has a place in Falmouth but wife won't let me chase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 5:13 PM, powderfreak said: Can't help but ask... anything after 12z Thursday? I'd assume its still in progress to some extent up in the mountains but maybe only another .1-.25". Resolution looks like it would leave something to be desired though in an orographic situation. Expand Ukie qpf on that site doesn't go past 72 hours. You'll have to ask ginxy to post one of the weather.us maps. The fact these lower resolution models are still showing big upslope has to be a pretty awesome sight for your eyes...seems like a classic setup. It looks so good that you'd prob get actual responses from the IMBY SNE crowd if there wasn't an imminent blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 5:14 PM, JC-CT said: It usually works like that, but not sure this time it applies because the wound up solutions are due to phasing. Expand The ukie certainly spreads that qpf far and wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 5:11 PM, powderfreak said: Hard to read but looks good for eastern Mass on the BTV4. Some incredible QPF in the mountains, too. Even cut in half would be big. Fun week for all. Expand Nice wiener around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 5:14 PM, powderfreak said: From what I've seen, banding in your area or TOL/ORH. Some impressive fronto plots over the eastern half of Mass depending on the run. Expand My outlook is going to bust in se MA...wow. Happy, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 Okay, so I'll ask. HMIMBY? Worcester east side... will give address to get a more precise (in hundredths of an inch) forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 5:13 PM, ORH_wxman said: The general trend has def been to push the critical midlevel features a little NW at 12z today...even the shorter term guidance has been nudging west further south before the models get into clown range where they are unreliable. Expand On 3/12/2018 at 5:14 PM, powderfreak said: From what I've seen, banding in your area or TOL/ORH. Some impressive fronto plots over the eastern half of Mass depending on the run. I think it'll be west of BOS proper though but who knows. That's what I would lean towards. Expand IMBY question.... How far N&W do those features appear to make it? Into coastal Maine or are they limited to SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 5:09 PM, DomNH said: What is the HREF? SREF replacement? Expand More of an NCAR ensemble replacement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 5:16 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: Like to find me a ukie chap..spread my bum cheeks far and wide. Expand Wowzer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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