March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

[JC-CT]

Just now, Weenie said:

It's definitely 2-3mb stronger and slightly farther west

look at the 500mb height and vorticity maps.

[CoastalWx]

srn s/w is a hair faster than 6z, but nrn stream better. Not sure if it means much yet.

[Weenie]

Trof is significantly more tilted this run, low is in same position albeit slightly deeper which has been the norm

[JC-CT]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

srn s/w is a hair faster than 6z, but nrn stream better. Not sure if it means much yet.

It probably means it will go to town for the coastal plain but sharper cutoff to the west.

[dendrite]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

srn s/w is a hair faster than 6z, but nrn stream better. Not sure if it means much yet.

Yeah I was worried about a later hook, but it looks pretty decent at 15hr.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Yeah I was worried about a later hook, but it looks pretty decent at 15hr.

If that thing slowed.......

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

If that thing slowed.......

or if the northern stream s/w came in a bit stronger for a sharper trough and earlier capture...

[dryslot]

06z was a crusher up here, I don't think 12z will be anything less.

[weathafella]

Standing up a bit (maybe 0.2 degrees) west of 0z.   I didn’t digest 6z

[jbenedet]

The circulation is enormous with this - it reminds me a bit of a much further east version of the blizzard last year that ran over SE MA but buried upstate NY with 30-40". Can't remember which one it was specifically. 

[weathafella]

Should be a fun solution 

[dendrite]

Definitely not backing down.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Looks to be crawling along tomorrow morning

[dryslot]

Here comes the tug NW @12z

[Baroclinic Zone]

Gotta watch that potent piece of vorticity on the southern end.  May draw this thing E.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

Gotta watch that potent piece of vorticity on the southern end.  May draw this thing E.

Yeah...I was looking at that...

[BRSno]

NAM is basically on the benchmark?

[J Paul Gordon]

Anyone notice how well the Boston/NYC maps match?

[HoarfrostHubb]

Just now, BRSno said:

NAM is basically on the benchmark?

Looks to be a bit east

[jbenedet]

Probably gets kicked east after 24. Not seeing the changes at H5 needed to expect otherwise...

[mostman]

1 minute ago, BRSno said:

NAM is basically on the benchmark?

Just east, but really crawling slowly.

[JC-CT]

There is some nice banding across the center of CT that run.

[wx2fish]

Defientely a bump NW. Not backing down 

[dryslot]

Pounding.

[dendrite]

Congrats Mitch

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

There is some nice banding across the center of CT that run.

Ray just logged off

[Buddy1987]

Just now, JC-CT said:

There is some nice banding across the center of CT that run.

You look to be in an awesome spot on this one. You and Kev. What an absolute snow bomb for the Cape. Tremendous QPF out that way.

[Ginx snewx]

20 minutes ago, Cold Miser said:

Ryan rightfully going conservative in our state.  Those 10"-16" numbers for my area by NWS were funny. Ryan is back to reality with a 6"-9" spot over Windham County. 

From his FB post earlier:
"We've been keeping things conservative as the center of this storm is going to track awfully far offshore."

Putting the sanity back into forecasting.  

i think Ryan will be reevaluating Garth

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Ray just logged off

Which is it...congrats cape, or Mitch?

[CoastalWx]

There is still that signal way west over Berks into NH, and then the tremendous fronto stuff with the CCB pushing onshore.