March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

[ineedsnow]

If all if you could send a good band my way that would be great thinking 6 or so for here...

[Damage In Tolland]

20 minutes ago, sbos_wx said:

Just the difference between 1 and 2 feet among friends in E MA 

Oh.. well those high amounts never seemed realistic. Plan on 6-12” if you get 14”.. it’s a win 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

6 minutes ago, sbos_wx said:

I Pym  speaking in regards to some. of the astronomical amounts being thrown around it just doesn't seem like a slam dunk.

If anyone is getting astro Amounts i would look toward the cape, they are the favorites for a 2' should it materialize, otheres have a *shot* but nobody forecasts off of a 1 in 10 chance

I would say 12-18 on cape w 2' lolli's

10-15 (+).for carver To plympton Down to fairhaven and over to pym.

Lowell to Orh to S RI 6-12 w isolated higher totals possible

West of that 4-8

[TalcottWx]

That NAM banding page almost suggest we see a burst of some pretty damn good snow. Then all of a sudden things go bonkers east of ORH from New Bedford, to BOS, to Ray. 

He's been dreaming of it for years so I hope it happens.

[Damage In Tolland]

Noyes going big. Big area of 12-18 from about here thru PVD to BOS

[STILL N OF PIKE]

3 minutes ago, sbos_wx said:

That NAM banding page almost suggest we see a burst of some pretty damn good snow. Then all of a sudden things go bonkers east of ORH from New Bedford, to BOS, to Ray. 

He's been dreaming of it for years so I hope it happens.

There is def a shot man, im not denying that

Models need to stand pat or drift west otherwise that chance morphs into Cut back ville

[CoastalWx]

HRRRX went wild. But, that's the limit on that model when going out 24+ hrs. 

[J Paul Gordon]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Noyes going big. Big area of 12-18 from about here thru PVD to BOS

Its  not a crazy forecast when you factor in ratios and potential banding inland

[40/70 Benchmark]

38 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

A 15-20 mile band to the west, Ray has been meditating on this band to the point of being consumed By it and mitch's 3" deform Last Storm.

 

Wilmington has A much better Shot at 7" then 24"+ 

I'm consumed by correct forecasts. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Oh.. well those high amounts never seemed realistic. Plan on 6-12” if you get 14”.. it’s a win 

High end amounts will be more than that.

[WintersComing]

HRRRX went wild. But, that's the limit on that model when going out 24+ hrs. 

Link for that?


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[40/70 Benchmark]

18 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

If anyone is getting astro Amounts i would look toward the cape, they are the favorites for a 2' should it materialize, otheres have a *shot* but nobody forecasts off of a 1 in 10 chance

I would say 12-18 on cape w 2' lolli's

10-15 (+).for carver To plympton Down to fairhaven and over to pym.

Lowell to Orh to S RI 6-12 w isolated higher totals possible

West of that 4-8

6-12" for Lowell?

Go back to bed.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

6-12" for Lowell?

Go back to bed.

I am lol

[WintersComing]

I’m actually surprised that NWS stayed with the WSW for Middlesex county here in CT


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[weathafella]

23 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

If anyone is getting astro Amounts i would look toward the cape, they are the favorites for a 2' should it materialize, otheres have a *shot* but nobody forecasts off of a 1 in 10 chance

I would say 12-18 on cape w 2' lolli's

10-15 (+).for carver To plympton Down to fairhaven and over to pym.

Lowell to Orh to S RI 6-12 w isolated higher totals possible

West of that 4-8

I wouldn’t go to the cape.  They will lose half their qpf to rain or slop.   However, if you go to PYM you just may be in Jack zone.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

I wouldn’t go to the cape.  They will lose half their qpf to rain or slop.   However, if you go to PYM you just may be in Jack zone.

Wasnt Gonna be chatham Chasing

[weathafella]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Wasnt Gonna be chatham Chasing

Are you saying you ARE going to Chatham?   

[codfishsnowman]

29 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Oh.. well those high amounts never seemed realistic. Plan on 6-12” if you get 14”.. it’s a win 

you said 6-12 back to Albany lol at one point

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Wasnt Gonna be chatham Chasing

Chubby chasing?

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, codfishsnowman said:

you said 6-12 back to Albany lol at one point

I still think that could happen in a band. Mid  levels love to surprise way west. Congrats on 8-10"

[JC-CT]

Just now, codfishsnowman said:

you said 6-12 back to Albany lol at one point

But the low end was always for you regardless.

[CoastalWx]

13 minutes ago, WintersComing said:

Link for that?


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https://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/HRRR/Welcome.cgi?dsKey=hrrr_jet&domain=t3&run_time=12+Mar+2018+-+06Z

[STILL N OF PIKE]

8 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Are you saying you ARE going to Chatham?   

No way

If this trends east im lookin to hit cape. Falmouth Maybe Hyannis if i smoke

Ill set up shop in LWM This eve, Do some hip thrusts and then decide

[weathafella]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

No way

If this trends east im lookin to hit cape. Falmouth Maybe Hyannis if i smoke a dubey

Near the canal but look st the numbers for 1/4/18.   Ths storm is remarkably similar but obviously it’s not as cold.   

[moneypitmike]

how funny would this be?

[ineedsnow]

Actually looking at the 6z models. 6 might be to high for here.. 2 to 4?

[moneypitmike]

Pit2 or bust.    The maps give me a range of 7-23".  The 'most likely' has me at 16" --and about the entire GYX CWA between 13-17".  

Tonight

Cloudy. Snow after midnight. Snow accumulation around an inch. Lows in the upper 20s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 80 percent.

Tuesday

Snow. Additional snow accumulation of 8 to 12 inches. Highs in the lower 30s. North winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent.

Tuesday Night

Snow. Additional heavy snow accumulation. Lows in the upper 20s. North winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph, becoming northwest around 10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph after midnight. Chance of snow near 100 percent.

[TalcottWx]

38 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

HRRRX went wild. But, that's the limit on that model when going out 24+ hrs. 

Been abysmal so far imho

[TalcottWx]

10 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

how funny would this be?

It doesn't make sense (not picking on ya).

Only scenario E MA sees that little, Cape would be destroyed. It suggests Cape mixes.

That's just a pile of crap. But I don't think BOX is really all that concerned about that map. Looks model generated.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

11 minutes ago, weathafella said:

nearkt canal look at the numbers 1/18.     Ths storm is remarkably similar but obviously it’s not as cold.   

You read box 430 Disco.

They are thinking best shot for 20" is se mass and they wonder if MOS is Messing w outer c.c accums , keeping them down.

They note the shift east at 0z (and models that didnt Are eastern edge of envelope). 

Say could shift west at game time but wont Know till then