March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

[rnaude241]

  On 3/11/2018 at 3:28 PM, Hoth said:

lol you are tblizzing this like a champ! I fully expect you to jack now.

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Stop reverse jinxing snowstorms again!

[Typhoon Tip]

  On 3/11/2018 at 3:19 PM, CTWeatherFreak said:

I got mocked for mentioning the JMA last night..  I kind of put Icon in the same boat, but since it's already been brought up in the 12 model suite, 12z Icon looks interesting.. Nice stream interaction going on here, if not a bit late for those of us not in ENE:

 

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Yup... right down the line of them... More aggressive N/steam notable at 24 hours ... parlays to way more proficiency off the M/A latitudes and then carries onward from there... 

[Semper911]

  On 3/11/2018 at 2:54 PM, Weenie said:

Thanks for the warm welcome! I tried to make my username topical. 

 

Anyway, the 3k NAM shows a very deep system but its a little farther east and a giant mess. I don't think any model has a handle on phasing yet 

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Welcome. I can’t believe we don’t already named Weenie haha. Lurk and learn. And don’t forget to post your obs during storms. 

[JC-CT]

to quote the board's greatest weenie...oh boy oh boy oh boy

GFS is looking good through 21, northern stream is digging

[dryslot]

I think were going to like the 12z GFS

[ineedsnow]

Gfs should be good i think southern and northern stream look better

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 3/11/2018 at 3:28 PM, Hoth said:

lol you are tblizzing this like a champ! I fully expect you to jack now.

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I could see a I91 deform based off rgem but its has been subpar outside of last storm jack on ct/ny line. Nothing else that is reliable supports it. 

[JC-CT]

  On 3/11/2018 at 3:34 PM, dryslot said:

I think were going to like the 12z GFS

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oh boy oh boy oh boy

[SouthCoastMA]

12z RGEM IS historic

[Sugarloaf1989]

Oh no oh no oh no, no more snow.

[Weenie]

Where is the RGEM that everyone is talking about?

[dryslot]

  On 3/11/2018 at 3:35 PM, JC-CT said:

oh boy oh boy oh boy

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Just catching up, I have not seen much guidance over the last 24 hrs, No cell towers yesterday in the Maine mtns.............

[JC-CT]

  On 3/11/2018 at 3:37 PM, Weenie said:

Where is the RGEM that everyone is talking about?

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https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=rgem&region=neus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2018031112&fh=47

[EastonSN+]

  On 3/11/2018 at 3:19 PM, CoastalWx said:

Rgem is sick. For those near and just west of river, I honestly think you’ll get a good band into there if that model is right. I doubt you’ll be screwed. 

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Its amazing with a storm this intense how sharp the western edge is depicted.

[dendrite]

  On 3/11/2018 at 3:36 PM, SouthCoastMA said:

12z RGEM IS historic

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Went east from previous runs.

[Hoth]

  On 3/11/2018 at 3:38 PM, EastonSN+ said:

Its amazing with a storm this intense how sharp the western edge is depicted.

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Toss. I expect a wider precip field with the n/s interaction. I think the u-wind anomalies also argue more precip than shown.

[moneypitmike]

  On 3/11/2018 at 3:38 PM, dryslot said:

Just catching up, I have not seen much guidance over the last 24 hrs, No cell towers yesterday in the Maine mtns.............

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I think you'll enjoy the recap.

[ineedsnow]

Hour 54 low jumps east dont think it plays out like that

[CoastalWx]

Not far from 6z. Some love sent west to tickle Runaway's fanny.

[rnaude241]

  On 3/11/2018 at 3:36 PM, SouthCoastMA said:

12z RGEM IS historic

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That's a thing of beauty. We take.

[CoastalWx]

GFS is sick for central and ern areas.

[Hoth]

  On 3/11/2018 at 3:44 PM, ineedsnow said:

Hour 54 low jumps east dont think it plays out like that

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Yeah, still probably struggling with the nuances of the interaction with the n/s. The GFS isn't exactly known for handling these things with aplomb.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

The RGEM did tick east from 6z but wow... what a crushing crushing blow for Rhode Island and Eastern ma.... has 12-16” down through 48 and still pounding with no end in sight 

[Hoth]

That look at 48 says SNE crush job to me, I don't care what the QPF maps say.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 3/11/2018 at 3:36 PM, SouthCoastMA said:

12z RGEM IS historic

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You’d prob score 30” with that look

[moneypitmike]

Nice jp along the coast.  Pit2 leaps for joy.  Look to head up after work tomorrow.

[Damage In Tolland]

GFS is 1” HFD and 1-2” River east 

[ineedsnow]

Canadian crushes river east

[JC-CT]

  On 3/11/2018 at 3:50 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

GFS is 1” HFD and 1-2” River east 

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I think we can safely say, it's coming. It is now a matter of how much and where.

[dryslot]

Waiting for it to run on Uquam to see the reggie extended.