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March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland


Typhoon Tip

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  On 3/11/2018 at 9:59 AM, sbos_wx said:

Worked overnight until 2 am. Which immediately became 3am. I had finally shut the TV off now, I see this... And I'm off go weatherbell. Damn it. 

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Fiance is sleeping....so I'm up until 3am west coast time because she won't let me do the first call tmw. lol

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So box hoisted watched, but not for the cape or so ri.  My forecast shows mixing.

Ptype issues on the track depicted thus far, say it ain't so, because I wasn't anticipating that at all with this one unless it came way west (which they obviously aren't forecasting at the moment).

Strange. Anyone think that's a risk at the moment?

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  On 3/11/2018 at 7:53 AM, sbos_wx said:

Definite west trend on euro ensemble mean. Individual members have most low centers clustered west of the mean. 

Translation: this is coming.

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Yeah we are now into the period where each run will ramp up west . With that comes unfortunate mixing for SE Mass. The closer it comes, the wetter the snow 

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This is one of those deals where the western folks will agonize and lean on the non-hydrostatic models, hoping they're sniffing out a lot of convection pumping heights and drawing this thing in closer. Not betting on that. Though Miller As do seem to nestle in at the last minute, the blocking and northern stream interaction probably limit that possibility.

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