March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

[wxsniss]

Blech screwy run with flags all over it

There's a turd shortwave you can see diving into Wyoming hour 36 that deflates the western ridge... something not seen on prior runs

Relatedly, the trough gets a tug west and had this disjointed look compared to the clean sharp dig of prior runs

Disjointed northern stream tries to salvage something late but it's a mess

Until any semblance of this in any other guidance, this is like picking one of those really gross chocolates out of the box

[weathafella]

Mid levels look ok though.  Mid level magic en route?

[Hoth]

Nam gon' Nam.

[Bostonseminole]

1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

Horrible start to the 0z model suite.

it's not OTS .. still gets snow to most of the area but much less than 18Z

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, wxsniss said:

Blech screwy run with flags all over it

There's a turd shortwave you can see diving into Wyoming hour 36 that deflates the western ridge... something not seen on prior runs

Relatedly, the trough gets a tug west and had this disjointed look compared to the clean sharp dig of prior runs

Disjointed northern stream tries to salvage something late but it's a late mess

Until any semblance of this in any other guidance, this is like picking one of those really gross chocolates out of the box

Thats the biggest issue and mentioned that on the last page

[Baroclinic Zone]

3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Horrible start to the 0z model suite.

Looked fine to me. 

[EastonSN+]

Just now, Bostonseminole said:

it's not OTS .. still gets snow to most of the area but much less than 18Z

Could be just a waffle, but seeing the cut back on the GEFS along with the NAM development is disheartening. Not over but disheartening.

[CoastalWx]

As usual we wait until the real models come in. That still gave warning amounts here.

[EastonSN+]

1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Looked fine to me. 

For all of SNE?

[ORH_wxman]

It's amazing how much snow it still managed to put down in eastern areas even though that was pretty hideous aloft with any phasing attempt. The northern stream is so strong that is still creates some goodies. 

[EastonSN+]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

It's amazing how much snow it still managed to put down in eastern areas even though that was pretty hideous aloft with any phasing attempt. The northern stream is so strong that is still creates some goodies. 

What are your thoughts for western SNE?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

What are your thoughts for western SNE?

meh.

[rnaude241]

4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Looked fine to me. 

Still almost a foot out this way, I'll take it. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

For all of SNE?

It's all relative.  If you believed the 18z NAM, you shot your load.  This distribution looked more like the 12z EURO.

[EastonSN+]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

meh.

Well at least we got crushed last storm 

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

What are your thoughts for western SNE?

Livin' on the edge. Wait and see. Gonna need another good bump west there for solid warning snows I think and time is running short. Still in the game though. 

[EastonSN+]

3k NAM looks like the best case scenario for all

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

This definitely illustrates how fragile the setup is. So many moving parts and a blockbuster solution is just a small fraction of the potential outcomes.

Still a good chance for some snow, but I think the blockbuster amounts, as they always are, will be hard to get.

NAM is still decent here... low end warning anyway

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Well at least we got crushed last storm 

Sharing the goods in this blocking regime, it’s se ma turn now. 

[weathafella]

3k is a blizzard for mby.

[CoastalWx]

3K is usually good for weenie crack pipe stiff.

[EastonSN+]

Just now, weathafella said:

3k is a blizzard for mby.

3k is a hit for all 

[weathafella]

NAM has sh itty chocolates tonight.  You have to hit the 3k box.

[Baroclinic Zone]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

3K is usually good for weenie crack pipe stiff.

puff, puff, hold it.

[rnaude241]

Ha 3k NAM is lovely, god damn blizzard down here. 

[tavwtby]

[ineedsnow]

5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Sharing the goods in this blocking regime, it’s se ma turn now. 

When do i get my turn

[ineedsnow]

Icon looks exactly like the NAM out west with that strong vort now... If thats real i think the idea of a big storm is over for us.. It just kills the ridge

[CoastalWx]

RPM gone wild.

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

RPM gone wild.

Whats it show?