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March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland


Typhoon Tip

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Blech screwy run with flags all over it

There's a turd shortwave you can see diving into Wyoming hour 36 that deflates the western ridge... something not seen on prior runs

Relatedly, the trough gets a tug west and had this disjointed look compared to the clean sharp dig of prior runs

Disjointed northern stream tries to salvage something late but it's a mess

Until any semblance of this in any other guidance, this is like picking one of those really gross chocolates out of the box

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  On 3/11/2018 at 2:40 AM, wxsniss said:

Blech screwy run with flags all over it

There's a turd shortwave you can see diving into Wyoming hour 36 that deflates the western ridge... something not seen on prior runs

Relatedly, the trough gets a tug west and had this disjointed look compared to the clean sharp dig of prior runs

Disjointed northern stream tries to salvage something late but it's a late mess

Until any semblance of this in any other guidance, this is like picking one of those really gross chocolates out of the box

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Thats the biggest issue and mentioned that on the last page

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This definitely illustrates how fragile the setup is. So many moving parts and a blockbuster solution is just a small fraction of the potential outcomes.

Still a good chance for some snow, but I think the blockbuster amounts, as they always are, will be hard to get.

NAM is still decent here... low end warning anyway

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