wxsniss Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Blech screwy run with flags all over it There's a turd shortwave you can see diving into Wyoming hour 36 that deflates the western ridge... something not seen on prior runs Relatedly, the trough gets a tug west and had this disjointed look compared to the clean sharp dig of prior runs Disjointed northern stream tries to salvage something late but it's a mess Until any semblance of this in any other guidance, this is like picking one of those really gross chocolates out of the box Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Mid levels look ok though. Mid level magic en route? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Nam gon' Nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 On 3/11/2018 at 2:40 AM, EastonSN+ said: Horrible start to the 0z model suite. Expand it's not OTS .. still gets snow to most of the area but much less than 18Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 On 3/11/2018 at 2:40 AM, wxsniss said: Blech screwy run with flags all over it There's a turd shortwave you can see diving into Wyoming hour 36 that deflates the western ridge... something not seen on prior runs Relatedly, the trough gets a tug west and had this disjointed look compared to the clean sharp dig of prior runs Disjointed northern stream tries to salvage something late but it's a late mess Until any semblance of this in any other guidance, this is like picking one of those really gross chocolates out of the box Expand Thats the biggest issue and mentioned that on the last page Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 On 3/11/2018 at 2:40 AM, EastonSN+ said: Horrible start to the 0z model suite. Expand Looked fine to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 On 3/11/2018 at 2:43 AM, Bostonseminole said: it's not OTS .. still gets snow to most of the area but much less than 18Z Expand Could be just a waffle, but seeing the cut back on the GEFS along with the NAM development is disheartening. Not over but disheartening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 As usual we wait until the real models come in. That still gave warning amounts here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 On 3/11/2018 at 2:44 AM, Baroclinic Zone said: Looked fine to me. Expand For all of SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 It's amazing how much snow it still managed to put down in eastern areas even though that was pretty hideous aloft with any phasing attempt. The northern stream is so strong that is still creates some goodies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 On 3/11/2018 at 2:46 AM, ORH_wxman said: It's amazing how much snow it still managed to put down in eastern areas even though that was pretty hideous aloft with any phasing attempt. The northern stream is so strong that is still creates some goodies. Expand What are your thoughts for western SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 On 3/11/2018 at 2:48 AM, EastonSN+ said: What are your thoughts for western SNE? Expand meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 On 3/11/2018 at 2:44 AM, Baroclinic Zone said: Looked fine to me. Expand Still almost a foot out this way, I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 On 3/11/2018 at 2:45 AM, EastonSN+ said: For all of SNE? Expand It's all relative. If you believed the 18z NAM, you shot your load. This distribution looked more like the 12z EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 On 3/11/2018 at 2:49 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: meh. Expand Well at least we got crushed last storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 On 3/11/2018 at 2:48 AM, EastonSN+ said: What are your thoughts for western SNE? Expand Livin' on the edge. Wait and see. Gonna need another good bump west there for solid warning snows I think and time is running short. Still in the game though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 3k NAM looks like the best case scenario for all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 This definitely illustrates how fragile the setup is. So many moving parts and a blockbuster solution is just a small fraction of the potential outcomes. Still a good chance for some snow, but I think the blockbuster amounts, as they always are, will be hard to get. NAM is still decent here... low end warning anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 On 3/11/2018 at 2:50 AM, EastonSN+ said: Well at least we got crushed last storm Expand Sharing the goods in this blocking regime, it’s se ma turn now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 3k is a blizzard for mby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 3K is usually good for weenie crack pipe stiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 On 3/11/2018 at 2:53 AM, weathafella said: 3k is a blizzard for mby. Expand 3k is a hit for all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 NAM has sh itty chocolates tonight. You have to hit the 3k box. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 On 3/11/2018 at 2:54 AM, CoastalWx said: 3K is usually good for weenie crack pipe stiff. Expand puff, puff, hold it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Ha 3k NAM is lovely, god damn blizzard down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 On 3/11/2018 at 2:53 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Sharing the goods in this blocking regime, it’s se ma turn now. Expand When do i get my turn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Icon looks exactly like the NAM out west with that strong vort now... If thats real i think the idea of a big storm is over for us.. It just kills the ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 RPM gone wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 On 3/11/2018 at 3:15 AM, CoastalWx said: RPM gone wild. Expand Whats it show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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