March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

[Baroclinic Zone]

19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Not too different here. 

nope.  locked and loaded as of right now

[CoastalWx]

7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Pretty big difference outside of EMA. 

I wouldn’t worry too much right now.

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I wouldn’t worry too much right now.

Queenies

[Logan11]

I've certainly cashed in here.  24" in mid March last year and 25" a week ago. But prior to that I guess the last 20+" event here in March was 1993.

1 hour ago, ncforecaster89 said:

Very true I'm sure for many who weren't around for the March blizzards/big snow storms of the late fifties and early sixties (myself included prior to research); especially the epic blizzards in 1956 and 1960.  In meteorology, one can be sure history is destined to repeat itself.   That era (relative to March climatology) is similar to our current period of the past 6 years or so.     

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

43 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Queenies

Has zero to do with queenies. Check the link, I dare ya.

[JKEisMan]

21z SREFs looking wetter.

[Thunderblizzard]

SREFs ramped up quite a bit FWIW.

[ineedsnow]

Was just about to post about the SREFS.. They really ramped up.. Think 0z is game on tonight!!

[dendrite]

Not a lot of middle ground on those SREFs. Basically a graze or a huge hit. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Please just say it’s not the ARW members skewing 

[powderfreak]

Finally a good cyclonic flow week between tonight and the next system... add in some ratios at times and the fun stretch should continue.

 

[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Please just say it’s not the ARW members skewing 

Pretty much...lol

[Ginx snewx]

9 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Pretty much...lol

Yea lol arw 10 here nmb 5

[40/70 Benchmark]

11 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Pretty much...lol

So that's useless.

[mreaves]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Queens gonna queen. The mid levels looked nice on the gfs. 

 

1 hour ago, JC-CT said:

homophobe

Ru Paul just deleted her account.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

What is arw useful for..i mean ?

[ORH_wxman]

NAM looking flatter through 30 hours. On phone again though so can't toggle to be sure but just quick glance. 

[dendrite]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

NAM looking flatter through 30 hours. Ok phone again though so can't toggle to be sure but just quick glance. 

Im toggling and see it too

[ineedsnow]

Piece of energy out west looks stronger... Looks like its causing the ridge to break down..

[JC-CT]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

NAM looking flatter through 30 hours. On phone again though so can't toggle to be sure but just quick glance. 

It is but for some reason I like the look

[weatherbear5]

Looks like there's multiple s/w's in the northern stream this run... lead one may try to temper heights as the southern stream tries to turn... another wave close on that first northern ones heels so we'll see where this is going

[40/70 Benchmark]

Hopefully we're not already at the point of correction. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Don’t like it. northern stream in a worse spot to dive in. 

[dendrite]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Don’t like it. northern stream in a worse spot to dive in. 

It may outrun the southern streamer here...lol

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Are we tossing, yes

[ineedsnow]

That strong vort that is in western nebraska at hr 45... Messed things up from the start... If thats wrong it would be a big hit in my opinion..

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

It may outrun the southern streamer here...lol

Southern is further south too, they completely separated at 51 where 18z had some interaction already.

[weathafella]

Trying st 54 but is it too late?

[weatherbear5]

The good news is that the primary issue here is with the northern stream, the southern stream was fine. Theres probably a lot of variations with how that wave plays out, and this run is just one of many plausible solutions.

we won't know what's going to happen until that gets sorted out... maybe bey tomorrow we'll have a better sampling of it?

[EastonSN+]

Horrible start to the 0z model suite.