March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, JBinStoughton said:

That’s really sweet.  We’ll take your JP lol.  

Didn’t you get 10” in the last one?

[JC-CT]

5 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said:

WSW for West Virginia and Virginia. This is for snow Sunday and Monday. Is that related to this storm?

Yes

[CTWeatherFreak]

Congrats all SNE:

 

[JBinStoughton]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Didn’t you get 10” in the last one?

Not from what I saw. Maybe it was compressed by the time I got to it. 

[Diggiebot]

5 minutes ago, rnaude241 said:

Love the trends today. I don't need to jack, just want enough to play outside with my kids. 

 Yet to have a snow event of more than 6 inches this winter on cape so I’m just rooting for 6+ 

[JC-CT]

Based on hour 9, I would be surprised if the GFS didn't show something pretty good. I guess I'll allow the run to continue though.

[JC-CT]

Just gotta look where those isobars are pointing.

[Baroclinic Zone]

4 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Based on hour 9, I would be surprised if the GFS didn't show something pretty good. I guess I'll allow the run to continue though.

You couldn’t tell from init?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

When snow maps are posted, please select northeast region. My loopa arrives at age 65.

[EastonSN+]

TWC has 2 to 6 already all the way here in SW CT

[Hoth]

Northern stream appears to be dropping in more quickly so far.

[JC-CT]

3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

You couldn’t tell from init?

I think you know the answer to that question.

[JC-CT]

I do wish that southern stream s/w wouldn't drag its feet so much

[78Blizzard]

The 3k NAM brings the goods in here at 3z Tuesday, but the 12k doesn't get going here until between 9z and 12z.  I have not seen such a large time difference before with these two model iterations.  Any thoughts?

[ORH_wxman]

On my phone so not the best view but it looks like happy hour GFS is less amped than 12z so far 

[weathafella]

3 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

The 3k NAM brings the goods in here at 3z Tuesday, but the 12k doesn't get going here until between 9z and 12z.  I have not seen such a large time difference before with these two model iterations.  Any thoughts?

3k is an outlier with that part.

[Hoth]

Looks northwest to me at 66.

[Thunderblizzard]

GFS a bit less amped... northern s/w not quite as favorable.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

On my phone so not the best view but it looks like happy hour GFS is less amped than 12z so far 

Yeah a nudge east there.

[weathafella]

Happy hour less robust not still decent.

[JBinStoughton]

Just now, Thunderblizzard said:

GFS a bit less amped... northern s/w not quite as favorable.

18z 

[78Blizzard]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

3k is an outlier with that part.

Actually, I just checked the Euro and it agrees with the 3k NAM on the earlier start.

[JC-CT]

Just now, weathafella said:

Happy hour less robust not still decent.

Positives and negatives to that run for sure.

[Bostonseminole]

GFS ends the trend

[JC-CT]

3 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:

GFS ends the trend

I dunno. I actually like the main l/w trough this run, but the timing of the s/w was off.

[weathafella]

4 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:

GFS ends the trend

I’d wait for more evidence on that....lol.

[christhesnowman]

Do u have any idea how to look at a model?  Green=precip

5 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:

GFS ends the trend

 

[JC-CT]

lol three times too

[weathafella]

H7 track near the bm makes me optimistic.

[ORH_wxman]

CLown range rgem is decent. Not massive like NAM but a low end warning event prob.