Eduardo Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 Digging the look on the EPS. Looks like there are a few Portugal-bound members dragging the mean eastward too, right? Precip map for kicks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 There is definitely a western lean on the EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mranger48 Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 I don’t think I have ever seen a secondary cluster (such as the one north of Bermuda) so far away from the mean and skewing like it is, in this time frame. I mean hey, they could end up being more right than the western cluster. However, if they are dead wrong, I wonder how much further west the mean would be if they were omitted. This is in reference to hr 66 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 Dual lows on some of those. That's why some are out near Bermuda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 Just now, EasternLI said: Dual lows on some of those. That's why some are out near Bermuda. Especially since those are the ones that don't phase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 14 minutes ago, Rjay said: Juicier than I expected with the mean being as east as it was... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 17 minutes ago, Eduardo said: Digging the look on the EPS. Looks like there are a few Portugal-bound members dragging the mean eastward too, right? Precip map for kicks? 23 out of the 51 EPS members bring warning level snows to at least a portion of Suffolk County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Juicier than I expected with the mean being as east as it was... Some of the members have big solutions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 This has a ACY and E LI CCB written all over it. Maybe a period of light to moderate snow for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 Just now, bluewave said: 23 out of the 51 EPS members bring warning level snows to at least a portion of Suffolk County. Here's the weenie maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 E34 please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: E34 please. Here you go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 4 minutes ago, Rjay said: Here you go. Lol, imagine that verified? Insanity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 29 minutes ago, mranger48 said: I don’t think I have ever seen a secondary cluster (such as the one north of Bermuda) so far away from the mean and skewing like it is, in this time frame. I mean hey, they could end up being more right than the western cluster. However, if they are dead wrong, I wonder how much further west the mean would be if they were omitted. This is in reference to hr 66 . Why dont they do some sort of statistical analysis and remove the most extreme members (on either side of the cluster) and just do an ensemble mean of the members clustered in the middle? Like remove the two most extreme members on either side of the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 29 minutes ago, Enigma said: This has a ACY and E LI CCB written all over it. Maybe a period of light to moderate snow for NYC. I'm not so sure yet, there's been a seasonal trend to adjust these storms further N&W as we get close. I think the city is looking good at this juncture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I'm not so sure yet, there's been a seasonal trend to adjust these storms further N&W as we get close. I think the city is looking good at this juncture. Agreed. I don't think this is done trending west, and I wouldn't be surprised if R/S line becomes a bigger worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 Just now, Wetbulbs88 said: Agreed. I don't think this is done trending west, and I wouldn't be surprised if R/S line becomes a bigger worry. Not so sure about the R/S line... this will be a colder storm then the last and will be much stronger. But we will see. I’d like to see the coast cash in as well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 Agreed. I don't think this is done trending west, and I wouldn't be surprised if R/S line becomes a bigger worry. Hope not ala March 2017 almost to the exact daySent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 25 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I'm not so sure yet, there's been a seasonal trend to adjust these storms further N&W as we get close. I think the city is looking good at this juncture. I don't think we want it to go too far NW those folks have taken a beating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 Nam anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 29 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I'm not so sure yet, there's been a seasonal trend to adjust these storms further N&W as we get close. I think the city is looking good at this juncture. Snow sticking in the city in March? Not possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 According to NE forum... NAM is roughly 75 miles west southwest at HR 63 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 Nam hits LI AN D SNE hard Further west and almost close to a bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 The 3k looked to be setting up something special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: Snow sticking in the city in March? Not possible No one said it can't stick, but it does take good rates and cold temps. Didn't have the rates for big numbers the other day according to JM. had the band set up over the city it might have had those double digits, though we probably would have been too far west by a hair then out our way. Perhaps this will be the one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 2 minutes ago, sferic said: It did big time with the April 1982 blizzard Persistence overcomes resistance as far as snow rates and accumulation is concerned Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk A wonderful and cold storm, back in the day when 8-10 inches was considered a real big storm! it was surreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 large shift nw on 3k Nam compared to 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 7 minutes ago, Rjay said: The 3k looked to be setting up something special Hi res is a crushing blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 3km NAM looks like it's setting up for a BECS for you guys. I might fly up there for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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