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March 12th - 13th Scraper


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10 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

The only possible hope for a big west shift is that the northern shortwave is to an extent still in the middle of nowhere or at least was at 12Z 

Isn't this issue mostly just limited to sparse 'sonde launching sites? You would think that aircraft telemetry and remote sensing and such would provide enough data that huge shifts become unlikely when the disturbance enters a denser obs network.

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4 minutes ago, Juliancolton said:

Isn't this issue mostly just limited to sparse 'sonde launching sites? You would think that aircraft telemetry and remote sensing and such would provide enough data that huge shifts become unlikely when the disturbance enters a denser obs network.

I think the idea is that we don't need a huge shift in the northern stream to make a considerable difference in our area. It is possible that the lack of data in its current location could equate to such a difference. Not sure it will, but it certainly can.... (unlikely but hopeful)

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Are your weather models not showing the solution you desire? Rain? Or maybe just not enough snow? Not to worry! Poorly-sampled-flight-recon-data-not-ingested-in-time-and-connective-feedback-with-initialization-errors is the solution you need for your model woes today! 

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