allgame830 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Anybody have the feeling we r going to get NAM’D lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Just now, allgame830 said: Anybody have the feeling we r going to get NAM’D lol Nope, but we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Just now, allgame830 said: Anybody have the feeling we r going to get NAM’D lol No. Northern energy being held back, however it may not act as, as much of a kicker. Rather early in the run still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 We're going to need some big changes for this to impact places other than maybe Eastern and Central LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Lol, bostons expected snowfall map has them at 15". I'm here looking for 15 flakes. SLP a little stronger slightly east thru 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 IMO this is an eastern areas special, the city westward won't see much but there is still a little time for some changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 East a decent bit thru 27. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Skylar has been born according to TWC lol why do they have to name them lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Not liking the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 5 minutes ago, allgame830 said: Skylar has been born according to TWC lol why do they have to name them lol Don't even watch them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Precip shield is more impressive at least. Our best hope is for last minute ticks west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Precip shield is more impressive at least. Our best hope is for last minute ticks west. H5 is not far off from a complete bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 OOZ runs tonight then nowcasting tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Just now, USCG RS said: 2 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: Precip shield is more impressive at least. Our best hope is for last minute ticks west. H5 is not far off from a complete bomb. Yeah and it makes me wonder whether a cleaner phase might keep this a bit more tucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Yeah and it makes me wonder whether a cleaner phase might keep this a bit more tucked. A cleaner phase and this is bm. The other thing people have not quite alluded to is the fact that this is also pulling in artic energy. We are close to a very strong hit. I would not be surprised to see the 3km NAM go bonkers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Just now, USCG RS said: 2 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: Yeah and it makes me wonder whether a cleaner phase might keep this a bit more tucked. A cleaner phase and this is bm. The other thing people have not quote alluded to is the fact that this is also pulling in artic energy. We are close to a very strong hit. I would not be surprised to see the 3km NAM go. Bonkers. The NAM is leagues from the Euro. Precip shield is far more expansive and the track almost starts to retrograde back onto the coast. Very close to something special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Precip shield much more weat of SLP this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 NAM at 36.....Peanut Butter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 7 minutes ago, USCG RS said: 9 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: Precip shield is more impressive at least. Our best hope is for last minute ticks west. H5 is not far off from a complete bomb. That's all well and good, but we're running out of time. A near miss is still a miss. Isn't it at all concerning that the only runs that seem to show hits are the "off runs" at 6z and 18z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, Doorman said: NAM at 36.....Peanut Butter Haha I see what you did there.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 minute ago, NYCGreg said: That's all well and good, but we're running out of time. A near miss is still a miss. Isn't it at all concerning that the only runs that seem to show hits are the "off runs" at 6z and 18z? There's no escaping the fact that we're on the outside looking in. But we're not exactly that far from a hit, and the way these models trend with big complex storms, no reason to throw in the towel just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 man eastern li and Southeast new england get nuked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, NYCGreg said: That's all well and good, but we're running out of time. A near miss is still a miss. Isn't it at all concerning that the only runs that seem to show hits are the "off runs" at 6z and 18z? Not really as you get closer all model runs should hold the same weight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 4 minutes ago, NYCGreg said: That's all well and good, but we're running out of time. A near miss is still a miss. Isn't it at all concerning that the only runs that seem to show hits are the "off runs" at 6z and 18z? It looks like parts of the island will end up with 1.5 to 2" of precip on the 18z NAM. It may not rock for your hood but it's not a miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 History does show that these storms do trend west. OOZ will be telling. More likely it does trend west then it doesn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: There's no escaping the fact that we're on the outside looking in. But we're not exactly that far from a hit, and the way these models trend with big complex storms, no reason to throw in the towel just yet. 1 minute ago, Juliancolton said: It looks like parts of the island will end up with 1.5 to 2" of precip on the 18z NAM. It may not rock for your hood but it's not a miss. I will clarify - for Hoboken specifically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Similar track to 12z, but a more sensible snow shield (IMO). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ace Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 A sharper Northern Stream allows for more precipitation to the west of our low. You guys are focusing too much on the initial position of the low. Second consecutive run in which the Northern Stream gets sharper. If we keep this up for a couple more runs, we're golden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 minute ago, Ace said: A sharper Northern Stream allows for more precipitation to the west of our low. You guys are focusing too much on the initial position of the low. Second consecutive run in which the Northern Stream gets sharper. If we keep this up for a couple more runs, we're golden. Yes that is what I saw to be the most important part of this run! Game is not over guys... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 nam 12k -36hrs two words frontogenetic banding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.