SnowGoose69 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 13 minutes ago, sferic said: Any nyc mixing issues or white rain issues ? Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Probably starts as a mix. It’s pretty marginal again but this is the best air mass by far of the three recent storms. I wouldn’t be surprised though if it was 44-45 tomorrow afternoon before this came in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: Probably starts as a mix. It’s pretty marginal again but this is the best air mass by far of the three recent storms. I wouldn’t be surprised though if it was 44-45 tomorrow afternoon before this came in What’s your thoughts a continued west trend here? As is the western edge extends pretty far west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 8 minutes ago, bluewave said: Most of the storm will come in Monday night into early Tuesday so we should be OK. Probably a quick melter as temps go right into the 40's after. Normal highs now are around 50 so we would need some -20° departures this time of year to slow down the melt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Are we talking a 6-8 hour hit, 8-12 hr, 12-18 hour ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 06Z CMC is up to 8" here from 2", while the 06Z GFS stays at 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ace Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 The 12Z Nam coming in with a sharper Northern Stream and a faster Southern vort. Good trends imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 7 minutes ago, Ace said: The 12Z Nam coming in with a sharper Northern Stream and a faster Southern vort. Good trends imo Yeah, looks like there will be more interaction earlier. Ready to go boom at 22hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Stronger and significantly east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Just now, Ericjcrash said: Stronger and significantly east. Wait don’t u mean west??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Just now, allgame830 said: Wait don’t u mean west??? No, I know you'd think the opposite bit the SLP is further east and like 6 or 7 mb stronger. H5 is closer to phasing at 36 than previous run but it's still just getting shunned east . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Bombs out though, 10mb deeper than 06z... little earlier and she comes west. Not bad changes here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Just now, Ericjcrash said: Bombs out though, 10mb deeper than 06z... little earlier and she comes west. Not bad changes here. Wow so it is further west then... bro come one your giving me a heart attack haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 minute ago, allgame830 said: Wow so it is further west then... bro come one your giving me a heart attack haha No, the surface low is way NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 minute ago, EasternLI said: Seems better than compared to 0z last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Near miss on the NAM, might get a few inches. Epic run for Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ace Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: No, the surface low is way NE. Ends up in the same place as 6z more or less. Surface low was more consolidated and more east vs 6z but its actually a better run. Much more precipitation out on Long Island as a result of more phasing between the two streams. This run was a step in the right direction for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 I find it hard to believe there wont be more precip to the NW of the LP with a 978 just SE of the BM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 5 minutes ago, allgame830 said: Wow so it is further west then... bro come one your giving me a heart attack haha The northern vort continues to act as a kicker, close to an earlier phase but if it's not timed right, east she goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisNJ Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Pretty much zero accumulating snow for NJ and NYC on 12z 12k NAM. ELI and especially SE NE rocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ace said: Ends up in the same place as 6z more or less. Surface low was more consolidated and more east vs 6z but its actually a better run. Much more precipitation out on Long Island as a result of more phasing between the two streams. This run was a step in the right direction for sure The northern energy really tried to dive in... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Juno redux Smfh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 On the 3k, sooooo much closer to a phase at 36hrs. Probably too late still though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 3k looks like a bomb, but might only effect coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ace Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: On the 3k, sooooo much closer to a phase at 36hrs. Probably too late still though. Yep low is gonna go too far east, but we will probably get appreciable precipitation back here and its definitely closer to a phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keno19 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 NAM 3km by 3am Tuesday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 9 minutes ago, bluewave said: Sometimes it takes the NAM a few runs for 500 mb improvements to show up at the surface. Up to 42 hours it looked great... NAM’s “wheelhouse” is usually inside that range (if we consider it to have one LOL) so I would take a lot of positives from this run... others agree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 11, 2018 Author Share Posted March 11, 2018 NAM/3KNAM both have a near benchmark track of a bomb with little precip west of LI... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, Zelocita Weather said: NAM/3KNAM both have a near benchmark track of a bomb with little precip west of LI... Doesn’t it seem to be a little sparse on the western edge... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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