LP08 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Central Va jack...it’s very Boxing Day like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 ICON, 3k NAM and GFS have all moved the SLP further west and closer to the coast at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Just now, BaltimoreWxGuy said: It’s pretty close to the 18z run...gonna fringe us but will keep our interest Seems closer to 12z to me (at least at 42 hours) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 r/s line is in the vicinity of D.C., but some accumulation still. 1-3" just south of D.C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 not sure about dc yet, but central va will like this run better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: Seems closer to 12z to me (at least at 42 hours) Not at the surface...just comparing on TT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 11, 2018 Author Share Posted March 11, 2018 GFS is definitely an improvement vs 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Just now, BaltimoreWxGuy said: Not at the surface...just comparing on TT Ah, thought you were referring to the location of the SLP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Its slightly better than 18z but not as good as 12z...that’s clear.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 983mb 150 miles off hatteras...I'll take it for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: r/s line is in the vicinity of D.C., but some accumulation still. 1-3" just south of D.C. Need to fall back on the GFS’ warm boundary layer bias because otherwise that’s all white rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 You guys think we can still count on the GFS under doing the precip on NW sector of storm in this situation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Depth eta: and 10:1 just to make ppl feel better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 This run is white rain from DC north. We need more. Hopeful but I’m not buying into it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: GFS is definitely an improvement vs 18z this storm wont die---bombs to 983 close to va capes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: GFS is definitely an improvement vs 18z It's better than 18z. And worse then 12z. I see things have settled. I know others are looking for trends but to me the consensus is south of us then a hook back into New England and the slight shifts in each model is just noise within that envelope. I see no sustained trend towards a big hit for us. If 6z or 12z moves that way I'll be all over it. I'm rooting for this. I'm just not seeing the trends I'd want to feel it's happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 minute ago, Ji said: this storm wont die---bombs to 983 close to va capes I used to think that was a good location. I think it needs to be onshore at ORF for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Just now, psuhoffman said: It's better than 18z. And worse then 12z. I see things have settled. I know others are looking for trends but to me the consensus is south of us then a hook back into New England and the slight shifts in each model is just noise within that envelope. I see no sustained trend towards a big hit for us. If 6z or 12z moves that way I'll be all over it. I'm rooting for this. I'm just not seeing the trends I'd want to feel it's happening. I agree...this has kept our interest and been crazy on the models but it’s just not quite there, many of us may see some white rain but I fear a slushy coating is gonna be the result for even the luckiest of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 5 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Hr 60 is more painful. Pink just south. EZF crew will approve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: Hr 60 is more painful. Pink just south. EZF crew will approve. depth vs. 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 12 minutes ago, MD Snow said: ICON, 3k NAM and GFS have all moved the SLP further west and closer to the coast at 0z. 00z RGEM was way way better than 18z lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 15 minutes ago, LP08 said: Central Va jack...it’s very Boxing Day like Cept warmer and zero snow in NJ. Boxing Day has 18” of snow in SJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Too darn warm. Need more cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Just now, wasnow215 said: Cept warmer and zero snow in NJ. Boxing Day has 18” of snow in SJ. Very true...mostly just the hit through central VA then hook back up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 00z RGEM was way way better than 18z lolStill sucks but not as sucky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Just now, LP08 said: Very true...mostly just the hit through central VA then hook back up the coast. I’m just NW of Richmond proper and even I think it’s gonna be a close call. Hopefully more than white rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 minute ago, wasnow215 said: I’m just NW of Richmond proper and even I think it’s gonna be a close call. Hopefully more than white rain. Looks like a full day of snow tv for us...a bit better for you because rates will be better. It is what it is. Could be sunny and 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 15 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It's better than 18z. And worse then 12z. I see things have settled. I know others are looking for trends but to me the consensus is south of us then a hook back into New England and the slight shifts in each model is just noise within that envelope. I see no sustained trend towards a big hit for us. If 6z or 12z moves that way I'll be all over it. I'm rooting for this. I'm just not seeing the trends I'd want to feel it's happening. I agree that's the most likely outcome, but there has been a clear trend in H5 with the GFS that continued at 00z. Even though the surface looked like a blend of 12z and 18z, the upper air did not. It's probaby close to settled as all models are starting to look similar, but I'm not sure how this plays out if that trend continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 15 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Looks like a full day of snow tv for us...a bit better for you because rates will be better. It is what it is. Could be sunny and 70. True-If changeover happens a little quicker then got some better accumulating stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Total precip: So yeah, probably white rain DC North, maybe a coating at best. Rates pretty weak sauce. Sucks since in January with cold temps we'd be looking at 3-5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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