BristowWx Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 So hard to fathom with that radar look we do not get dumped on. We have to be the unluckiest bunch of SOBs on the planet. Primary in KY..storm development off the coast, predicted sub 990 low. Cmon really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 1:00 AM, Amped said: LWX expected snowfal map says <1 Expand Exactly That's why the other map doesn't make any sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 1:09 AM, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: srefs, really? wow Expand http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/pwpf/about_pwpf_products.shtml 46 total members. 15 of them are from the SREF. Bunch of GEFS and EC ensemble members in there too along with some deterministic models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 1:16 AM, high risk said: http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/pwpf/about_pwpf_products.shtml 46 total members. 15 of them are from the SREF. Bunch of GEFS and EC ensemble members in there too along with some deterministic models. Neat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 Regardless isn't that in line with their 10% chance of 8"https://www.weather.gov/images/lwx/winter/SnowAmt90Prcntl.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 12:37 AM, Buddy1987 said: Did you used to live in RI or up in New England? Expand Nope. Grew up in South Jersey, school in central PA, and then moved here. Never had the pleasure of experiencing a big one up there, though had been up in Boston for work for a really nice storm in December 2008 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 1:45 AM, Cobalt said: Expand But HM assured us DC had not seen its biggest snow event of the season a few weeks ago. When the weather out does HM its been a really tough winter to forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 1:43 AM, mattie g said: Nope. Grew up in South Jersey, school in central PA, and then moved here. Never had the pleasure of experiencing a big one up there, though had been up in Boston for work for a really nice storm in December 2008 or so. Expand Really south jersey? What exit? I’m from Toms River...82 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 1:43 AM, mattie g said: Nope. Grew up in South Jersey, school in central PA, and then moved here. Never had the pleasure of experiencing a big one up there, though had been up in Boston for work for a really nice storm in December 2008 or so. Expand Jw. There used to be a guy in the New England forum that had almost the exact same name as you, so I thought maybe you had moved down to the Mid-Atlantic crew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 12:55 AM, psuhoffman said: Just 10 days away!!! Expand Please stop...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 That low on the 3k looks like it’s headed for Bermuda. Keeps moving ESE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chase Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 1:57 AM, Buddy1987 said: Jw. There used to be a guy in the New England forum that had almost the exact same name as you, so I thought maybe you had moved down to the Mid-Atlantic crew. Expand Mattmfm? He did move to DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 The evening NAM suite even takes away the mood flakes for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 1:52 AM, BristowWx said: Really south jersey? What exit? I’m from Toms River...82 Expand Yup! Camden and the close-in suburbs of Philly! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 2:27 AM, high risk said: The evening NAM suite even takes away the mood flakes for most of us. Expand That's just .... well you know.... messed up. And that is me trying to be polite!! I could say a more!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 No wonder models have difficulty with things as we can look at radar and other tools all day into the night and it's Still not possible to discern what is happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 I don’t understand this at all. Why does it go so far out to sea before bombing out? This is some bullsh*t! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 2:36 AM, mattie g said: Yup! Camden and the close-in suburbs of Philly! Expand Cool. Better snow climo than where I grew up... I thought it was bad when I lived there..now I live here...and realize it can be always be worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 2:41 AM, NovaTarHeel said: I don’t understand this at all. Why does it go so far out to sea before bombing out? This is some bullsh*t! Expand Just bad luck for us. Even mood flakes gone. That’s bad even for us. Yesterday at 12z I we had warning criteria modeled snow. Of all the fails we have had this one has to be top 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 2:21 AM, BristowWx said: That low on the 3k looks like it’s headed for Bermuda. Keeps moving ESE Expand Yea just looking at the Atlantic wv loop you can see how a storm would be steered a bit too far to the east before turning north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 2:45 AM, BristowWx said: Just bad luck for us. Even mood flakes gone. That’s bad even for us. Yesterday at 12z I we had warning criteria modeled snow. Of all the fails we have had this one has to be top 5. Expand This winter has done its best to kill all of our hopes and dreams. First the Mod Nino potential in April fading and becoming a weak Nina potential, then the fail "HECS" pattern we had going for us in late December. Then Jan 4th, then Jan 17th, then the next decent matter going to trash in early-mid Feb. Then last weeks miller B, and now this storm. Unbelievable. Completely unbelievable. This isn't even mentioning all of the other decent looks crapping the bed. Only thing we have to show for is the Dec 9th storm which under performed in DC proper and areas SE and slightly NW. Pathetic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 Even worse, I’m moving to Richmond in July so things will go back to normal once that happens. Y’all gonna get 3 feet up here while I mix down in rva. This is about the only year where Richmond does better than NoVa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mordecai Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 Does this mean next winter will be a Nino? :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 You have to admit....this is pretty funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 2:27 AM, high risk said: The evening NAM suite even takes away the mood flakes for most of us. Expand Like the Grinch taking away the last crumb too small for a mouse, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 2:56 AM, Bob Chill said: You have to admit....this is pretty funny Expand That is some funny s right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 And everyone laughed at me when I said what if dec 8th was going to be are only hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 2:53 AM, NovaTarHeel said: Even worse, I’m moving to Richmond in July so things will go back to normal once that happens. Y’all gonna get 3 feet up here while I mix down in rva. This is about the only year where Richmond does better than NoVa. Expand Hush your mouth, or stay where you are at. We need no talk about that here in the RVA!! LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 On 3/12/2018 at 2:56 AM, Bob Chill said: You have to admit....this is pretty funny Expand We suck at weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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