KamuSnow Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 20 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Welp...the 12Z NAM just hung a juicy curveball over the middle of the plate. We fouled just outside the right foul pole. You must bat left handed, lol. The way this has been going look out for the low and away fastball next. But it could be a good sign, my interest in the rest of the12z runs just moved back up a notch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 10, 2018 Author Share Posted March 10, 2018 Still no power here so I'm not caught up on overnight runs... But 12z nam looked really really good. Wouldn't take much for it to be a Secs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 12 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Still no power here so I'm not caught up on overnight runs... But 12z nam looked really really good. Wouldn't take much for it to be a Secs. Today right (for your power)? 12z GFS is interesting too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 42 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Still no power here so I'm not caught up on overnight runs... But 12z nam looked really really good. Wouldn't take much for it to be a Secs. Wow still no power? That is awful and I feel for you. I thought 48 hours without was hard. Anyway, looks like the GFS is back to a 3"+ event for the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redmorninglight Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 I like the GFS as depicted at 12z today. For us, rain then a flip to heavy wet snow on a ripping north wind. A March paste bomb. We have missed every storm since 1/4 so this would be a nice end to winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 2 hours ago, The Iceman said: Still no power here so I'm not caught up on overnight runs... But 12z nam looked really really good. Wouldn't take much for it to be a Secs. I still see a ton of Peco and Ashplund trucks in Levittown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 This has a Boxing Day feel to it. Not a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 12 minutes ago, bluehens said: This has a Boxing Day feel to it. Not a good thing. How do you mean, boxing day turned out okay no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeSeNJ Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 15 minutes ago, bluehens said: This has a Boxing Day feel to it. Not a good thing. I thought Boxing Day was pretty good with something like 18 inches. It looks like we are going to miss the good stuff according to the NAM at 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 High res NAM is complete garbage..........if you're looking for an early spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 55 minutes ago, bluehens said: This has a Boxing Day feel to it. Not a good thing. I get it now, the boxing day storm was lost then found and the rest is history. History is repeating itself, as far as losing the storm and finding it again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 2 hours ago, Newman said: High res NAM is complete garbage..........if you're looking for an early spring. It's very unique at the moment, but it sure is nice to look at . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 3 minutes ago, KamuSnow said: It's very unique at the moment, but it sure is nice to look at . Navgem shows a pretty decent hit too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 SREF jumped west quite a bit from 15z run. Awaiting the NAM..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 0z NAM looks like a step back from 18z. Northern stream energy comes faster while the southern vort is further south. At hour 51, storm is 50 miles further E off OBX compared to the previous run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 5 hours ago, Violentweatherfan said: I get it now, the boxing day storm was lost then found and the rest is history. History is repeating itself, as far as losing the storm and finding it again. Pretty sure he's referring to the sharp western cutoff. Totals dropped off dramatically once you got W of the Delaware River/I-476m and Northern DE saw very little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Yeah 12k NAM definitely didnt improve. GL energy acts more like a kicker shunting the coastal low farther East. However, more snows in the area somehow. If we can get the actual low to bomb out closer we could see accums into PA. Otherwise looks like mood flakes/light white rain on the 12k this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 3k tries to capture the coastal and keep it closer to the coast thru 42 hrs. Has a tucked look and deepening lp with a tighter precip shield but moving snows into the region. Lets see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 3k mood flakes/white rain generally. Not a great run. Not really a step back but didnt move favorably either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 3k mood flakes/white rain generally. Not a great run. Not really a step back but didnt move favorably either. That's not the final solution for sure, but one good thing (on this run) was that whatever we get would fall mostly overnight..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 0z GFS was definitely a step forward from 18z. Both the northern stream and southern stream shortwaves were more amplified, SLP is further W, and the precip shield expanded into SEPA. As Ralph mentioned before, the GL low still acts as a kicker so the system is still shunted E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 DT has us down for 4" across the region. Bold forecast there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Ch6/Accu-Weather Map: Snow on snow....hell, I'll take it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Those dang Canadians: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Looks like another coastal beating for the jersey shore. I spend alot of time in South Jersey from Stone Harbor to Cape May specifically and do alot of scouting for surf fishing spots. I can tell you North Wildwood beaches are in disarray especially near Hereford Inlet and they cant really afford another storm right now. All beach replenishment projects have been demolished, barriers and sand walls are gone, there are 8-12' cliffs in spots to get onto the beach, you get the idea. Luckily this will be a quick mover but the new moon tides tends to be higher than the full moon as it approaches. Probably will be a grazer as opposed to a direct hit too if that is any consolation. Biggest impacts will be shore areas back thru the NJ Turnpike Monday-Tuesday morning. Periods of mixed rain and/or wet snow could extend back into parts of E PA tho I suspect any accumulations, if any, would be along the c-2" variety. We should keep an eye to see if there are any concensus shifts either way on the models but looks like this one is locked in for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 11, 2018 Author Share Posted March 11, 2018 Finally got power back yesterday so another wet snow event didn't really interest me anyway. Looking like no a big deal outside of shore areas. Maybe a coating into extreme se pa due to timing but looks like we ll just miss this one. Sne should do well though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 11, 2018 Author Share Posted March 11, 2018 The hi res rgem gets 3-6" into extreme se pa and more in NJ. It's alone right now though. But there is still time for a tick west at tonight to make pretty big changes for extreme se pa. Leaning towards c-1" for se pa and 1-3" at the shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 What's the start time for this event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 Winter Weather Advisory in effect here for 2-3" of snow expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 Once again, monmouth county snow magnets full power.....Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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